Who Will Win The Ballon d'Or 2022? Here's The Latest Odds

Who Will Win The Ballon d'Or 2022? Here's The Latest Odds
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The dust has barely settled on the 2021 Ballon d’Or vote, which saw Lionel Messi crowned the best player in the world for a record-extending seventh time.

The race to win next year’s award will begin in just a few weeks’ time and the leading football betting sites have already made Messi favourite to win yet another Ballon d'Or next year.

A big question mark over the next ballot surrounds the 2022 World Cup, which will take place in November and December. If France Football, the presenters of the prestigious prize, sticks to its usual timetable, votes will be cast before the competition gets under way. However, they could delay the award of the Ballon d’Or until after the tournament in Qatar.

Winning the World Cup is by no means a requisite for being named the standout performer across the calendar year. Lionel Messi triumphed in 2010 and 2014, when Spain and Germany won the respective World Cups in South Africa and Brazil.

Yet performances at the quadrennial tournament tend to have a significant influence on the voters. Luka Modric won the Ballon d’Or in 2018 after leading Croatia to the World Cup final, and Fabio Cannavaro’s role in inspiring Italy to glory was the principal reason for his Ballon d’Or victory in 2006.

The same can be said for Zinedine Zidane in 1998 and Ronaldo in 2002. Indeed in the last eight votes held in World Cup years, 21 out of 24 podium positions (first, second and third) have gone to a player whose country reached the semi-finals or final.

Let’s take a look at the main contenders to win the 2022 Ballon d’Or.

2022 Ballon d'Or Betting Odds

Lionel Messi5/1Betfair
Robert Lewandowski5/1Paddy Power
Mo Salah6/1Unibet
Cristiano Ronaldo6/1Betfair
Kylian Mbappe8/1Paddy Power

Can Lionel Messi Win an Eighth Crown?

Messi (5/1) has had an underwhelming start to life at Paris Saint-Germain, but he was outstanding in the first half of 2021 with Barcelona. Nevertheless his seventh Ballon d’Or was primarily secured because of his displays at the Copa America, where Messi scored four goals and provided five assists to help Argentina win their first trophy since 1993.

Similar exploits at the World Cup would virtually guarantee Messi a second consecutive Ballon d’Or, but Argentina are only the sixth-favourites in the World Cup betting to triumph in Qatar as things stand.

Moreover there is no guarantee that France Football will wait until after the tournament to collect their votes. If that is the case, Messi will surely need to win the Champions League to stand a chance of bagging another gong. Even if he does so, he could be outshone by Neymar or Kylian Mbappe in a star-studded PSG side.

It could be World Cup or bust as far as Messi’s hunt for an eighth Ballon d’Or is concerned.


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Will Robert Lewandowski Finally Claim the Prize?

Lewandowski (5/1) only narrowly missed out on the 2021 prize, amassing 580 votes to Messi’s 613. Many feel he was harshly done by for the second year running. Had France Football not controversially cancelled the 2020 award due to the pandemic, Lewandowski would surely already have a Ballon d’Or on his mantelpiece.

Despite having one of the world’s best players at their disposal, Poland have done nothing of note in recent tournaments. They might not even qualify for Qatar. Lewandowski and co. face Russia in the play-off semi-finals, before a possible final against Sweden or the Czech Republic.

Bayern Munich are well fancied in the Champions League betting odds, and a victory there could be enough to bring him the award he may feel he is owed. With 27 goals in 21 club appearances this season, his scoring numbers are certainly holding up aged 33.


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Can Mohamed Salah Break Europe and South America’s Dominance?

Salah (6/1) is arguably the most in-form player in world football right now. He has made a stunning start to the season with Liverpool and continues to score and or assist in almost every game.

It is worth noting, though, that nothing he has done in recent months will count towards next year’s Ballon d’Or. It is highly unlikely that Salah’s form will fall off a cliff once 2021 becomes 2022, but he will probably need to win honours with club or country to be in with a chance of becoming Africa’s first Ballon d’Or recipient since George Weah made history in 1995.

Liverpool's odds have shortened significantly in the Champions League and Premier League betting, but there is a long way to go in both competitions. Salah has a great opportunity to win silverware at the Africa Cup of Nations in February, where Egypt are currently the favourites.

Has Cristiano Ronaldo Got One More Ballon d’Or in him?

Ronaldo (6/1) recently scored his 800th career goal, a record which is even more impressive than his five Ballon d’Ors. He will nevertheless be desperate to be crowned the world’s best player for a sixth time in 2022, by which time he will be nearing his 38th birthday.

According to the best betting sites, the Premier League title race is already over for Manchester United, but the quality within the squad Ralf Rangnick has inherited means a Champions League triumph cannot be ruled out, as unlikely as that may seem right now.

If Ronaldo scores plenty of goals en route to winning a record-equalling sixth European Cup, the Ballon d’Or may be his regardless of what happens at the World Cup – for which Portugal will potentially need to beat Italy in a play-off final to qualify.


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Will Kylian Mbappe Usher in a New Era?

Mbappe (8/1) and Erling Haaland are widely seen as the successors to Messi and Ronaldo, although they are unlikely to win a combined 12 Ballon d’Ors.

Unlike many of the players named here (and, indeed, Haaland), Mbappe plays for two of the market leaders in the Champions League and World Cup betting in PSG and France. That could work to his advantage in the Ballon d’Or race – provided he wins at least one tournament, of course.

However, Mbappe is not the sole star for club or country. He shares the limelight with Messi and Neymar at PSG, while N’Golo Kante, Paul Pogba, Karim Benzema or Antoine Griezmann could easily emerge as France’s star man in Qatar. Mbappe might have to wait a little longer for his first Ballon d’Or.