Grand National Tips: 5 Outsiders That Could Outrun Their Aintree Odds
Last Updated
: 14 Apr 2023
Grand National Tips: Outsiders To Bet On
- Sam Brown - 80/1 with Bet365
- Fortescue - 80/1 with William Hill
- Coko Beach – 33/1 with Unibet
- The Big Breakaway – 40/1 with Ladbrokes
- Lifetime Ambition – 33/1 with William Hill
The 2023 Randox Health Grand National is almost here, and our racing expert Gavin Beech has picked out five outsiders that could outrun their current odds with betting sites.
You'll find the best up-to-date odds with a wide range of online bookmakers below, as well as a breakdown of our selections for the main event at Aintree this Saturday.
Sam Brown - 80/1
Connections decided to swerve the 2022 Grand National with Sam Brown but a prep run over hurdles at Uttoxeter last month suggests the big one has been on the agenda from a long way out this time around.
Many will be put off by Sam Brown’s age – he’s an 11yo now, but he’s lightly-raced for his age having only had 17 career starts, 12 of which have been over fences, and he has several pieces of high-class form that make him of major interest at big odds.
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Sam Brown is 9lb higher than when winning a Grade 3 handicap chase at this meeting last year but that is deserved given he routed a talented bunch of rivals to the tune of 15 lengths that day.
There was also a lot to like about his reappearance effort in the Charlie Hall Chase at Wetherby, where he got within four lengths of subsequent Gold Cup runner-up Bravemansgame despite carrying slightly more weight than that rival.
Sam Brown stays and jumps really well when on song and, with ground conditions likely to be on the soft side, which he needs, then it would be no surprise if he ran a good deal better than his 80/1 odds suggest.
Fortescue – 80/1
On the face of it, Fortescue probably went into last year’s Grand National in better form than he does this time round but the upside to that is that he is 3lb lower now and we know he handles the Aintree fences because he ran a fine fourth in this season’s Becher Chase, on ground quicker than ideal.
The 8yo couldn’t get near the leaders that day but he stayed on nicely in the closing stages, shaping like he would relish the longer national trip, especially on slower ground which will enable him to lay up a bit handier than he did in the Becher.
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Some of his form from last term is high class, like his Ascot success in February and his third to Royale Pagaille in the Peter Marsh, and he comes into this a relatively fresh horse that should relish conditions.
The key to his chance is holding his early position because he can get behind and he wouldn’t want to be doing that in a Grand National, where making significant ground up has proved so difficult in recent years.
Coko Beach – 33/1
Coko Beach shaped like a non-stayer when weakening back into eighth in last year’s Grand National but he has a possible excuse in that he lost his left-hind shoe and it looks worth giving him another chance because he comes into this in tremendous form.
The Gigginstown 8yo took some notable scalps when running away with the Grand National Trial Handicap at Punchestown in February and although he’s up to a career-high mark, he remains relatively unexposed over marathon trips.
He is proven in big-field, high-class staying handicap chases having won races like the 2021 Thyestes Chase, is versatile ground wise and has a forward run style, so he most definitely can outrun his odds of 33/1 with new betting sites.
The Big Breakaway – 40/1
The Big Breakaway is a bit of an OXO horse over fences in that he either runs very well or doesn’t get round but he looked an Aintree contender all over when running a mighty race in defeat in the Welsh Grand National in December.
The 8yo kept finding in the straight to push winner The Two Amigos all the way to the line, with the pair clear of the rest, and on that evidence The Big Breakaway will not fail in the stamina department at Aintree.
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It’s obviously not ideal that he was pulled up behind Corach Rambler in the Ultima Handicap Chase last month, where he just couldn’t cope with the race tempo, but he’s bounced back from poor runs in the past and he should prove much better suited by the tempo of a soft-ground national.
Now just 1lb higher than at Chepstow, he jumps well when in the groove so it’s easy enough to see him giving it a good shot on Saturday.
Lifetime Ambition – 33/1
Lifetime Ambition took well to the Grand National fences when fourth in the Grand Seften earlier this season and, given that was his first run of a campaign geared around the April showpiece, that run can be looked upon very favourably (travelled well for a long way before getting tired late on).
He’s since gone on to run with great credit behind The Big Dog in the Troytown and Galopin Des Champs in the John Durkan, and connections opted to protect his chase mark by giving him a prep run over hurdles last month.
Long regarded as a national type by connections, he is a horse who retains significant potential as a staying chaser and although he’s not really gone beyond three miles so far in his career, he is regarded as a thorough stayer who will relish tackling a marathon trip.
Versatile ground wise, he looks a really interesting candidate for this at 33/1 with betting apps.
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