Next Prime Minister Odds 2025

Best Next Prime Minister Odds

Betting on next prime minister odds is a lot easier when you can see the best political betting sites all in one place. 

Gambling.com presents the top sites for next PM betting and the latest welcome bonuses for new players.

The odds on who will be the next prime minister are in continual flux. We’ve escaped the chaos years of Boris Johnson, Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak – but that does not mean the odds are any less volatile.

From backing Labour ministers to succeed Sir Keir Starmer to shifting the odds of Nigel Farage, Kemi Badenoch and others to walk into No 10, the market never sleeps.

Gambling.com regularly reviews the very best political betting sites and assesses their odds on the next PM. 

Our recommended betting sites offer a variety of free bets and other offers, so you can put your money where your political opinions are. 

To get started, simply scroll down this page and select a bookmaker’s welcome offer that catches the eye. Click on the one you want and you’ll be taken to your chosen site to place your bets.

All prices and odds featured here come from bookies regulated by the UK Gambling Commission, so you can rest assured that you are dealing with reputable, licensed sites. 

Here’s more on how we rate each site.

How Next PM Betting Works

Next prime minister betting applies a magnifying glass to the world of British politics. 

There are always cabinet ministers and opposition leaders with aspirations of entering Downing Street – but only one person can do the job at any one time.

The beauty of British politics is a prime minister can be toppled at any time. It’s not like a presidential system in the US or France, where the top dog serves a specified term.

In the UK, the prime minister is nothing more than the leader of the Commons, answerable to the head of state (the King). 

While the PM has a lot of power they are also vulnerable, which makes prime minister betting a fascinating activity.

How PM Odds Work

Bookmakers draw up their list of candidates to be the next prime minister and offer odds on the likely outcome. 

The list is usually a blend of two groups of people: cabinet ministers within the ruling party and opposition leaders preparing for the next election.

A prime minister can lose their job at an election if an opposition party forms a majority (or coalition). Or they can quit or be ousted by their own party.

So, bookmakers have to weigh up what’s more likely when setting their odds for the next prime minister. 

Will they be booted out before the next election, as happened to Boris Johnson and Liz Truss? Or will they lose power at an election, like Gordon Brown?

The lower the odds, the more likely a candidate is to be the next prime minister. 

However, your potential profit is also lower, as it’s deemed a less risky bet. Conversely, a candidate with high odds suggests a low likelihood of them becoming the next PM, which means the potential payout is high.

Tips For Betting On Next Prime Minister

If you’re betting on the next UK prime minister for the first time then be sure to follow these tips to make the right choice for you:

1) Do your research – This is paramount for next PM betting, as the odds can swing wildly. Keep a track of the viable candidates but also the mood of the nation. Is the current prime minister going to survive until the next election – and will they win it if they do? If they look ready for the chop, then it’s time to start researching cabinet ministers who may look to succeed them.

2) Explore the odds – UK bookmakers offer wildly different odds on the next prime minister, as politics is incredibly unpredictable. So, select multiple betting sites below and explore the markets to find one that offers the best odds for your choice.

3) Follow live news – Politics reacts fast. Theresa May and Rishi Sunak both called surprise snap elections which threw the next PM odds into turmoil. Boris Johnson and Liz Truss were dumped from office, while Keir Starmer’s own odds of surviving take a turn each week. So, follow the news and be ready to jump if the political cycle suddenly changes.

4) Track outsiders – There are plenty of outsiders in the odds on the next British prime minister, who may become frontrunners in a few years time. Remember, a PM could last 10 years, so you may find value in backing a lesser-known outsider now who has aspirations of leadership later in their career.

Comparing Next British Prime Minister Betting Odds

Comparing next British Prime Minister betting odds is essential if you want to get the best value for your money. 

But bear in mind that bookmakers offer wildly varying odds on who might succeed the incumbent – especially when it comes to outsiders.

A candidate that’s priced at 15/1 on one site might be 100/1 on another.

The solution? Compare prices and sign up with multiple political betting sites. 

This allows you to claim several welcome bonuses and increase your chances of nailing high odds when you choose to bet on the next PM.

Next UK Prime Minister Candidates 2025

There are plenty of candidates to succeed Sir Keir Starmer as the next UK prime minister in 2025 – but how many have a realistic chance of entering No 10? Well, according to the bookies, not too many right now.

Here are the frontrunners to be the next prime minister, according to the odds:

Nigel Farage | Reform UK

Nigel Farage is the favourite to be the next UK prime minister. 

Reform UK is enjoying a seven-point lead over Labour in the polls in 2025 and Farage would likely be prime minister if an election were called tomorrow.

Discover these Nigel Farage betting odds.

Angela Rayner | Labour

Angela Rayner leads Wes Streeting and Yvette Cooper as the three viable Labour candidates to succeed Sir Keir Starmer, if the PM stepped down or was ousted. 

Rayner is the most left-wing figure at the top of government and her premiership would likely mark a significant shift in Labour policy.

Kemi Badenoch | Conservative

Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch is an outsider to be the next UK prime minister, with her party lingering on a meagre 17 points in the polls. 

She has to fight off Robert Jenrick, who is evidently angling for a leadership contest. Jenrick is also 10/1 in the next prime minister odds.

See the latest Kemi Badenoch prime minster odds.

Boris Johnson

Yes, Boris Johnson is still a candidate to return to frontline politics at odds of 14/1. 

The former PM, who was booted out of office in disgrace when it emerged he appointed Chris Pincher to deputy chief whip despite alleged sexual misconduct, is understood to want another crack at the job. 

He’s not affiliated with a party right now but bookmakers don’t think that would stop him.

Discover our Boris Johnson next job odds.