The Traitors Series 4 Odds: Traitors Favourites After Triple Faithful Departure
Three Faithfuls fell on The Traitors this week, after Harriet and Sam were banished, and Adam was murdered by the Traitors.
Harriet's banishment came as a surprise, but if there were in-play markets available on betting sites during the BBC show then the crime fiction writer would have been odds-on to go during Wednesday night's show.
She opened the episode with a breakfast outburst about Rachel, insisting she was a Traitor.
It drew comparisons to Traitor Fiona's antics last week, and Harriet ultimately suffered the safe fate - banishment at the next roundtable.
However, as viewers, we know both had a good point - Rachel is a Traitor.
Can Jessie Hold On?
The Traitors - Rachel and Stephen - have taken back control so far this week, and the duo are now 10/11 favourites on betting apps for victory, largely thanks to Rachel playing such a brilliant game.
However, if the pair are not careful they could be depleted again, because Stephen's name keeps being brought up during roundtable discussions.
One Faithful member who has voted for Stephen a couple of times is Jessie, and she was on to him again on Thursday night.
At the end of the episode, the team of cloaks were deciding who to murder next - after turning down the chance to recruit for a second night running - and it's between Jessie, Matthew or Faraaz.
The Traitors Odds: Which Team Will Win?
Team | Odds | Probability |
Traitors | 10/11 | 52.4% |
Faithful | 11/10 | 47.6% |
Rachel seems keen to murder Jessie, because her cages theory about Stephen being a Traitor is spot-on.
However, Rachel is worried the Faithful might link Jessie's passing to Stephen.
But another concern is Jessie may rally others to vote Stephen out at the next roundtable, if she isn't axed.
She looks the obvious choice for the Traitors to bump off next, because she is such a threat, and Jessie is 5/4 favourite to be killed off in Friday night's episode.
The Traitors Odds: Who Will Be Murdered Next?
Contestant | Odds | Probability |
Jessie | 5/4 | 44.4% |
Faraaz | 15/8 | 34.8% |
Matthew | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Rachel admitted it is a "pivotal part of the game" and she has vowed to support Stephen, but she also needs to protect herself.
Faraaz and Matt are also in contention for murder, but Sam appeared to leave a hint that either could be a Traitor.
In his exit speech, he said: "Faraaz, Matt...I guess persistence is key."
The Faithful were clearly expecting him to reveal he was a Traitor, but Sam was, of course, a Faithful.
Matt To Go?
Sam's Matt and Faraaz hint hasn't been mentioned yet, but if someone does pick up on it and use it as a potential theory then the pair could also be at risk of banishment - if one of them isn't murdered.
Matt is just 11/8 to be banished next.
He thinks he has made a deal with the Traitors to be recruited, and them murdering Jessie was part of the plan, but if he exposes his secret to the Faithful they may think of it as a distraction tactic.
Faraaz hasn't come under any suspicion so far, but after Sam's banishment on Thursday night, Rachel suddenly accused him out of nowhere.
If Faraaz doesn't get murdered then the 6/4 on him being banished might look big by the end of Friday night's episode.
The Traitors Odds: Who Will Be Banished Next?
Contestant | Odds | Probability |
Matthew | 11/8 | 42.1% |
Faraaz | 6/4 | 40% |
James | 13/8 | 38.1% |
Stephen | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Jade | 5/2 | 28.6% |
Ellie | 3/1 | 25% |
Roxy | 4/1 | 20% |
Jessie | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Jack | 7/1 | 12.5% |
Rachel | 8/1 | 11.1% |
Others in the frame include James (13/8), who showed dishonesty when he went behind his mission group's backs to nab a shield, only to then own up to it.
While some insisted it wasn't Traitor-like behaviour, he may come under suspicion.
What's more, if Jessie isn't murdered at the beginning of Friday's show, she is likely to be gunning for Stephen again, and the Traitor is 2/1 to be banished.
Jade's name also regularly comes up during roundtables, and she is just 5/2 to be banished next.
Castle Favourite Rachel
Rachel is into 13/8 favourite to win this year's The Traitors, which would make her just the second-ever Traitor to do so after Harry Clark scored victory in series two.
While she appears keen to win alongside Stephen, she may have to ditch him at some point because his name keeps coming up.
The pair will also need to bump off, or inspire the banishment of, Jack and Roxy, who are 15/8 and 2/1 respectively to win the series.
The Traitors Odds: Winner(s)
Contestant | Odds | Probability |
Rachel | 13/8 | 38.1% |
Jack | 15/8 | 34.8% |
Roxy | 2/1 | 33.3% |
Stephen | 5/2 | 28.6% |
Ellie | 3/1 | 25% |
Jade | 4/1 | 20% |
James | 5/1 | 16.7% |
Faraaz | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Matthew | 7/1 | 12.5% |
Jessie | 8/1 | 11.1% |
Neither have come under much suspicion so far, with the final just a week away, on Friday, January 23.
Stephen is 5/2 to triumph, and his chances may improve if he and Rachel axe Jessie.
But there is still a long way to go for the team of cloaks to avoid suspicion.
* Reminder: These are hypothetical odds provided by industry experts.
Who will be the next contestant to be banished, and who will be murdered by the Traitors? Tell us your thoughts in the comment box below!
