Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Odds, Picks & Predictions

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Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Odds, Picks & Predictions
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Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Picks & Odds:

We’re here to recap all the Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Odds and hand you our pick for this highly anticipated bout between an MMA legend and a celebrity boxing star.

The best online betting sites favor Jake Paul to win via KO/TKO. What’s more, the majority of the Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz predictions from expert fighters are swinging towards the famous YouTuber getting another win.

For our Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz picks, we think Paul defeats Diaz with a KO in round six, which has odds of +900 at FanDuel. 

Caesars also has a bet of +100 for the fight to go over 7.5 rounds, which should be considered a good bet given Diaz’s exceptional endurance and durability throughout his MMA career.


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Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Odds, Details & Form:

This Saturday, Jake Paul and Nate Diaz finally lock horns in Texas in what is the former UFC star’s boxing debut and Paul’s eighth professional fight.

How To Watch Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz

  • 🏟 Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas, U.S.
  • 📅 Date: Saturday, August 5, 2023,
  • 🕙 Time: Expected ring walk time of 11 p.m. (ET)
  • 🥊 Main Event: Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz
  • 🔥 Top Favorite: A knockdown in any of rounds 1, 2, 3 or 4 is +230 with FanDuel Sportsbook 
  • 📊 Fighter Stats: Jake Paul (6-1), Nate Diaz (0-0)
  • 💸 Prize Money: Rumored Paul will take at least $2 million; Diaz gets $500,000
  • 📺 TV Channel: DAZN PPV

Jake Paul Strengths & Weaknesses

This fight will be the eighth fight in Paul’s professional career after making his debut against YouTuber AnEsonGib in 2020. He would go on to beat AnEsonGib within the first minute of the fight and then go on to brutally knock out former basketball star, Nate Robinson in round two.

Given how Paul has only been fighting for three years and started at 23 years old, his weaknesses are obvious in contrast to the incredible experience of someone like Diaz. 

Indeed, Paul has been in the ring with legends of combat sports like Anderson Silva and fellow prospects such as Tommy Fury. However, nothing prepares you better for a fight than fighting itself.

With this said, Paul has carefully picked opponents he knows he can beat, and his excellent knockout power is clear to see. Paul has natural athletic ability, and by dedicating himself to this craft with millions of dollars in the bank, we have seen his boxing ability get significantly better by the fight

Paul is -135 to win by KO/TKO at FanDuel, just as he has done in five of his six wins. DraftKings also has either fighter to be knocked down at -380.


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Jake Paul Boxing Predictions

Nate Diaz Strengths & Weaknesses

Diaz made his debut in MMA in 2004 when Paul was just seven years old. 18 years later, the UFC legend would sign off with a Performance of the Night bonus after defeating Tony Ferguson via submission.

Although famous for his submission skills with his third-degree black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, Diaz is no stranger to fighting on the feet. In fact, legendary boxer Andre Ward often used Diaz to prepare for opponents throughout his faultless 32-fight career and has claimed the MMA superstar was “hard to spar” every time.

From his fighting career, Diaz’s stunning cardiovascular endurance was on show in every bout. In fact, as a regular competitor in triathlons, the 38-year-old has arguably the best cardio supply in combat sports.

Diaz has also never been knocked out in his life, despite endless sparring sessions, street brawls and 31 professional MMA fights because his ability to take a punch is about as good as it gets. In truth, even some of the hardest hitters like Conor McGregor couldn’t even knock him out across two fights together.

Given Diaz’s exceptional cardio and miraculous chin, betting on Diaz to take Paul all the way to a decision and win is +750 at Caesars

Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Best Bets 

While most of the Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz predictions edge towards a knockout win for Paul, we have to take note of the incredible fighting experience, endurance and punch-taking ability of Diaz.

With this said, here are our Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz best bets.

Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Best Bet No. 1 

A knockdown in any of rounds 1, 2, 3 or 4 (+230) with FanDuel Sportsbook.

This fight is expected to be frantic from the first moment. What's more, Paul has also gone on to win three of his six wins inside the first four rounds, while he also managed to knock down Anderson Silva in their fight.

This bet also takes into account a knockdown for Diaz, who managed to stun legendary MMA fighters like McGregor, Leon Edwards and also knock out Gray Maynard.

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Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Best Bet No. 2

Jake Paul to win and over 1.5 knockdowns is +200  with DraftKings Sportsbook.

In line with the bet above, we expect some knockdowns throughout this fight. Paul is likely to be extremely aggressive in his approach, while Diaz will no doubt throw punches in bunches as he did throughout his time in MMA.

What’s more, for the first time in his professional career, Paul will fight in a potential 10-round bout, compared to the eight rounds in his past five battles, giving a chance of 1.5 knockdowns for either fighter across 36 minutes.

Paul’s knockout power is also the main talking point of this fight, and he is favored to get the knockout.

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Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Best Bet No. 3

Fight to be won in rounds 6-10 (+150) with BetMGM Sportsbook.

Paul has managed to win via KO/TKO in four of his six wins, knocking out Nate Robinson, Tyron Woodley and Ben Askren in stunning style.

The first few rounds of the fight will be hectic, but the longer the fight goes on, the more Diaz’s cardio takes action, while Paul will aim to work out the MMA star’s tactics.

Paul has also gone the full eight rounds with Anderson Silva and Tommy Fury in his past two fights, while beating Woodley in the sixth, meaning he has entered the final few rounds in all of his past three fights.


Nate Diaz Boxing Predictions

Why Jake Paul Will Win by KO 

After dedicating the past four years of his life to boxing, Paul and his natural athletic pedigree has developed incredible knockout capabilities. He is also expected to weigh in on the night close to 200 lbs, given how the fight is a 185 lbs fight on the scales, so the YouTuber is likely going to come in heavier while also being taller than Diaz.

At the same time, the footage from Diaz’s training camp doesn’t look too impressive. At 38 and following a lifelong career in MMA, the Stockton native looks weaker and slower than he once did.

If you also take a look back across Diaz’s MMA fights, you’ll notice he has blood pouring from his face in most of them. Ultimately, he gets hit quite a lot, and if it wasn’t for his stunning ability to take a punch, he would have probably been knocked out plenty of times in his career.

Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Best Bet: ⭐ Paul to win & over 1.5 KD at (+200)  with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Predictions, Odds & Final Thoughts

You’ll struggle to find many Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz predictions that don’t pick Paul. Despite a loss to Tommy Fury, it does seem as if all his fights are handpicked for him to win, and every time Paul has faced a non-professional boxer, he has won.

As this is Diaz’s first pro boxing fight and because of how Paul continues to get better at 26 years old, the YouTuber is our pick for this one at -550 with FanDuel to win the fight.

Other Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz picks to note are Paul to win via KO/TKO at -135 and a knockdown in any of rounds 1, 2, 3 or 4 at +230, both with FanDuel

Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Best Bet: ⭐ Fight to end via TKO for either fighter is -110 with DraftKings 

Keep up to date on Boxing Betting Bonus Codes

If you're interested in exploring captivating Boxing betting promo codes such as GAMBLINGCOM or any other bonuses mentioned in this article, we invite you to visit our sportsbook bonus codes page. There, you can uncover a wide range of incredible offers, including the finest BetMGM bonus codes available.

As we look forward to the thrilling boxing match between Jake Paul and Nate Diaz, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. Come this September, Kentucky will be launching online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.


1. How do I claim the BetMGM bonus for the Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz fight?

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2. What is the DraftKings Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz bet of $5 to get $150?

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3. How does the FanDuel bet $5 get $100 in bonus bets offer work?

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