Premier League Relegation Odds: Newly Promoted Teams Face A Fight For Survival

Premier League Relegation Odds: Newly Promoted Teams Face A Fight For Survival
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Betting sites have installed Bournemouth as the odds-on favourites for relegation next season after Scott Parker was handed a modest summer transfer budget.

The Cherries finished second in the Championship last term, but they will need to strengthen if they are to remain in the top flight.

Yet Parker has indicated that he is operating on a tight budget, and the best bookmakers fear that could lead to a difficult campaign for his charges.

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Fellow newly promoted clubs Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth are also among the favourites with betting apps for the drop.

However, you have to go back to the 1997-98 campaign for the last time all three newly promoted teams went straight back down.

That could spell bad news for some of their more established rivals. These are the main teams to keep an eye on in the relegation scrap next season.


The Cherries’ five-year spell in the Premier League came to an end when they finished 18th in 2020. Eddie Howe left the club that summer, marking the end of an era.

Bournemouth kept hold of several key players, but they were unable to bounce straight back up to the top flight, as they lost to Brentford in the playoffs.

However, their fortunes improved when they convinced Scott Parker to leave Fulham and head to the south coast last summer.

His arrival galvanised the squad. Star striker Arnaut Danjuma was sold to Villarreal, but the £21m that the club received funded a rebuild, with the likes of Keiffer Moore and Ryan Christie moving to the Vitality Stadium.

The Cherries won 25 of their 46 games last season. They had the best defensive record in the Championship, while Dominic Solanke scored 29 goals. Since then, Bournemouth have bolstered their squad by signing Ryan Fredericks from West Ham, but Parker admits he is on a shoestring budget.

As such, they are the heavy favourites to go down, best priced at just 8/13 with football betting sites.

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Nottingham Forest

Forest should carry a great deal of momentum into the new season. They ended the 2021-22 campaign with nine wins in their final 12 games, and they then beat Sheffield United and Huddersfield in the playoffs.

They will also take confidence from an FA Cup run that saw them beat Arsenal and Leicester last season.

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Forest have been a lot busier than Bournemouth in the summer transfer window, as they are reportedly on the brink of completing deals for Union Berlin striker Taiwo Awoniyi and Man Utd goalkeeper Dean Henderson.

Some UK bookmakers make Forest odds-on to go down, but BetVictor leads the way by offering Evens on them being relegated.


Marco Silva

The Cottagers shrugged off Parker’s departure by firing in 106 goals in 46 games to finish top of the Championship last season.

They still boast many of the players that represented the club in the Premier League during the 2020-21 campaign, including Serbian striker Aleksandar Mitrović, who scored a record-breaking 43 goals in the Championship last term.

Fulham have now raised £20m by selling André Zambo Anguissa and Fabio Carvalho, so that should give Marco Silva a strong war chest this summer.

They tend to splash the cash whenever they are promoted to the Premier League – they spent £105m in the summer of 2018, for instance - so we can expect to see an influx of stars at Craven Cottage.

Of the three promoted clubs, they look the best equipped to stay up. You can find 5/4 at Paddy Power on Fulham going down, but the 8/13 on Bournemouth looks a lot more appealing.

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Leeds United

Leeds beat the drop by the skin of their teeth in May. A 2-1 victory over Brentford on the final day of the season saw them finish three points clear of Burnley, who lost to nouveau riche Newcastle.

They could now be in for a summer of upheaval, with some of Europe’s top clubs lining up bids for star players Kalvin Phillips and Raphinha.

However, Leeds have already conducted some shrewd business. They brought in talented playmaker Brenden Aaronson from RB Salzburg for £25m, and manager Jesse Marsch also raided his former club for £10m right-back Rasmus Kristensen. Marc Roca should shore up the midfield too.

Leeds impressed under Marsch during the final month of the 2021-22 season. They are 13/5 to go down, but they should have enough quality to beat the drop.


Unibet are offering a very tempting 11/4 on Brentford to go down. The Bees made a flying start to the 2021-22 season, as they were surging with momentum after winning the Championship playoffs.

However, their form tailed off dramatically in the middle of the campaign, and they looked in serious danger of being relegated.

Christian Eriksen’s arrival in January transformed their season, as his flair and playmaking ability inspired Thomas Frank’s men to some impressive victories.

Yet Eriksen could be about to leave for greener pastures, and Brentford could struggle in his absence.

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The Rest

Southampton picked up just one win in their final 12 games of the 2021-22 season.

They could be in trouble if they do not invest heavily in the summer, so odds of 7/2 with 10Bet on the Saints going down could be interesting.

Longer shots include Everton (5/1) and Wolves (6/1), although they both have a lot of quality in their squads. Right now, Bournemouth and Brentford look more appealing in this market.