Eurovision Betting Tips: Four Predictions For The 2023 Song Contest Final

Date IconLast Updated: 13 May 2023
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Eurovision Betting Tips: Four Predictions For The 2023 Song Contest Final
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Eurovision Tips: 

Following on from Tuesday and Thursday’s 100% televote Eurovision semi-finals, we now switch to juries and televoters each accounting for 50% of the voting. 

Countries performed in the jury show on Friday night, so when taking to the stage on Saturday half the result is already in place. Keep an eye on any Eurovision betting odds moves since Friday night. 

How Will 2022 Winners Ukraine Fare?

Ukraine’s presence once again complicates things as it remains to be seen how televoters will treat them. The song is much worse than last year and they didn’t receive as many televotes as expected at junior Eurovision. 

I think they will be out of the top four but in the top 10 – perfectly respectable. 

While Sweden and Finland look nailed on to be top four, the remaining two slots are up for grabs. 

2023 Eurovision Winner Betting Odds
Best Odds
% Chance
Croatia
26.67%
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Ukraine
22.22%
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--
--
--
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Italy
11.11%
--
--
--
--
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Belgium
7.69%
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--
--
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Switzerland
7.69%
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--
--
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Sweden
5.88%
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France
5.26%
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--
--
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Netherlands
4.76%
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--
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Lithuania
4.35%
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--
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United Kingdom
4.35%
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Teams Best Odds
Croatia
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5/2Betway
Ukraine
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Italy
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Belgium
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Switzerland
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Sweden
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16/1BetVictor
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France
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Big-priced podium finishes are common at Eurovision and the one I like is Czech Republic. 

Having performed really well in Tuesday’s semi-final, their draw in stall 14 could have been better, but the song is high quality. 

Odds of 150/1 on several betting sites is an effective 18/1 to place and that is fair.  

Tips for Maximizing Your Eurovision Betting Success

With Sweden set to dominate the jury vote more than Finland will the televote, it is worth backing them to finish in that order at 6/4. Any result other than these two finishing first and second will be a surprise. 

Italy have a better draw than 'big five' rivals Spain and France and their ballad will do very well with juries. Betway's odds of 4/1 to be best of the 'big five' make plenty of appeal.

Meanwhile, Bet365 have priced up the number of 12 points countries will receive from jurors and France look a good bet to receive five or less at 8/11.

Vocals were very shaky in rehearsals and jurors often approach the contest with pre-conceived notions, so they will really need to turn it around to manage six or more maximums.