10 Essential Premier League Stats to Help With Betting

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10 Essential Premier League Stats to Help With Betting
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Premier League stats are a key tool for football punters seeking to beat the bookmakers with informed bets.

There is an almost overwhelming amount of Premier League data available online, so to help you cut through the noise we've analysed 10 essential Premier League stats here.

Statistics are up to date following the conclusion of the 2023/24 season and can be used to support your bets for the 2024/25 campaign. 

We've restricted our data research to the last five full campaigns in order to give readers a true reflection of recent trends. 

1. Most Common Premier League Final Score: 1-1

Salah celebrates

Premier League matches ended 1-1 on 38 occasions over the course of last season, making 1-1 the most common Premier League result for the fourth time in five years.

8% of games finished 2-1 last term, 7% finished 2-2 and 7% of matches ended with a 3-1 scoreline.

In the 2022/23 season, 1-0 was the most common scoreline, while 1-1 was the most likely final score in the three previous seasons.

Most Common Final Score Stats Over Last 5 Seasons:

  • 2023/24: 1-1 - 10%
  • 2022/23: 1-0 - 12%
  • 2021/22: 1-1 - 11%
  • 2020/21: 1-1 - 11%
  • 2019/20: 1-1 - 13%

2. Most Common Premier League Half-Time Score: 0-0

The most common half-time score in the Premier League was 0-0 in the 2023/24 campaign with 95 matches ending goalless at the break (25% of games).

History tells us to expect matches to be goalless at half-time in each Premier League campaign when looking back over the last five years. In 2022/23, for example, 98 matches (26%) were 0-0 at half-time.

1-0 to the home side was the second-most-common half-time score in the last campaign (19% of matches), while 0-1 to the away side was next with 55 games being in favour of the away team after 45 minutes (14% of games).

All of the best football betting sites have half-time score markets, so it can pay to know what's most likely to happen in the first 45 minutes.

Most Common Half-Time Score Over Last 5 PL Seasons:

  • 2023/24: 0-0 - 25%
  • 2022/23: 0-0 - 26%
  • 2021/22: 0-0 - 29%
  • 2020/21: 0-0 - 28%
  • 2019/20: 0-0 - 27%

3. Impact of Home Advantage: 44% Win Rate (On Average)

Statistics show that home support plays a huge role in the outcome of results in the Premier League, with home teams winning 46% of matches in the 2023/24 season. That's above the average over the last five full seasons (44%).

The power of the home crowd becomes clear when we look at the stats from the 2020/21 campaign, which was played almost entirely in empty stadiums due to the Covid-19 pandemic. 

That season offered the fewest home wins since the Premier League began in 1992, with just 144 (38%) home victories recorded.

last season, Liverpool ended Manchester City's reign as the most dominant home team in the Premier League. The Reds won 15 of their 19 league matches, taking 48 points from a possible 57, losing only once at Anfield in the entire league campaign. 

The Etihad Stadium was the league's main fortress in the five previous seasons, and although City finished second behind Liverpool in the home form table last term - despite not losing a match on home soil - Pep Guardiola's men claimed a fourth straight title.

Home Win Percentage in Last 5 EPL Seasons:

  • 2023/24: 46%
  • 2022/23: 48%
  • 2021/22: 43%
  • 2020/21: 38%
  • 2019/20: 45%

4. Number of Cards Per Game: 3.6 (On Average)

Casemiro yellow card

Betting on yellow and red cards has become very popular with punters, especially now that bet builders are all the rage.

The last campaign saw a huge increase in the average number of cards in Premier League games.

The combined average number of red and yellow cards last season was 4.50 per game. That's way up on the previous year's average of 3.69. Over the course of the last five seasons, the average works out at 3.6 per game

Chelsea were the worst-behaved team in the Premier League last term, totalling 109 yellows and four reds, earning an average of 3.05 cards per game. Burnley picked up more red cards than any other side with seven dismissals as the club were relegated back to the Championship.

Interestingly, during the Covid-disrupted season of 2020/21, the card average dropped to 3.01.

Average Number of Cards Per Game in Last 5 Seasons:

  • 2023/24: 4.50
  • 2022/23: 3.69
  • 2021/22: 3.53
  • 2020/21: 3.01
  • 2019/20: 3.49

5. Goals Per Game Average Over Last 5 Seasons: 2.9 

The 2023/24 campaign broke the Premier League record for goals scored in a season with 1,246 goals. The previous best had been 1,222 set in the inaugural Premier League season in 1992/93, where over 422 games were played by 22 teams.

It has become common to see the 1,000-goal barrier broken during a Premier League season, with this milestone reached in each of the last eight campaigns. There has been a gradual rise in the amount of goals scored per game, although the 2023/24 campaign took that to the next level.

The last time a Premier League season had less than 2.5 goals per game was 2008/09, which ended with an average of 2.48.

In the last campaign over 2.5 goals were scored in 65% of games. This is a useful statistic to bear in mind when backing the over/under market.

PL Goals Per Game Over Last 5 Seasons:

  • 2023/24: 3.28
  • 2022/23: 2.85
  • 2021/22: 2.82
  • 2020/21: 2.69
  • 2019/20: 2.72

6. Both Teams Score: 53% of Matches On Average (Over Last 5 Seasons)

If you're a fan of the BTTS betting market, you'll need up-to-date statistics to help you predict whether both teams will score in a Premier League match.

