Eurovision Betting: How Will Australia Fare at the 2023 Song Contest?

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Eurovision Betting: How Will Australia Fare at the 2023 Song Contest?
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Following a credible debut fifth place in 2015, Australia had a very impressive run of form, finishing second in 2016 and recording top 10 finishes in 2017 and 2019. 

However, the wheels have come off a little with Montaigne failing to qualify in 2021 and Sheldon Reilly only managing 15th place last year. 

Australia’s odds to win the whole contest currently range from 76.0 to 201.0 in the 2023 Eurovision betting.

Eurovision: This Year’s Australia Entry

There is an old Chinese proverb “persistence is favourable”. You have to hand it to Voyager, this year’s entry from Australia, they would do the proverb proud. 

They have submitted entries to represent their nation every year since the Australian Eurovision journey began in 2015. 

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One would have thought the pain of finishing second in 2022 would have sickened the Western Australia five-piece, but on they persevered. 

Their entry this year, Promise, is electro-pop meets metal. Think Metallica and Depeche Mode. 

I’m only one opinion, but to me it is painfully dated. Bands like The Bravery were doing this type of thing 20 years ago, and it was pastiche then. 

Eurovision 2023: What Are Australia’s Chances?

Australia have been handed an absolute peach of a semi-final draw. Voyager perform as the closing act in semi-final two, possibly the worst semi-final in Eurovision history. 

With a half-decent performance from a good draw, they will comfortably qualify for the grand final on Saturday night. 

Beyond that, hopes are limited. A song needs to start well at Eurovision, build to a memorable chorus and have a strong finish. “Promise” starts well, then fails to live up to the title. 

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The chorus is woeful, full of oooh’s, aaaah’s and some inexplicable death metal. In terms of finishing position in the final, I think bottom 10 is far more likely than top 10. 

The song is good enough to beat a small cluster of opponents, so maybe a finish around 20th or 21st will be the end result. 

However, given Australia had such a good semi-final draw, there has to be a worry it will be buried in slot two, three or four in the grand final and there is even a small chance, dare I say it, of a dreaded last place. 

Is There A Betting Angle?

At the time of writing, Australia are as short as 76.0 with Unibet and as long as 101.0 with Bet365 for outright glory (with 1/5 odds four places available for each-way betting).

More realistic in betting terms is 9.0 to win semi-final two, but I find it very difficult to be overly positive about that prospect. 

If it wasn’t for the plum draw I would even think this weak effort could be a surprise non qualifier. However, given the overall standard in the semi-final, it will have enough to get through.

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