NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Dallas Stars Predictions, Odds for Feb. 7

Article By Mark Keast

Last Updated: 2024 Feb 7

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NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Dallas Stars Predictions, Odds for Feb. 7

Leafs vs. Stars Preview

It’s the second of two matches between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Dallas Stars this season, with the Leafs winning the first game, 4-1, back on Oct. 26. The Leafs have won five consecutive games against the Stars while posting a 17-4-0 record over their past 21 meetings. Sports betting on the NHL is only going to get more interesting post-Allstar game as teams shuffle around the standings and more trades are made to separate the playoff teams from the also-rans.

Leafs vs. Stars Details

Date: Feb. 7, 2024

Time: 7:00 p.m. EST

Location: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto, ON)

How to watch: TV: Sportsnet; Radio: Sportsnet 590

Leafs Insights

The noose is tightening a little more in Leafs’ land, after their 3-2 loss to the New York Islanders on home ice Monday night. Sloppy play – especially on a player change at the end of a power play which saw Kyle MacLean get behind the defense for a breakaway and the Isles’ second goal – had Leafs’ coach Sheldon Keefe exasperated in the news conference afterwards.

🏒 Bet on Stars vs. Maple Leafs at FanDuel 🏒

The Leafs have a lot of millionaires on their roster and nothing but playoff crap-outs to show for it, on top of that 57-year Stanley Cup drought. As of this morning, the Leafs are at 25-15-8, for 58 points, fourth in the Atlantic Division, sixth in the Eastern Conference. The top three teams from each of the two divisions in the Eastern Conference make it, then the next two best teams. The Leafs as of this morning would make it, along with the Detroit Red Wings, but the Islanders are right on their tail, with 54 points.

🏒 Bet on Stars vs. Maple Leafs at DraftKings 🏒

Calle Järnkrok is week-to-week with a broken knuckle, and David Kämpf is also out with an undisclosed issue. Toronto’s power play currently sits at 8^th in the NHL at 25 per cent, but their penalty has been bad all season – 77.8 per cent, 23^rd in the league.

Ilya Samsonov is listed as probable starter for the Leafs tonight (8-4-5, with two shutouts, 3.35 GAA, .879 SV%). Auston Matthews is still setting a 70-goal pace up front, with 40 to date.

Stars Insights

Dallas is having a great year – 31-13-6, for 68 points, just five back of the Vancouver Canucks for No. 1 in the Western Conference. They’re coming into this game on a four-game winning streak, with a 15-5-4 road record. Scott Wedgewood is listed as probable starter in goal for the Stars tonight (13-4-4, with one shutout, 2.98 GAA, .899 SV%).

🏒 Bet on Stars vs. Maple Leafs at FanDuel 🏒

Jason Robertson is having an elite season, leading the team with 50 points, while Roope Hintz leads the team with 22 goals. The Stars have the 13^th-best power play in the league at 22.5 per cent, but they also have the 8^th best penalty kill, at 82.7 per cent. Both teams are elite on faceoffs – Dallas is 54.6 per cent (second in the NHL), and the Leafs are 54.4 per cent (third).

Player Props

According to BetMGM, Auston Matthews Over 1.5 Points (2.40), Hintz Over 0.5 Powerplay Points (4.33), and Mitch Marner Over 0.5 Powerplay Points (2.95) are most bet player props as of this morning.

At DraftKings most bet player props are led by Matthews Anytime Goalscorer (1.80), Matthews Over 1.5 Points (2.40), Robertson Over 0.5 Points (1.48), John Tavares Over 0.5 Points (1.63), Hintz Over 0.5 Points (1.71).

At BetRivers, top 3 player props by percentage of total Leafs-Stars money: Hintz To Score At Least 1 PP Point (No – 1.28), John Tavares Over 3.5 Shots On Goal (1.82), and Marner Over 2.5 Shots On Goal (1.70), and top 3 player props by percentage of total Leafs-Stars tickets: Matthew To Score (1.83), Hintz To Score At Least 1 PP Point (No – 1.28), and Tavares Over 3.5 Shots On Goal (1.82).

Leafs vs. Stars Betting Odds: Our Picks & Predictions

Moneyline 1.74 (Leafs), 2.15 (Stars)

Spread -1.5 2.70 (Leafs), +1.5 1.45 (Stars)

Over/Under 6.5

On the NHL betting front, with that road record, go with the Stars on the Moneyline, despite the fact they have a back-up goaltender going in there. The Leafs are going to have to make some moves at the trade deadline, especially with their weak corps on defense.

	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
BetMGM	Leafs 1.75, Stars 2.10	Leafs -1.5 (2.70), Stars +1.5 (1.48)	6.5, 1.87 on the Over, 1.95 on the Under
888 Sport	Leafs 1.70, Stars 2.15	Leafs -1.5 (2.75), Stars +1.5 (1.45)	6.5, 1.85 on the Over, 1.95 on the Under
theScore Bet	Leafs 1.74, Stars 2.15	Leafs -1.5 (2.70), Stars +1.5 (1.47)	6.5, 1.87 on the Over, 1.95 on the Under