In the 2023/24 campaign, both sides hit the back of the net in 62% of matches, which is above the average of 53% over the past five full seasons. 

62% is a marked increase on the previous year's Premier League, where both sides found the net in 52% of games - and of course it tallies with the big rise in the number of goals scored.

As you'll see from the below stats, both teams to score is usually a 50/50 chance or thereabouts, but the goal glut of 2023/24 had a big impact on the average. 

Luton Town were big drivers of this statistic as both teams scored in 31 of their 38 games, while Tottenham, Liverpool, West Ham and Wolves were not far behind. Everton were perhaps the dullest team to watch as BTTS bets succeeded in only 39% of their matches.

Both Teams Scoring Over Last 5 Seasons:

  • 2023/24: 62% of matches
  • 2022/23: 52% of matches
  • 2021/22: 50% of matches
  • 2020/21: 49% of matches
  • 2019/20: 51% of matches

7. Time Of Goal Trends: 22% on Average Scored After 76th Minute 

In the 2023/24 season, most goals (24.6%) were scored after the 76th minute of Premier League matches on average, which is fairly consistent with the average of 22% over the last five full seasons.

In total, 307 goals were scored between the 76th minute and the final whistle last term.

It's important to note, when breaking down goals into 15-minute intervals, that 76-90 mins includes added time at the end of a game.

Last year, 18.2% of goals were scored between the 61st and 75th minutes, while 15.9% were scored in the 15 minutes leading up to half-time (198 goals), just shading the 15 minutes after the break when 15.7% of goals were scored. 

The four previous seasons all follow a similar trend, with late goals proving most common as teams grow tired and the game opens up. 

However, there was a significant increase in late drama last season, probably due to more additional time being played in the Premier League than in previous campaigns. 

Timing Of Most Premier League Goals Over Last 5 Seasons (15-Min Segments)

  • 2023/24: 76-90 mins - 24.6%
  • 2022/23: 76-90 mins - 20.0%
  • 2021/22: 76-90 mins - 22.4%
  • 2020/21: 76-90 mins - 21.2%
  • 2019/20: 76-90 mins - 21.6%

8. New Year’s Day League Leader Stats

Liverpool are the latest team to have failed to win the title having been top of the Premier League on New Year’s Day. 

The Reds followed Arsenal in failing to close out the top-flight crown as Jurgen Klopp's men imploded in the German's final season in the Anfield dugout, finishing third in the standings as City pipped the Gunners by two points.

It has become fairly common for New Year’s leaders to be caught by the end of the season. Liverpool have failed more than most due to the impact of City in the latter stages of the campaign. 

The Reds led going into 2021 but Pep Guardiola’s Man City won 15 straight games to close the gap and land their third league title in four seasons. City also triumphed in the 2018/19 season, narrowly edging out Klopp's side.

Teams that have been top of the table on the morning of January 1 have failed to win the title in 15 of 32 Premier League seasons.

Last 5 Teams To Blow A New Year's Day Advantage:

  • 2023/24: Liverpool
  • 2022/23: Arsenal
  • 2020/21: Liverpool
  • 2018/19: Liverpool
  • 2015/16: Arsenal

 

9. Premier League Top Scorer Stats

Erling Haaland Premier League top scorer

Erling Haaland finished with the Premier League Golden Boot for the second season in a row after notching 27 goals in the 2023/24 season.

Haaland broke the record for the number of goals scored in a Premier League season in 2022/23 when he hit 36 in his first year in English football. 

The Norway striker also bucked the trend of Golden Boot winners not winning the Premier League title, becoming the first to do that double since Robin van Persie for Manchester United in the 2012/13 campaign.

In two of the last six years, the award has been shared by multiple players. 

In 2021/22, Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah and Tottenham’s Son Heung-min both hit 23 goals. In 2018/19, Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang plus Liverpool duo Sadio Mane and Mo Salah scored 22 times.

Last 5 Premier League Golden Boot Winners:

  • 2023/24: Erling Haaland (Man City) - 27
  • 2022/23: Erling Haaland (Man City) - 36
  • 2021/22: Son Heung-min (Tottenham), Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) - 23
  • 2020/21: Harry Kane (Tottenham) - 23
  • 2019/20: Jamie Vardy (Leicester) - 23

10. Premier League Most Assists Stats

Ollie Watkins claimed the most assists in the Premier League in the 2023/24 campaign in a productive year for the Aston Villa forward. Watkins provided 13 goals for his teammates, while notching 19 goals of his own to finish with 32 goal involvements.

Cole Palmer was next on the list with 11, while the previous season's leading man Kevin De Bruyne finished on 10 along with nine other players.

Watkins' tally of 13 was a fairly low total compared to other seasons, while it was notable that De Bruyne was only three assists off the pace despite missing four months of the campaign with a hamstring injury.

The Belgian remains in pursuit of Ryan Giggs' all-time Premier League assist record of 162 after surpassing Cesc Fabregas to move into second, although he still trails the Welshman by some distance. 

Most Assists Over Last 5 Seasons

  • 2023/24: Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) - 13
  • 2022/23: Kevin De Bruyne (Man City) - 16
  • 2021/22: Mohamed Salah (Liverpool) - 13
  • 2020/21: Harry Kane (Tottenham) - 14
  • 2019/20: Kevin De Bruyne (Man City) - 20

 

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