Rhys Williams' Daily Horse Racing Tips: 2 Selections For Friday
The Panel are delighted to have Rhys Williams as part of our team of racing tipsters.
Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and most recently as a tipster for Betfair where his tipping column had a 31% ROI over four and a half years.
He often focuses away from the front end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.
His profit and loss stands at -15.65 points from 47 points staked, with returns of 31.35 points.
Here are Rhys' tips for Friday, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.
16:30 Dundalk: Moretothis - 0.5pts Each-Way @ 50/1
Moretothis ran well at a huge price last time and she is once again capable of performing better than market expectations in the opening race at Dundalk.
She showed nothing on debut but took a big step forward a week ago when finishing fourth in a maiden over seven furlongs.
She was slowly away and raced strongly towards the back of the field before being switched widest to make an effort turning into the home straight.
She made good headway to be in contention just over a furlong out before her effort flattened out late on and she faded to finish fourth.
Given the way she travelled, I think the drop back to six furlongs could suit Moretothis - if she’s able to break quicker - and this maiden looks of a fairly similar quality to that race.
There is a chance that this could come too soon, with it only being seven days later.
However, I think the market is overlooking her chance given the ability she showed last time and any 20/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 1: 16:30 Dundalk - Moretothis - 0.5pts Each-Way
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17:45 Newcastle: Falcon Nine - 0.5pt Win @ 12/1
Plenty in this mile handicap tend to lead or race prominently and I’m hopeful that will set the race up well for Falcon Nine who drops back in trip this evening.
He was well held at this track last time, but that was over further and he made a promising move after being switched all the way to the near rail before the effort flattened out late on.
His previous run over that same course and distance showed that he still has the potential to improve from this mark and I think the drop back to a mile could suit him.
While I expect Falcon Nine to be in last place early on, that will likely happen naturally rather than specifically taking him right to the back of the field as has happened over further and the expectation of a good pace will give him a good chance of closing late.
There is a chance that the impact of the headgear has started to wear off.
It’s difficult to be sure where the best of the track is on the straight course since the stalls have been switched to the inside, but I think the market has overreacted a bit to Falcon Nine’s finishing position last time and any 9/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 2: 17:45 Newcastle - Falcon Nine - 0.5pt Win
Odds correct at time of publish.
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