Betting Advice for Games on the June 28 MLB Schedule

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Betting Advice for Games on the June 28 MLB Schedule
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Throughout the season, we will give you betting advice for a National League and American League game each day and throw in a few quick pitches for player prop bets, Over-Under bets or moneyline bets on other games.

Inter-League Best Bet

Houston Astros -120 at New York Mets +110

7:10 p.m. ET

The Astros went 2-2 against the New York Yankees, winning the second and third games of the series, priced as a 115 and 180 underdog, respectively.

In the third game, the Astros used three pitchers to toss a no-hitter, which extended through six more innings of no-hit ball in the series' final game.

At one point, Astros pitching held the Yankees to no hits for 56 at-bats.

So, the Mets will have their hands full against this staff.

Here are the supporting trends and angles for a bet on the Astros:

  • The Astros are 10-3 on the moneyline and 11-2 on the run line when facing a foe outscoring their opponents by an average of 0.4 runs per game.
  • Mets starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco is 2-12 on the moneyline when facing a foe averaging 1.25 or more home runs per game spanning the last three seasons.
  • Carrasco is 2-15 as home underdog for his career.

Bet the Astros -120 on the moneyline.

American League Best Bet

Baltimore Orioles +155 at Seattle Mariners -170

10:10 p.m. ET

The Baltimore Orioles are playing their best baseball and arguably their best in the past five seasons.

They are coming off a 9-2 dominating win over the Mariners on Monday and will look towards another win tonight as a significant underdog.

The MLB Betting Angle of the Day

This betting angle has produced a 135-125 record and has averaged a +145 underdog wager over the past five seasons. 

The requirements are:

  • Bet on all underdogs with a bullpen posting a 1.25 or lower WHIP.
  • Our dog has a below-average slugging percentage of .400 or lower.
  • Our dog is taking on an AL foe starting a pitcher with a 1.300 or lower WHIP.

I am going to the window to bet the Orioles on the moneyline +160 as offered at BetMGM.

Quick Pitches

These are other bets to consider today.

  1. Take the A’s Sean Murphy to get a hit at -150 on FanDuel.
  2. Take the Marlins’ Braxton Garrett Under 2.5 earned runs at +1-5 on DraftKings.
  3. Take the Royals’ Bobby Witt Jr. to get a hit at -220 on FanDuel.
  4. Take the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw to get the win at -110 on PointsBet.
  5. Take the Tigers’ Willi Castro to get a hit at -140 on FanDuel. 

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John Ryan

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