Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo Odds, Picks & Predictions 09/30

Date IconLast Updated: Sep 30th, 2023
Share On Your Network
Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo Odds, Picks & Predictions 09/30

Alvarez vs. Charlo Odds, Picks, Predictions & Best Bets:

One of the biggest fights of the year goes down this Saturday with Canelo Alvarez taking on Jermell Charlo in Las Vegas. So, as usual, we’re here for all our Canelo vs. Charlo predictions with the American stepping up two weight divisions to get this fight made.

Canelo is already regarded as one of the best to ever do it, and his boxing résumé needs no introduction. The Mexican has only suffered two defeats in his career and racked up a stunning 59 wins ahead of this super middleweight bout, and he is now -480 to win this fight with FanDuel.

However, Charlo is worthy of this title fight in many regards, so let’s take a look at the best boxing bets today for this mouthwatering bout in Las Vegas.

Regarding the best online betting sites, DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM are bringing some of the finest odds available for this event.


🌟 BONUS - Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly with Draftkings 🌟

Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo Predictions, Odds & Details

The light middleweight king, Charlo, will be stepping up to super middleweight for this bout with Canelo and is now priced at +330 with DraftKings to upset the odds and hand Canelo his third defeat in professional boxing.

  • 🏟 Location: Las Vegas, United States
  • 📅 Date: 09/30/23 
  • 🕙 Time: 10:30 p.m. ET / 7:30 p.m. PT
  • 🥊 Main Event: Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo 
  • 🔥 Top Favorite: Canelo to win via TKO/KO (+260) at FanDuel
  • 📊 Fighter Stats: Canelo Alvarez  (59-2-2, 39 KOs) | Jermell Charlo (35-1-1, 19 KOs)
  • 📺 TV Channel: Showtime


⭐ Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets for Alvarez vs. Charlo Today! ⭐ 

Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo Odds, Form & Best Bets

This fight has been talked about all year long, and following on from Canelo’s loss to Dmitry Bivol in 2022, the Mexican has returned with two wins in a row over Gennady Golovkin and John Ryder.

It puts the four-division world champion on a stunning record of 59 wins, two losses and two draws, suffering only one defeat in the past decade. However, although he is moving up two weight divisions, Charlo is ranked as the world's 10th best active boxer, pound for pound, by The Ring.

Let’s take a look at some Canelo vs. Charlo picks.

Best Bet #1: Canelo to win via TKO/KO (+260) at FanDuel 

With 59 wins on the board, Canelo has managed to rack up 39 of his victories via TKO/KO and the other 20 on points. This has seen him TKO/KO legendary figures such as Caleb Plant, Amir Khan, Billy Joe Saunders and Sergey Kovalev.

Canelo possesses an astonishing amount of power. Combine this with his fighting IQ, hand speed and movement, and he truly is regarded as one of the best to ever do it in the ring.

The Mexican’s best weapon is his left hook to either the body or the head. What’s more, as proven in his knockout over Khan, Canelo has a sensational way in how to set up the overhand right.

What makes our Canelo vs. Charlo picks  choose a TKO/KO win is how the latter is moving up two weight classes. Ultimately, the only recent loss Canelo has was when he bulked up to light heavyweight and was beaten by the bigger man in Bivol. The champion was far from his best that night, but on a pound-for-pound basis, there are not many, if any, better than him.

We think Canelo will wear Charlo down and get the stoppage at some stage.

⭐ Boxing Picks: Canelo to win via TKO/KO (+260) at FanDuel

Best Bet #2: Canelo to win in rounds 7-9 (+800) at BetMGM 

Sticking with the idea of a Canelo knockout, we keep things going for our Canelo vs. Charlo picks  with a finish later on in the fight for the defending champion.

From the 39 TKO/KOs Canelo has rounded up, 22 have come before the seventh round. In fact, he has only managed to defeat Rocky Fielding and Avni Yıldırım before the seventh round in the past five years, beating the likes of Plant, Kovalev, and Liam Smith after the seventh since.

Charlo - despite moving up two weight classes - is likely to give Canelo some working out to do. The American’s excellent footwork and hand speed will likely earn him some rounds and get him closer to the final bell before Canelo’s power takes center stage.

Given the weight difference and how the champion is no doubt going to be much heavier and bigger on fight night, we expect a 40th TKO/KO win for Canelo, but this likely comes later in the fight.

⭐ Boxing Picks: Canelo to win in rounds 7-9 (+800) at BetMGM   

Best Bet #3: Canelo to win on points (-125) at DraftKings 

As Canelo has won 39 of his fights via TKO/KO, the other 20 victories have seen him go the distance and win on points. 

What's more, Charlo is a fighter that tends to see the bout go the distance too, as he has done so 17 times, while his sole loss was also on points. In this matchup with Canelo, given the talent and skill level of Charlo, there is a huge chance this fight goes the distance. 

Should the fight go the full 12 rounds, Canelo has likely got the win in the bag on points. His dominant jab and slick movement has seen him perfect the art of hitting someone and not getting hit himself. In fact, the sportsbooks favor Canelo to win on points at -125 with DraftKings  .

Best Betting Pick: Canelo to win on points (-125) at DraftKings  


Claiming BetMGM's first bet offer of up to $1,500 is quick and easy. Just visit the BetMGM website or download the app, click on "register" and enter the bonus code GAMBLINGCOM during the registration process. That's all it takes to unlock this great deal!

New users need to register, make a first-time deposit, and then simply place their first real-money wager on any FanDuel Sportsbook market that is live on platform. All users will receive their $200 in bonus bets + $100 off NFL Sunday Ticket code within 72 hours of the bet placement.

Bonus Bets by successfully opening a Caesars Sportsbook account and making a real-