Tour de France 2023: Predictions, Favourites, Best Odds and Betting Tips

Date IconLast Updated: 30 Jun 2023
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Tour de France 2023: Predictions, Favourites, Best Odds and Betting Tips
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TDF 2023 Betting Tip:

This year, the Tour de France starts in Bilbao, one of the most beautiful places in Spain. With a hilly stage of about 182 kilometers, the 2023 edition begins on Saturday, July 1. 

Jonas Vingegaard is the favourite for the Yellow Jersey, with many predictions siding with the defending champion. 

Vingegaard is closely followed by Tadej Pogačar, who was tipped as the favourite by cycling betting sites last year, though some bookmakers can't separate them at all. 

Tour de France Winner Odds
Best Odds
% Chance
Jonas Vingegaard
55.56%
--
--
--
Tadej Pogacar
33.33%
--
--
--
Primoz Roglic
14.29%
--
--
--
Remco Evenepoel
10.00%
--
--
--
Ayuso Pesquera Juan
5.88%
--
--
--
Teams Best Odds
Jonas Vingegaard
Bet £5, Get £20 in Free Bets
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8/11Betway
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9/14BetVictor
Tadej Pogacar
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2/1Bet365
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New UK+IRE Customers. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 1x £20 free bet. Free bet available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply
2/1Coral
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New UK customers only. Min Stake: £5. Maximum Free Bet: £30. First bet on a Football or Horse Racing multiple with 3+ selections. Overall odds: 3.00 (2/1) or higher. Free Bets available upon settlement of the qualifying bet. 50 Extra Spins on Big Bass Bonanza (£0.10 per spin) credited on settlement of qualifying Acca bet. No wagering requirements on extra spin winnings. Debit Card deposit only (exclusions apply). This offer is valid 7 days from the new account being registered. Bet the Responsible Way. Full terms apply.
2/1Betway
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2/1BetVictor
Primoz Roglic
Bet £5, Get £20 in Free Bets
New UK+IRE Customers. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 1x £20 free bet. Free bet available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply
6/1Coral
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11/2BetVictor
Bet £10, Get £20 in Free Bets + Free Bet IF 2nd To SP FAV
New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Account & Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
5/1BoyleSports
£30 Matched Free Bet if your first Acca loses + 50 Extra Spins on Big Bass Bonanza
New UK customers only. Min Stake: £5. Maximum Free Bet: £30. First bet on a Football or Horse Racing multiple with 3+ selections. Overall odds: 3.00 (2/1) or higher. Free Bets available upon settlement of the qualifying bet. 50 Extra Spins on Big Bass Bonanza (£0.10 per spin) credited on settlement of qualifying Acca bet. No wagering requirements on extra spin winnings. Debit Card deposit only (exclusions apply). This offer is valid 7 days from the new account being registered. Bet the Responsible Way. Full terms apply.
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9/2Bet365
Remco Evenepoel
£30 Matched Free Bet if your first Acca loses + 50 Extra Spins on Big Bass Bonanza
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While the battle for the Yellow Jersey this year seems to be between two riders, the bookmakers have not yet identified clear favourites for the Green and Polka Dot Jerseys. 

But, as we saw last year, it can often be a surprise to see who takes the lead after the first thousand kilometers or so. 

We'll help you get started with our Tour de France 2023 betting tips, odds and predictions using the best betting sites.

Established 2006
Total Sports Tooltip The number of different sports you can bet on
Cash Out Tooltip Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
29
Yes
Bet Builder Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
Bonus Free Bet Value
Yes
30
#ad. 18+. Gamble Responsibly. Begambleaware.org. New UK customers only. Min Stake: £5. Maximum Free Bet: £30. First bet on a Football or Horse Racing multiple with 3+ selections. Overall odds: 3.00 (2/1) or higher. Free Bets available upon settlement of the qualifying bet. 50 Extra Spins on Big Bass Bonanza (£0.10 per spin) credited on settlement of qualifying Acca bet. No wagering requirements on extra spin winnings. Debit Card deposit only (exclusions apply). This offer is valid 7 days from the new account being registered. Bet the Responsible Way. Full terms apply.
Established 2007
Total Sports Tooltip The number of different sports you can bet on
Cash Out Tooltip Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
40
Yes
Bet Builder Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
Bonus Free Bet Value
Yes
10
#ad. 18+. Gamble Responsibly. Begambleaware.org. New UK customers (Excluding NI) only. Mobile exclusive. Min Deposit £10. Min stake £10. Min odds Evs. Free bet applied on 1st settlement of any qualifying bet. 30 days to qualify. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out/Free Bets won’t apply. Account & Payment method restrictions apply. 1 Free Bet offer per customer, household & IP Address only. 18+. T&Cs apply.
Established 2007
Total Sports Tooltip The number of different sports you can bet on
Cash Out Tooltip Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
32
Yes
Bet Builder Tooltip Can you create your own personalised bets?
Bonus Free Bet Value
Yes
N/A
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General Classification Winner 2023: Who Will Win The Yellow Jersey?

Last year, Pogačar was the favourite before the Tour de France began, according to UK bookmakers anyway. But after a fantastic performance, Vingegaard – who was ranked third in the betting beforehand – won the 2022 Tour de France.

So it's no surprise that Vingegaard is now at the forefront of predictions for the overall classification winner of the Tour de France 2023 instead of Pogačar. 

According to both established and new bookmakers, the Yellow Jersey is well within Vingegaard's grasp again, given the low odds of 21/20 for his overall victory.

Even though Pogačar managed to win the white jersey for the best young rider last year, Vingegaard showed why he is the top contender to win the Tour de France in 2023. 

However, according to the latest Tour de France betting offers, the race could still be remarkably close. 

The margin between Vingegaard and Pogačar is very fine, with Bet365 going 23/20 on Pogacar verses their 21/20 price on Vingegaard.

Those odds indicate that Vingegaard has a 48.8% chance of winning while Pogacar is given a 46.5% probability, which indicates just how thrilling the battle for the Yellow Jersey could be this year.

Unlike most editions of the Tour de France, there is no clear third challenger in sight. Jai Hindley is currently listed at odds of 16/1 with BetVictor, which translates to a 5.9% chance. 

The top five in the betting is rounded out by Enric Mas (25/1) and Mattias Skjelmose (33/1), respectively.

Winner of the Young Rider Classification: Who’s Favourite for the White Jersey?

Riders who haven't reached the age of 25 are eligible for the coveted white jersey, awarded to the most prominent young rider in the overall classification. 

In the 2022 TDF, Tadej Pogačar, Thomas Pidcock and Brandon McNulty occupied the top three positions in the battle for this jersey. Pogačar and Pidcock will once again try their luck to claim the white jersey in 2023. 

Carlos Rodríguez, a teammate of Pidcock, has the youngest legs of all participants in the 2023 Tour de France. This Spanish climbing specialist is definitely a rider to watch in the young rider classification.

You’ll find a best price of 8/1 at Betway on Rodríguez to win the White Jersey, but most other bookies offer just slightly less at 15/2.

Another young talent is Danish rider Mattias Skjelmose, who rides for Trek-Segafredo and is also just 22 years old. 

Skjelmose is also an 8/1 shout on betting apps and he showcased his climbing abilities with an impressive second-place finish in the Walloon Arrow.