Hungarian GP Betting Tips And Analysis: Hamilton The Value In Hungary

Hungarian GP Betting Tips And Analysis: Hamilton The Value In Hungary
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F1 Betting Tips:


Red Bull secured another victory last weekend at the Paul Ricard circuit in France and it was another disappointing outing for Ferrari as Charles Leclerc crashed out and Carlos Sainz could only finish fifth behind Red Bull and Mercedes.

The British drivers Lewis Hamilton and George Russell would have relished finishing on the podium together.

As outlined before the German manufacturer is reaping the rewards from their improvements to their cars and betting sites have reacted accordingly.

Max Verstappen secured his seventh GP victory and also has nine podium finishes to boost his points tally to a huge 233, whereas Leclerc is 63 behind and needs to find a flurry of wins with just 11 races left.

Drivers' Championship Odds
Wednesday 17th August 2022
Bet365 BetVictor Ladbrokes William Hill Paddy Power Betway
 
% Chance
Max Verstappen 92.34% 1/12 1/12
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1/12 1/12
Charles Leclerc 11.76% 15/2 15/2
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--
15/2 15/2
Lewis Hamilton 1.96% 50/1 40/1
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--
40/1 40/1
George Russell 1.96% 50/1 50/1
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--
50/1 50/1
Carlos Sainz Jr 0.79% 100/1 80/1
--
--
125/1 100/1
Sergio Perez 0.36% 250/1 250/1
--
--
275/1 250/1
Lando Norris 0.03% 3000/1 3000/1
--
--
500/1
--
Fernando Alonso 0.03% 3000/1 3000/1
--
--
500/1
--
Daniel Ricciardo 0.03% 3000/1 3000/1
--
--
500/1
--
Kevin Magnussen 0.02% 4000/1
--
--
--
500/1
--
Pierre Gasly 0.02% 4000/1
--
--
--
500/1
--
Sebastian Vettel 0.02% 4000/1
--
--
--
500/1
--
Esteban Ocon 0.02% 4000/1
--
--
--
500/1
--
Valtteri Bottas 0.02% 4000/1 4000/1
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--
500/1
--
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As a result, Verstappen remains a heavy odds-on favourite to win the Drivers Championship with bookmakers.

Charles Leclerc is the only other driver realistically in the mix at 4’s but can be found at a high of 9/2 with BetVictor.

But going into this weekend, Hamilton has the best record in Mogyorod with eight victories, with Mercedes winning here in 2013, 2016, 2018, 2019 and 2020.

Constructors' Championship Odds
Wednesday 17th August 2022
Bet365 BetVictor Ladbrokes William Hill Paddy Power Betway
 
% Chance
Red Bull Racing 88.89% 1/8 1/8
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--
--
1/8
Ferrari 13.33% 6/1 13/2
--
--
--
13/2
Mercedes 5.88% 16/1 16/1
--
--
--
14/1
Alfa Romeo Racing 0.03% 3000/1
--
--
--
--
--
McLaren 0.03% 3000/1 3000/1
--
--
--
--
Haas F1 Team 0.03% 3000/1
--
--
--
--
--
Alpine F1 Team 0.03% 3000/1
--
--
--
--
--
Aston Martin F1 Team 0.03% 3000/1
--
--
--
--
--
Alphatauri 0.03% 3000/1
--
--
--
--
--
Williams 0.02% 4000/1
--
--
--
--
--
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Red Bull haven’t won here since 2014 and Ferrari are the second-most recent winners, in 2017 via Sebastian Vettel.

Esteban Ocon was the surprise winner for Alpine-Renault last year with Hamilton second and Sainz Jr in third.

Verstappen remains the favourite to win the Hungarian Grand Prix, with many betting apps opting for a price just better than evens.

But other firms have shortened the odds on the Ferrari leader to finally notch another win and have Leclerc as favourite to win around the Hungaroring.

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The fact the Dutchman isn’t the outright favourite for this weekend suggests there is a great chance for Leclerc to finally get on the top of the podium once more and get his fourth win of the 2022 season.

Sainz is the clear third favourite though, with 6/1 the odds given to the Spaniard by William Hill.

Hamilton justified added interest in a podium finish in France and even an each-way shot on the British driver would have yielded a nice profit as he finished a solid second ahead of Mercedes teammate Russell.

Interestingly, this weekend sees two DRS zones activated: on the home straight and then the straight following the first two turns.

British drivers do well in the Hungarian GP and that is great news for the two Mercedes drivers who have been on a steady improvement mission over the last few races.

They’re yet to win in 2022 though, but they could follow 10 previous British winners since 2006 - only Heikki Kovalainen, Mark Webber, Daniel Ricciardo, Sebastian Vettel and Ocon have won amongst the flurry of Union Jacks.

The Hungarian GP often produces drama and is highly anticipated within the F1 calendar for that reason. It shouldn’t be any different this year and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see a driver that hasn’t won yet get over the line first.

Sainz looks a reasonable price to finish in the top three once more at 4/6 and Ocon is a huge 40/1 for a podium finish despite the win last year.

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The Spanish driver has got to the podium six times and won once, and constantly has a fairly big price next to his name due to just being fourth in the 2022 standings.

However, if you’re looking for a first win it’s likely going to come from those who already have podiums to their names and to follow the trend of the Brits doing well, Russell, Hamilton and Lando Norris are in contention.

Hamilton coming second last week and threatening numerous times during the British GP is the pick of the bunch, and the current 12/1 available with the best F1 betting sites makes plenty of appeal.

Though if you really fancy the drama this weekend along with the thrills and spills included, then Norris might be worth a small punt.

The McLaren driver is 22/1 just for a podium and as high as 275/1 to win.

In previous years Red Bull and Mercedes have locked horns in Hungary and downplay their abilities somewhat.

In 2021, Andy Shovlin reiterated that Silverstone was in fact Mercedes best track, while Christian Horner was adamant that just like the British GP, it’s a ‘Mercedes stronghold’.

If that’s anything to go by, Hamilton could well be overpriced.

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