Who Will Sign Kylian Mbappe On A Free Transfer Next Summer?
Football betting sites are so convinced that Kylian Mbappe will sign for Real Madrid next summer that at the moment you can’t even get a bet on that outcome.
Betting on Mbappe’s future had been available right up until the end of the 2021 summer transfer window, when only one team – Los Blancos – looked willing and able to do business with Paris Saint-Germain and Madrid had been trading at 2/5 to be his next club.
Much to the dismay of Real president Florentino Pérez, the French side refused to accept a staggering offer of €200million for a player who is out of contract and available for free in the summer of 2022.
Perez has voiced his frustration at “state-owned clubs” refusing to do business when it makes economical sense to do so and will likely take pleasure in poaching Mbappe for free next year, if reports are to be believed.
Will Mbappe Move To Real Madrid?
But is Mbappe to Madrid as nailed on as we are led to believe? One of the reasons the Bernabeu outfit were keen to pay €200m for him during the last transfer window was to steal a march on other interested parties, namely Liverpool, Manchester City and Chelsea.
Madrid are still very much in the driving seat having signalled their intent with genuine offers in the summer and Mbappe has publicly admitted that he was willing to leave had PSG accepted one of their bids.
Yet Real are not the force they were two or three years ago and should they fail to make any sort of impression in this season’s Champions League then Mbappe could easily have his head turned by any number of Premier League clubs, who are capable of matching or bettering Madrid’s wage capacity.
Indeed, when looking at the Champions league outright odds, Premier League clubs are expected to dominate the latter stages once again this season, with bookies offering even-money (1/1) on another English winner this season after Chelsea lifted the trophy last May.
Manchester City (7/2), Liverpool (6/1) and holders Chelsea (7/1) are all single figure odds in the betting, while even Manchester United (14/1) can’t be ruled out of the equation if they make a smart appointment to replace Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.
To put those odds into perspective, Real Madrid are a longer shot than any of the English sides at 25/1 to win the Champions League this year, so if those probabilities are to be believed, Mbappe may yet decide his dream move to the Bernabeu can wait until the club is in better shape.
Is Mbappe Going To Manchester?
Besides Real Madrid, much of the talk around Mbappe’s next move has actually revolved around Liverpool – and the club’s record goalscorer Ian Rush has urged the Reds to go out and get him – but the reality is the club’s owners are likely to be put off by Mbappe’s wage demands.
Given his talent, age and commercial value, Mbappe can expect something in the region of €400k per week in reimbursements if he signs for a club on a free transfer, which would make a mockery of Liverpool’s current wage structure.
As such, Manchester City appears to be a much more likely destination as Mbappe’s next club, with the oil-rich Premier League champions in a much stronger position to take financial risks than Liverpool.
However, Pep Guardiola is very meticulous when it comes to the role of a forward in his side, and whether or not his preferred playing style would lead him to Mbappe is anyone’s guess.
Meanwhile, Manchester United are not afraid to throw money at problems and you can be sure board room discussions have been held on whether or not they plan to offer Mbappe a deal next year. It would certainly be the type of signing to appease growing unrest among the Old Trafford support.
Could Newcastle Sign Mbappe?
Incredibly, Newcastle are now one of the richest clubs in the world following Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) takeover and can be categorised under the “state-owned clubs” that have irked Florentino Pérez so much in recent years.
They’re currently in a relegation battle in the Premier League but they will hope to buy their way out of trouble in the January transfer window before building something special on Tyneside.
Making Mbappe the best paid player on the planet would certainly signal Newcastle’s intent to Europe’s top dogs, but is it just wishful thinking and paper talk?
“Anything can happen,” former France midfielder Emmanuel Petit told Gambling.com when asked above Mbappe’s future.
“We see what’s happened with Newcastle United – there have been rumours and you never know what’s going to happen at the end of the day, things can turn very easily and very quickly.
“There is a big link with Real Madrid and I know that in his mind when he was a child he was dreaming of playing for clubs like this, because of the stars they have there and the history of the club.
“I think he’s been frustrated and tired by the situation at PSG over the past year. We’ve seen some trouble on the pitch between players both at Paris Saint-Germain and the national team, which was reflective in his game and his mood.
“Maybe he’s interested in Real Madrid because he’s tired of what’s happening here in France. I think he gets the feeling sometimes that he doesn’t get the same recognition as players like [Lionel] Messi or Neymar.
“Messi, before he came here, he was the king of Barcelona. But for me, the king of Paris Saint-Germain is Mbappe, not Messi or Neymar. With all the respect I have for Messi, Mbappe is still number one.”
The ‘King’ of PSG Can Still Improve
Mbappe has seven goals and seven assists in 13 Ligue 1 games this season, not to mention five assists in four Champions League games.
His form is all the more impressive given he went public with his desire to join leave Ligue 1 for La Liga and felt the wrath of opposing fans who feel the 22-year-old has gotten a little too big for his boots in his homeland.
“For me he’s been the best player at PSG since the beginning of the season and he still has a bit of time left on his contract,” said Petit.
“At the beginning of the season he was being booed at every single stadium in France because of the stuff about what the press were saying about his transfer to Real Madrid and that he doesn’t want to sign a new deal with Paris Saint-Germain.
“Yet from the first minute of the season he’s been their best player, he’s taken on that responsibility and shown real character. Honestly, what he’s doing at his age leaves me speechless. The next few months will be crucial for his career and I’m expecting him to reach an even higher level.”
Petit is blown away by how well Mbappe is able to handle himself at the age of 22, with the young Frenchman coming across extremely articulate when faced with the Parisian media.
He said: “He has been incredible in terms of scoring goals and making assists, but the way he has developed himself on the pitch and off the pitch as well, the way he’s communicating with the press and the way he talks. The maturity he’s showing, for me, is impressive for his age – especially with the pressure he receives every single game.
“He's got so much ambition and he's got so much quality as well. The fight is still young and he’s showing so much maturity on the pitch and he’s improved mentally since he left Monaco for Paris Saint-Germain.”
Mbappe Fuelling France Resurgence
It has been suggested that Mbappe’s rampant form this season stems from his frustration at what was a poor European Championship for France and for their young forward on a personal level.
France were outright favourites in the Euros betting but crashed out of the tournament to Switzerland on penalties, with Mbappe missing the crucial kick.
The French camp had not been a happy one during the summer but Petit believes differences have been put to one side and with Mbappe firing again – he hit four goals in one game against Kazakhstan during last week’s international break – France are looking in good shape to defend the World Cup next year.
“You know, you cannot win every single competition,” said Petit, reflecting on the Euros.
“So what happened at the Euros on the pitch and off the pitch has been settled between the players, I think. And if you look at the recent games they’ve won, you can see that.
“Okay, with all due respect for Kazakhstan, it was not one of the greatest teams in the world, but France did a very good job and most importantly they look to be taking pleasure on the pitch, which is for me the most important thing. It’s the best message you can send to the fans and to people.
“During the Euros you could see that they had no pleasure on the pitch but they have recovered their pleasure between each other. For me, this is the most important thing. We've qualified for the World Cup and I think the way they’ve done it was very good as well, it was the best answer to the critics.”
France are currently 7/1 in the outright betting on Qatar 2022 with Brazil the favourites at 11/2.
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