Rhys Williams' Racing Tips: 3 Selections For Wednesday
Horse racing expert Rhys Williams is sharing his best selections for today's racing.
Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and most recently as a tipster for Betfair, where his tipping column had a 31% ROI over four and a half years.
He often focuses away from the front end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.
Rhys' tips have returned 332.12 points from 192.5 points staked, meaning his profit and loss record stands at a whopping +139.62pts overall - thanks to a sensational recent spell that included Lamar Canyon's win at 150/1 recently.
Here are Rhys' tips for today, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.
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14:30 Fontwell: Maria Mes - 0.5pt Win @ 40/1
Maria Mes makes her hurdling debut in the opening mares’ novices’ hurdle at Fontwell, and I think she has more potential to be competitive than her big price suggests.
She showed some promise on debut in a bumper at Sandown, where she looked green at various stages.
However, she kept going well enough to finish fifth behind the smart Le Roi Remi, with a future maiden hurdle winner in Dropematthestation one place ahead of her in fourth.
Maria Mes finished tailed off when last seen at Uttoxeter, but that feels like a run that was too bad to be true and that she’s been off the track since suggests she may have had a problem that day which caused her to run so badly.
There is the obvious unknown over how she will jump on her hurdling debut and maybe whatever caused the poor run at Uttoxeter will once again show up today.
However, this isn’t a strong race and the ability she showed on debut suggests she can run better than her price suggests and any 25/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 1: 14:30 Fontwell: Maria Mes - 0.5pt Win
16:00 Fontwell: Ballyfinn - 1pt Win @ 4/1
Ballyfinn beat Gata Ban over this course and distance two starts ago, and I think the market is underestimating his chance of repeating the feat.
Ballyfinn was ridden more patiently that day than had often been the case, and he gradually crept into contention on the final circuit.
Chad Bament only asked him for his effort turning into the home straight, where he still had plenty of ground to make up on Gata Ban, and he moved into second going to the last before flying up the run-in and picking off the leader with relative ease.
He was well held at this track last time, but that was over a much shorter trip and he’s now back to a far more suitable trip.
He’s only on 1lb worse terms with Gata Ban for that victory, and there’s the potential for the other three to take each other on - or at least the top two in the market if Edgewell isn’t on a going day.
That could set the race up for Ballyfinn to once again make a late winning challenge and any 3/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 2: 16:00 Fontwell: Ballyfinn - 1pt Win
19:40 Kempton: Sir Alfie - 0.5pt Win @ 50/1
Sir Alfie could never get competitive at York last time, but that was a more encouraging effort with the tongue tie on and I think he’s overpriced now in an easier contest.
He had dropped away quickly under pressure on his first two starts for the yard, but that wasn’t the case at York last time with the tongue tie on for the first time.
He couldn’t go the early speed over five furlongs that day, but made a bit of late headway to finish 10th, not far behind another horse who was held up that day in Call Margot - who was unlucky to not win the 3-year-old Dash at Epsom last week.
Sir Alfie has been ridden handily in previous runs, so the promise of that run may now give them more tactical versatility with him.
The two most likely front runners are now out so they may try to revert to positive tactics today, but there is also the option to ride him a bit more patiently if they wish.
If he can build on the promise of the York run, I think he can run better than his price suggests and any 20/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 3: 19:40 Kempton: Sir Alfie - 0.5pt Win
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