Can Donald Trump Win The 2024 US Election?
Donald Trump has given the biggest hint yet that he plans to run for president at the 2024 US election after all-but admitting defeat to Joe Biden this time around.
President Trump is all set to leave the White House in January after the American public voted to oust the Republican after just one term in office.
Trump has branded Biden’s victory “rigged” without offering evidence of voter fraud. And while some voters may have hoped to see the last of the businessman, it appears as though he has aspirations of returning in 2024.
Speaking at a Christmas reception at the White House, Trump said: "It's been an amazing four years. We are trying to do another four years. Otherwise, I’ll see you in four years.”
His comments come exactly a month after Trump thought he had won the 2020 vote on election day. The Republican led his Democratic rival Biden in a swathe of key states, only for Biden to come back and pick up six million more votes than Trump once mail-in ballots had been counted.
But will Trump really run for president again? The latest US politics betting odds on Trump winning in 2024 have already come down from 25/1 to a new price of 6/1 with William Hill. What’s more, he is the 10/3 clear favourite to be the Republican nominee.
Here are the top candidates in the 2024 US election odds who could rival Trump for president in four years’ time.
US Election 2024 Odds
Kamala Harris - 7/2
The current favourite with the bookmakers is Biden’s soon-to-be vice president Kamala Harris. The Californian senator was thought to have been a crucial figure in the Democratic push to win back votes in the Rust Belt, which helped tip the 2020 election away from Trump. Considering Biden’s age, Harris would be the likely candidate to earn the nomination for the 2024 vote – and she is even 15/8 to succeed the incoming president before that date.
Joe Biden - 5/1
When the 2024 US election betting markets first opened, Biden was the clear favourite to win the presidency. After all, he had just cruised to victory in the November poll and it looked as though the Trump dynasty was set to fall away. But even within a month of election day, bettors are considering if 78-year-old Biden will stay on to battle for four more years. Biden has already said that his election will pave the way for a younger generation of Democratic politicians to come through – and his odds of winning in 2024 are widening.
Donald Trump - 6/1
Could it happen? Trump has thrown plenty of lawsuits at legislators over the past few weeks in a flailing attempt to overturn the election result – and in doing so inflame his base. His comments at the White House Christmas gathering should be taken seriously by the GOP. For Trump still holds sway over millions of disenfranchised voters, and if he opted to run again then there’s little the Republican top brass could do about it.
Nikki Haley - 16/1
Trump’s hint that he will be back to fight the next election has caused a shift in the politics betting markets for other Republicans. Nikki Haley – the former Republican Governor of South Carolina – may have wide appeal among American demographics but she isn’t Trump. And her odds have ballooned from 12/1 to 16/1 to win the 2024 US election. Haley didn’t exactly leap to back up the president’s claim of voter fraud on the days after the election. But she is a strong potential candidate if Trump doesn’t run.
Mike Pence - 18/1
One man who has kept largely out of the controversy during the 2020 election fall-out is Mike Pence. Trump’s vice president seems to be getting on with his job, possibly with one eye on 2024. He is well placed to take up the Republican nomination if Trump decides not to run – and now has the aptitude and connections in the highest office to work as an experienced politician. However, Pence’s odds have also widened since Trump’s speech.
Nina Turner - 19/1
A fresh face in the betting market, Nina Turner is a former Ohio State Senator and supporter of Bernie Sanders. Having pledged her allegiance to the Democratic Party throughout her career, 52-year-old Turner could become the new left-leaning face of American politics, in place of veteran Sanders.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - 25/1
Having entered the political sphere in 2018 with her election to Congress, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is another left-leaning Democrat who gains plenty of support in urban communities. Like Turner, she is seen as a more palatable version of Sanders – someone who can unite wings of the Democratic Party and potentially capture the centre ground in America. AOC’s odds have widened in recent weeks, while even getting the nomination for 2024 could be tricky with Biden, Harris and a number of white, male Democrats likely to be considering themselves for the election.
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