A History of Statistics in The Premier League at Christmas

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Secondly, we have seen Premier League leaders at Christmas falter in recent times.

For example, Liverpool enjoyed a four-point advantage during the 2018/19 season before eventually being reeled in by Manchester City.

Two seasons ago, the Reds were five points clear but Pep Guardiola’s side showed their nerve during the business end of the campaign to become champions.

City’s squad have the knowhow in this position of chasing a league leader and it’s an unusual situation for Arsenal to find themselves.

Times Top of The Table at Christmas

Team	Top At Christmas Tally
Man Utd	7
Liverpool	6
Chelsea	5
Newcastle	2
Arsenal	3
Man City	3
Norwich	1
Blackburn	1
Aston Villa	1
Leeds	1
Leicester	1

It’s pretty crazy that Manchester City have only been Christmas table-toppers three times since the inaugural 1992-93 season considering that the north-west side have recorded twice as many triumphs.

It is clear that City have been able to keep their nerve and string together a number of wins during the second half of respective campaigns and that’s despite competing hard in the Champions League on several occasions.

The above table won’t make for happy reading if you’re a Liverpool supporter considering that they have a solitary Premier League title to show for their six Christmas Day leads, with that coming when enjoying a runaway success during the 2019-20 season.

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Manchester City currently boast a 100% record when it comes to being top before the Boxing Day fixtures and managing to retain the number one position.

It should also be noted that Chelsea have been able to turn the screw on each of the five occasions that they have led the chasing pack at Christmas, with the Blues becoming champions each time.

We now have 30 completed Premier League seasons and sixteen of the teams who have led the way at Christmas have gone on to land the title.

The current campaign has featured the smallest number of matches played before the festive period and that means the majority of games are still to take place.

Premier League - Winner

Wednesday 8th February 2023

	% Chance	£20	£30	£30	£40	£20	10	£100

Arsenal FC	59.88%	8/13	1/2	4/6	--	8/13	8/13	8/13
Manchester City	34.78%	6/4	15/8	6/4	--	6/4	9/5	7/4
Manchester United	5.88%	14/1	10/1	14/1	--	14/1	11/1	16/1
Newcastle United	0.99%	66/1	80/1	100/1	--	66/1	50/1	100/1
Tottenham Hotspur	0.33%	250/1	300/1	250/1	--	250/1	250/1	250/1
Liverpool FC	0.13%	500/1	750/1	250/1	--	500/1	400/1	750/1
Brighton & Hove Albion	0.10%	--	1000/1	500/1	--	--	500/1	1000/1
Aston Villa	0.07%	--	--	1500/1	--	--	--	1500/1
Chelsea FC	0.05%	500/1	2000/1	500/1	--	500/1	500/1	1000/1
Fulham FC	0.05%	--	--	1000/1	--	--	--	2000/1
Crystal Palace	0.05%	--	--	1500/1	--	--	--	2000/1
Brentford FC	0.04%	--	--	2500/1	--	--	1000/1	1500/1
West Ham United	0.04%	--	--	2500/1	--	--	--	2500/1
Leicester City	0.03%	--	--	2500/1	--	--	--	3000/1
Leeds United	0.03%	--	--	3000/1	--	--	--	3000/1
Everton FC	0.03%	--	--	3000/1	--	--	--	3000/1
Southampton FC	0.02%	--	--	5000/1	--	--	--	4500/1
Wolverhampton Wanderers	0.02%	--	--	5000/1	--	--	--	4500/1
AFC Bournemouth	0.02%	--	--	5000/1	--	--	--	4500/1
Nottingham Forest	0.02%	--	--	5000/1	--	--	--	4500/1

Team % Chance Best Odds

ARS

59.88%

4/6

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4/6

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1/2

MCI

34.78%

15/8

15/8

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9/5

7/4

6/4

6/4

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6/4

MUN

5.88%

16/1

16/1

14/1

14/1

14/1

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11/1

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10/1

NEW

0.99%

100/1

100/1

100/1

80/1

66/1

66/1

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50/1

TOT

0.33%

300/1

300/1

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LIV

0.13%

750/1

750/1

750/1

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400/1

BRI

0.10%

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AVL

0.07%

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CHE

0.05%

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FUL

0.05%

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CRY

0.05%

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BRE

0.04%

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WHU

0.04%

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LEI

0.03%

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LEE

0.03%

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EVE

0.03%

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SOU

0.02%

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WOL

0.02%

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BRN

0.02%

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NFO

0.02%

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Two Horse Race for the 2022-23 Premier League Title?

The leading Premier League betting sites are making it a two-horse race this season as far as the title is concerned.

While it’s been Manchester City and Liverpool regularly duking it out over the past few years, Arsenal are the new kids on the block.

That’s despite the Gunners not finishing in the top three in any of the previous six seasons.

However, when it comes to the closest title race in Premier League history, then the 2013/14 season incredibly saw five teams being separated by just two points at Christmas.

Liverpool and Arsenal were joint leaders on 36 points, with Manchester City a point further back, while Chelsea and Everton both had 34 points.

Come the end of the season, it was City who were celebrating their second Premier League title and fourth top-flight title in their history.

Liverpool finished second, two points behind City while the Gunners finished fourth.

Closest title races at Christmas

2013 - 2 points between 5 teams
2010 - 3 points between 4 teams
2003 - 1 point between 3 teams
2001 - 3 points between 3 teams

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