Ballon D'Or Odds: Yamal And Mbappe Favourites For Coveted Prize
Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappe are battling for favouritism on betting sites to be crowned next year's Ballon d'Or winner.
The two La Liga stars have been lighting it up for Real Madrid and Barcelona, respectively, particularly Mbappe, who has bagged 17 goals in all competitions to date.
Madrid lead Barca by just one point in the league, while both teams are currently in the top half of the Champions League standings.
Winning the Champions League is always a big boost to a player's chance of winning the Ballon d'Or, and both Spanish teams are priced at 9/1 to win Europe's elite club competition
Not far behind the market leaders, outstanding goalscoring performances from Harry Kane and Erling Haaland have helped them be the only other two players with single-figure odds.
Even by their own lofty standards, both strikers have been in impeccable form, both averaging well over a goal a game in all competitions.
The Ballon d'Or season runs from August 1, 2025, to July 31, 2026, so performances at the World Cup in North America will also count.
Haaland will be leading the line for Norway at the tournament after scoring 16 goals in qualifying, while Kane will again captain England at the finals, having bagged eight goals in qualifying.
Yamal Well Placed
To win the Ballon d’Or, a player needs to have been part of a successful team, and Yamal already looks to have a good chance with both club and country over the next nine months.
Yamal has netted four goals and provided six assists in La Liga for Barcelona, who are just one point adrift of leaders Real Madrid.
The teenage winger has scored a couple of goals in the Champions League, but Barca were lucky to get a point in a thrilling 3-3 draw at Club Brugge last time out, which has left them just outside the top 10.
European champions Spain are the 5/1 favourites with some football betting sites to lift the World Cup for a second time next year, so Yamal has a great chance if Barca can deliver domestically and in Europe.
At 18 years of age, Yamal has plenty of time on his hands to win multiple Ballon d’Or awards, and he is 5/2 favourite with QuinnBet as things stand.
Ballon d'Or 2025 Odds:
Mbappe's Year?
Mbappe's performances for Madrid have been outstanding, and the former PSG man is now 3/1 second favourite to win the Ballon d’Or.
The striker had scored in 11 consecutive matches for Real Madrid and France earlier in the season, only for that run to end in a 1-0 victory over Juventus in the Champions League.
The leading scorer in La Liga (13), only Victor Osimhen has scored more than his five goals in the Champions League, and he was the top marksman for France in World Cup qualifying.
If Madrid can bag another league title or Champions League, Mbappe would have a great chance of winning his first Ballon d'Or.
Prolific Kane Staking Claim
Michael Owen was the last English player to win the Ballon d’Or, but could Kane end a 25-year wait by becoming the next one?
The England captain was rated the 10th best player in 2017 and 2018, but he has been on fire for club and country this season.
Kane has scored 14 goals in just 11 appearances in the Bundesliga in what has been another dominant display by Bayern Munich.
League Goals Scored This Season To Date (24/11/25)
Player | Games | Goals |
Harry Kane | 11 | 14 |
Erling Haaland | 12 | 14 |
Kylian Mbappe | 13 | 13 |
Vinicius Junior | 13 | 5 |
Lamine Yamal | 9 | 4 |
Bayern also top the Champions League table with 12 points from four games during which the former Tottenham striker has scored five goals.
England have already qualified for next year’s World Cup and are second favourites with France to lift the trophy in North America, so Kane is clearly a livewire to win the Ballon d’Or.
Having been 7/1 on betting apps, he is now just 4/1.
What a feeling ! 🏆 pic.twitter.com/A0lmSJGlYL
— Harry Kane (@HKane) May 10, 2025
Haaland In Hot Form
Erling Haaland is unlikely to win the World Cup with Norway, but his 16 goals in qualification have helped his country make it to next year's tournament, and he has also been in red-hot form for Manchester City despite the team's inconsistency in the Premier League.
His 14 Premier League goals are already five more than his nearest challenger, and he also has five in the Champions League.
Haaland was 10/1 in the Ballon d’Or betting odds last month, but those odds have been cut to 6/1 with William Hill.
Still only 25, the big Norwegian still has plenty of years to win the coveted players' trophy.
Vinicius And Saka Among Outsiders
Bukayo Saka is priced at 25/1 to win this season's Ballon d'Or.
Saka has been in excellent form for Premier League leaders Arsenal.
If the Gunners can make it over the line at the end of the season, the England international's odds will shorten significantly.
Vinicius Junior (33/1) has also had a stellar season to date, registering five goals and four assists for league leaders Real Madrid.
The Brazilian finished runner-up in 2024, so he will be looking to go one better this time around.
Messi Rolling Back The Years
With eight wins to his name, Lionel Messi (25/1) holds the record for the most Ballon d'Or victories.
Now 38, the former Barcelona and PSG star was thought to be coming to the end of his career, but the World Cup winner has been revitalised playing for Inter Miami in the MLS.
PSG playmaker Vitinha, third last year, is an outsider at 33/1, the same price as Pedri and last year's winner Ousmane Dembele.
Who do you think will win this season's Ballon d'Or? Let us know in the comments below!
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