Ireland Eurovision Odds: Brooke Scullion Destined For Semi-Final Failure
Dire Straits, Manchester United, Boris Becker, Ireland at the Eurovision. All major players in the 80’s and 90’s but all on the wane since the glory days.
Ireland are ostensibly Eurovision king-pins with seven wins. The glory days of Jonny Logan, Niamh Kavanagh and Rock ‘n’ Roll Kids are fondly remembered by euro-fans of a certain vintage.
However, Ireland’s days of being a serious operator are very much in the past, and that much is reflected in the 2022 Eurovision betting odds.
Our record in recent years is deplorable, failing to qualify from the semi-final in nine of the last 16 contests. RTE are responsible with selecting Ireland’s entry each year and until there is a culture shift on that front, it looks like little will change in the foreseeable future.
Ireland’s 2022 Eurovision Entry
For the first time in seven years, Ireland selected their Eurovision entry using a public competition. Brooke Scullion emerged from the Late Late Show contest victorious, with the self-penned That’s Rich. Teeny-pop with a touch of Katy Perry, this is an up-tempo track which will help it stand out in a year with many ballads.
However, the Katy Perry comparisons are apt, given the song sounds like a chart number from 2015. The Derry-born performer has struggled to nail down her staging on the various pre-Eurovision circuit. A mish-mash of outfits, backing dancers, drums and guitars has all looked a little shoddy.
As Eurovision is 50-50 televote and jury vote, vocal competence is extremely important. On that front, Brooke has really struggled with nailing every note as the hyper-pop nature of the track makes it difficult to master.
So What Are The Chances?
Ireland perform in the tougher second semi-final on Thursday, with 10 of the 18 entrants going forward to the Saturday showpiece. Sounds straightforward enough, doesn’t it? However, seven of the 10 entries are almost certain qualifiers, leaving only three places to fight for between the 11 remaining acts.
The show producers could not have been kinder to Ireland, giving them every chance with a berth in stall 10, sandwiched between two low-energy tracks. Everything should be in Ireland’s favour to scrape through.
However, the major worry of the stage-show hangs over the act, and qualification looks very unlikely in my opinion, but also in the eyes of most betting sites.
Ireland received the dreaded nul points in the influential OGAE fan poll, and finished 35th of 40 in the Euro Jury poll, which combines jury and fan votes, similar to the contest itself.
By far the most likely angle is a poor showing, finishing somewhere between 12th and 18th in the semi-final. An early exit looms.
Is There A Betting Angle?
No, novelty and entertainment betting sites are wise to Ireland’s chances this year, with Brooke’s effort a general 3/1 shot to make it out of the semi-final. I wouldn’t back it with another zero on the end.
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