Horse Racing Tips: Best Betting Tips for Friday
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Today's Horse Racing Tips
- 13:30 Newbury – Painless Potter – 1pt @ 20/1 with bet365*
- 13:50 York – Beenham – 1pt @ 10/1 with Coral
- 14:05 Newbury – Sweet Reward – 1pt @ 10/1 with Unibet*
- 15:00 York – Stay Well – 1pt @ 8/1 with bet365
- 16:45 York – Gioia Cieca – 1pt @ 15/2 with 888sport
- 17:15 York – Redemption Time – 1pt @ 33/1 with BetVictor
For today's horse racing tips, our analyst James Boyle looks at the flat racing meetings at York and Newbury, with six selections now online.
* - Selection added during second update at 11:00am.
As always, you’ll find the most up-to-date odds at the best horse racing betting sites, but don’t sleep on our tipster’s predictions as those odds could soon be gobbled up by the betting public. Odds stated are correct at the time of publishing.
13:30 Newbury – Painless Potter – 1pt @ 20/1*
Painless Potter has been on my radar for a while and I backed him on his penultimate start at 16/1 when he dropped to a mile around Kempton. He ended up being one of the gambles of the day, going off at 5/1, but was caught wide and never found any sort of rhythm. Presumably something more was at play than just the run of the race not suiting and hopefully we’ll see better on show today.
His sole run since came over a mile-and-a-half, which we can write off straight away as he isn’t fully effective at that trip. Ten weeks off since will have given Shaun Lycett the chance to get him ready to fire and with further leeway meaning he’s 4lbs lower than when gambled-on, it could be the time for him to do something more significant. At 20/1, he’s worth the risk attached and cheekpieces can help.
13:50 York – Beenham – 1pt @ 10/1
Persian Dreamer looked to have potential star quality when bolting up on debut at Newmarket but that seemed to be an average renewal of the race at the time and the form has hardly been boosted. She’s entitled to learn from the experience and could well land this before going on to Royal Ascot, but she’s generally a 6/4 shot and that is creating some value plays elsewhere… if they can be found!
Gaiden interests me as well and her form got a boost when Relief Rally won at Salisbury. However, she might prefer at least another furlong and I’ll wait for again. Beenham could be the play and is one of only a couple who have been on the track twice already. She clearly needed the experience on debut at Bath, running green in rear before finishing fast out wide under quite tender handling.
She was an entirely different prospect second time around at Goodwood, quick away from a poor draw to sit up with the pace and once she was let down, the others had no answer. The form hasn’t been tested much but the two-length third bolted up in a maiden since and there will be more winners to come out of it at some point. Beenham will hopefully be the next one! 10/1 is more than fair.
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14:05 Newbury – Sweet Reward – 1pt @ 10/1*
Sweet Reward could be a different proposition now that he’s hopefully fully fit from two runs and getting back onto a faster surface can help also. He definitely looked in need of the run when dropping away tamely over C&D last month and was much stronger in the betting at Goodwood last time, but again hit the wall in the final quarter-mile to finish even further behind Time Interval.
In his earlier seasons, testing ground wasn’t a problem but his last two wins have come on good and good-to-firm, so it may prove that he wants it quicker these days. As such, I’m inclined to forgive, forget and hope for a better performance being in the offing. He’s weighted to do something, below his last winning mark for the first time since that success, and 10/1 looks fair enough to me.
15:00 York – Stay Well – 1pt @ 8/1
Stay Well is very talented on his day and I’m certain that there’s a nice handicap in him this season. The risk today is how tuned up he’s going to be, this being his first outing for 223 days, but he did win first time up in 2021 and went within a head of repeating the trick at Kempton last April. Granted, a higher rating these days demands that he’s at his best instantly, but he’s clearly capable when fresh.
Things didn’t go to plan when he ran over C&D on his final start of last season and he was found to have bled in that race. It’s easy to overlook and he’s better judged on the likes of his Zetland Gold Cup second (race not run to suit; winner was well-handicapped, too) and close fifth at Newbury behind a few talented Godolphin horses who were favourably positioned off what was quite a mediocre tempo.
Those efforts help to show that he’s as effective on turf as he is on the All-Weather and this extended 1m 2f at York, on fast ground, will be right up his street. A solid gallop should be on the cards, most likely provided by one of the Balding horses or Marie’s Diamond, and if he finds his rhythm, along with being fit enough to do himself justice, I fancy he’ll run a big one. Ryan Moore riding is a plus, too.
16:45 York – Gioia Cieca – 1pt @ 15/2
Gioia Cieca has already shortened a fair bit since the market formed and would have been a double-stakes play had that not happened. I still think there’s juice in 7/1 or bigger and reckon he’s close to having a favourite’s claims. His last run wouldn’t scream that but he ruined his chance by fluffing the start and was running on the softest ground he had ever encountered, which wouldn’t be his ideal.
Despite that, he shaped as if still in form and had previously performed to a high level when third to Gweedore over the same C&D. Spirit Of Light was second there, a horse I’ve got a lot of time for, and it’s strong form. He’s a pound lower here, will be up to doing even better on a fast surface now that he has bounced back and York should suit. His draw is good and a strong pace would aid him further.
17:15 York – Redemption Time – 1pt @ 33/1
Redemption Time is yet to post a figure that would prove he’s capable of winning this type of race from a mark of 87 and I can understand why he’s such a big price. However, he has been well-regarded by a trainer who knows the time of day with his sprinters and after three maiden/novice runs in the early part of last season, was pitched into Group 2 company to contest the Norfolk at Royal Ascot.
He wasn’t disgraced either, threatening to keep on a bit until meeting some trouble inside the final furlong. Excuses are in place for his two starts since, 6f in a valuable sales race being too far for him and then he looked in need of his return last month when running at Thirsk. The ground was horrible there as well and he didn’t act on it, weakening away to finish tenth behind Democracy Dilemma.
A major improvement on that is required to compete today but the fast ground will help him a lot and the handicapper has eased him 4lbs from 91. That’s a definitive positive and the tongue-tie worn for his final three starts as a juvenile returns having been left off at Thirsk. It’s another possible source of improvement and although the market doesn’t agree, he could have the ability to run a big race here.
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