What Song and Artist Will Be Christmas No.1 in the UK?

What Song and Artist Will Be Christmas No.1 in the UK?
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Interest is beginning to snowball in the Christmas number 1 odds for 2021 and the best betting sites are seeing plenty of wagers in the market as some of the UK’s top artists battle for the spot.

Xmas number 1 betting has certainly intensified over the years and although the accolade perhaps doesn’t boast the gravitas it once possessed, being UK Christmas number 1 is certainly an achievement musicians strive to add to their CV.

Down the years we’ve had a variety of performers claim the notable prize. From the likes of megastars like Ed Sheeran (2017) and Robbie Williams (2001), to charity singles such as the Lewisham and Greenwich NHS Choir (2015) and even Rage Against the Machine (2009), this contest can produce some noteworthy winners.

And there’s always a few specials betting sites that draw up a list of who could top the Christmas number 1 charts.

This year, a spanner was thrown into the works late in the day as LadBaby finally announced a new track, only for it to feature his main rivals for the top spot - Elton John and Ed Sheeran!

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Elton and Sheeran topped the betting odds earlier this month following the release of their duet 'Merry Christmas' which has received favourable reviews, largely, but all the while there was a suspicion that LadBaby still had an ace up his sleeve.

That card was dealt mid-December as the novelty singer announced there would indeed be a 2021 release from LadBaby, who is bidding to become the only artist in history to top the UK charts for four consecutive years. He currently holds the joint-record of three with The Beatles and The Spice Girls.

Few could have predicted how Ladbaby, whose real name is Mark Hoyle, would go about his fourth attempt. Enlisting the help of musical royalty who themselves talked up hopes of being Christmas number one appears to be a masterstroke.

Better yet, the Trussell Trust charity is set to receive all profits from the collaboration, which has been named 'Sausage Rolls for Everyone' and pokes fun at Elton and Sheeran's effort 'Merry Christmas'.

UK betting sites are all but convinced 'Sausage Rolls for Everyone' will now top the charts on December 25, with Paddy Power going 1/9 on LadBaby making history, while some other bookmakers have stopped taking bets altogether.

2021 Christmas No. 1 Odds

ArtistBest OddsBookie
Ladbaby ft Elton John & Ed Sheeran1/9Paddy Power
Elton John and Ed Sheeran6/1Paddy Power
George Ezra16/1Bet365
Have a Word Pod25/1Coral
Try25/1Bet365
Adele33/1Coral
ABBA50/1Ladbrokes
The Lathums50/1Coral
Mariah Carey50/1Ladbrokes

Below, we break down the top candidates and the outside bets, their Christmas number 1 odds, and their probability of winning.

LadBaby featuring Elton John and Ed Sheeran: 1/9 (90%)

It appears as though LadBaby was one step ahead of the bookies by teaming up with his fellow betting frontrunners and creating a song designed to create profit to help feed the hungry this Christmas. By joining forces, the trio look unstoppable and with odds of 1/5, punters would probably be better off buying the single to ensure their money goes to a good cause as there won't be a lot of winnings to collect on such a short price.

The odds swing has of course had an impact further down the list of contenders, with some huge names such as ABBA and Mariah Carey drifting as a result of 'Sausage Rolls for Everyone', which was officially released on December 17. Having earned the UK Christmas number 1 gong in 2018, 2019, and 2020 for their charity offerings, it’s no surprise that LadBaby is favourite to win it in 2021 too.

Elton John and Ed Sheeran: 6/1 (14.3%)

'Merry Christmas' by Elton John and Ed Sheeran may not be the most imaginative song title, but it is certainly resonating with the general public having racked up almost 30million views on YouTube since its release. All proceeds from the song will also go to charity so it is sure to make an impact even if it fails to top the charts on December 25.

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Adele: 25/1 (3.8%)

Adele has never recorded a UK Christmas number 1 single and the megastar could well have to wait another year. Ladbrokes initially set Adele as the 9/4 favourite to win the contest when they released their Christmas number 1 odds in October, as they waited for the album 30 to drop. Her single Easy on Me hit number 1 in the UK, US, Australia and Canada – but even another single off the album might not be enough to win the accolade for December 25.

ABBA - 50/1 (2%)

ABBA are back and are seeking a first-ever UK Christmas number 1 single. The Swedish pop band released the reunion album Voyage in November but it has failed to produce a number 1 single so far. If ABBA are to secure top spot at this stage it would be nothing short of a Christmas miracle.


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Mariah Carey: 50/1 (2%)

UK bookmakers usually cover their backs by offering a reasonable price on Mariah Carey, just in case All I Want For Christmas either makes a resurgence or is re-released. Now, Mariah is releasing a holiday special on AppleTV+ titled Mariah’s Christmas: The Magic Continues, which follows on from her TV special last year.

Her single this December is Fall In Love At Christmas and sees her team up with R&B singer Khalid and gospel legend Kirk Franklin. Will fans fall in love with this track? The bookies evidently don’t think so but aren’t willing to price her too highly. It is Mariah after all.

Wham!: 66/1 (1.5%)

It wouldn’t be Christmas without Wham! playing over the radio but can they be the UK Christmas number 1 on the Big Day for the first time? In January their classic single Last Christmas actually hit number 1 again, 36 years after it was released. But that wasn’t on Christmas Day itself. Could the record make another resurgence? Not according to the Christmas number 1 odds.

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The Wanted: 100/1 (1%)

Recently reunited The Wanted have certainly caught the imagination of the nation since getting back together to support band member Tom Parker, who is battling terminal brain cancer. The guys have released a cover version of East 17's Christmas cracker Stay Another Day, but little has been made of their effort so far.

Gary Barlow & Sheridan Smith: 100/1 (1%)

Gary Barlow has never released a Christmas album and isn’t going it alone on his first venture. The pop star has brought in Sheridan Smith to produce The Dream Of Christmas this winter. The big song on the track – How Christmas Is Supposed To Be – is what Barlow and Smith are banking on to secure the top spot. But the bookies so far aren’t backing them too strongly.

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