Phillies Try to Stay Hot Against the Mets, Should You Bet On It?
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Throughout the season, we will give you MLB betting advice for two games each day and throw in a few quick pitches for prop bets, Over-Under bets or moneyline bets on other games.
National League
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
The Philadelphia Phillies lineup is impressive on paper, but they have gotten off to a slow start. Now, they just completed a three-game sweep, scoring 24 runs over the visiting Colorado Rockies.
Next up are the National League East divisional rival New York Mets, who own the best record in baseball at 14-6 and who lead the division by 3.5-games over the Miami Marlins.
Pitcher Aaron Nola was outstanding in his last start, but got a no-decision in a 1-0 defeat to the Milwaukee Brewers. He went seven innings and allowed one hit, one walk, and struck out nine. Over his past three starts, he has posted a solid 2.87 ERA with a 0.958 WHIP including five walks and 18 strikeouts over 15 ⅔ innings of work.
The Mets are batting .259 and scoring an average of 4.70 runs per game. Suddenly, the hot-hitting Phillies rank third in MLB batting .261 and scoring an average of 4.68 runs per game.
I'm taking the Phillies on the moneyline today and I think they win this series.
American League
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox (Saturday)
The Los Angeles Angels all riding high, coming off a four-game sweep of the Cleveland Guardians and going up against a team heading in the opposite direction in the Chicago White Sox, who have lost nine of their past 10 games.
Based on the preseason futures betting lines, the Chicago White Sox were the favorite to win the American League Central. The White Sox have only played 18 games, but it is rather shocking to see them four games under .500.
The Angels are set to start left-hander Jose Suarez. He is 0-1 with a 5.54 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP in three starts in 13 innings. He is averaging 4.3 innings, but the good news is that the Angels bullpen has been surprisingly good.
Over their past seven games, they bullpen has posted a 3.60 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP and in five day games, it has posted a 2.74 ERA and a 1.173 WHIP.
The White Sox will start Vincent Velasquez. He is making his fourth start and is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.833 WHIP in 12 innings.
The White Sox bullpen has been struggling with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.674 WHIP spanning 28 ⅔ innings of work. The bullpen has averaged more than four innings of work per game, and the availability of the relievers is in doubt entering this four-game series.
Angels' manager Joe Maddon is 25-12 on the moneyline, making 14 units per unit wagered when facing a division opponent.
The White Sox are a money-burning 23-37, losing 18 units per unit wagered on the moneyline, when facing an American League team that is allowing 4.4 or fewer runs per game in games played over the last two seasons.
I am betting the Angels on the moneyline that is currently priced at +115 at BetMGM Sportsbook.
(Note: Friday's result was not known at the time of this writing, so keep that in mind. Nevertheless, this is a valid bet that I am taking to the window.)
Other Bets I Like on Today's Schedule:
One Game Parlay Bet:
- Bryce Harper will have an RBI, Phillies win and total runs Over 7.5, +475 at BetMGM
Prop Bets
- Bryce Harper to hit a double, +350 at BetMGM
- Mike Trout to hit a Home run, +190 at BetMGM
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