Premier League Top Four Odds: Can Liverpool Gatecrash The Party?
Last Updated
: 12 May 2023
Liverpool have blown the race for a top-four finish wide open after rattling off six consecutive victories over the past month.
Betting sites still make Jurgen Klopp’s men the underdogs in the battle for Champions League places, but their recent form could make their rivals jittery.
Man City and Arsenal are home and dry, leaving just two places up for grabs as we approach the business end of the season.
Newcastle are currently third in the standings, with 65 points, while Man Utd are clinging onto fourth place, with a 63-point haul.
However, they have lost their last two games, and they are now just one point clear of Klopp’s marauding Liverpool side.
United fans will be relieved to note that the Red Devils still have a game in hand on Liverpool, so their destiny is firmly in their own hands.
Yet they need to return to winning ways quickly if they are to hold off their fierce rivals in this battle.
You can find the updated odds below, followed by our analysis of each team’s chances of securing a coveted top-four finish.
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Newcastle Top 4 Odds
Newcastle’s hopes of clinching a top-four finish suffered a blow when they lost 2-0 to Arsenal at St James’ Park last weekend.
The Magpies created plenty of chances in that game, but Aaron Ramsdale was in inspired form for the visitors.
It snapped a three-match winning streak for Eddie Howe’s men, and it left them just three points clear of the Liverpool juggernaut.
They need to return to winning ways quickly, starting with a slightly daunting trip to Elland Road on Saturday.
Leeds are fighting against Premier League relegation, and they could cause Newcastle problems under new manager Sam Allardyce.
The Magpies must then host Brighton and Leicester - another relegation-threatened team - before heading to Stamford Bridge to lock horns with Chelsea on the final day of the season.
It is not the easiest of run-ins, but Newcastle still have the best defensive record in the league this term, and Alexander Isak and Callum Wilson are in fine form in attack.
They have also won eight of their last 10 matches, so Newcastle are now at just 1.12 with football betting sites to finish in the top four.
Man Utd Top 4 Odds
United remain the odds-on favourites to seal a top-four finish at Liverpool’s expense and despite their recent wobble, they are 1.3 with Unibet to finish in the Champions League places.
The Red Devils lost 1-0 to West Ham last weekend, and they suffered a 1-0 defeat to Brighton in their previous game.
However, it is worth noting that both of those defeats came on the road, and United have a much better record at Old Trafford this season.
Erik ten Hag’s men have earned 12 wins, three draws and just one defeat from their 16 home matches, leaving them with 2.44 points per game at Old Trafford.
By contrast, they have only managed to secure 1.33 points per game away from home, which is largely down to their leaky defence.
At Old Trafford, Man Utd have only conceded eight goals this season, compared to 33 away from home. Fortunately, three of their remaining four matches will take place at the Theatre of Dreams - they host Wolves this weekend, followed by a trip to Bournemouth and then home games against Chelsea and Fulham.
They are still missing key defenders Raphael Varane and Lisandro Martínez through injury, but their home form should provide the fans with encouragement.
Liverpool Top 4 Odds
Liverpool turned a corner in the second half of their showdown with Arsenal at Anfield on April 9.
The Reds were 2-0 down after 28 minutes in that game, but they overhauled the deficit, and they were unlucky not to win it after more heroics from Ramsdale.
Since that 2-2 draw, they have eased to six consecutive wins, sweeping Leeds, Nottingham Forest, West Ham, Spurs, Fulham and Brentford aside.
Klopp now has a full cadre of attacking superstars at his disposal, allowing him to rotate Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, Luis Diaz, Darwin Nunez and Diogo Jota.
They have banged in 17 goals in their last six games, and they really have the bit between their teeth now.
Klopp’s men have already surged past the likes of Spurs and Brighton in the table, and they have United in their sights.
They are the clear favourites to beat Leicester, Aston Villa and Southampton in their final three games, so some punters may fancy their chances of gatecrashing the top four party.
You can grab odds of 2.75 at Bet365 on Liverpool overhauling either Man Utd or Newcastle in the remaining weeks of the season.
Premier League Top 4 Odds
Brighton have drifted out to 51.0 after suffering a disastrous 5-1 defeat to Everton last time out.
It left them seventh in the standings, 10 points behind Newcastle and eight below Man Utd.
The Seagulls have a game in hand on both teams, but it is now highly unlikely that they will be playing Champions League football next season.
Spurs are now priced at 501.0 with betting apps, as they sit eight points below Newcastle and six short of Man Utd, having played the same number of games.
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