Betting Advice for Games on the June 27 MLB Schedule

Betting Advice for Games on the June 27 MLB Schedule
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Throughout the season, we will give you betting advice for a National League and American League game each day and throw in a few quick pitches for player prop bets, Over-Under bets or moneyline bets on other games.

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National League Best Bet

Los Angeles Dodgers -188 at Colorado Rockies +175 

8:40 p.m. ET

The Dodgers have started their nine-game road trip, having won five of six games. They swept the Cincinnati Reds in a three-game series and took two-of-three from the red-hot Atlanta Braves. 

Now, they begin a 3-game series against the reeling Colorado.

Los Angeles will start lefty Tyler Anderson, who is 8-0 this season. He is three years removed from being a member of the Rockies staff and was part of a promising starting rotation that made the playoffs in back-to-back seasons. 

But when he started the 2019 season 0-3, with an 11.76 ERA, he was sent to Triple-A and had knee surgery. He has worked his way back and found a home with the Dodgers and is pitching the best ball of his career. He has faced the Rockies three times since leaving the team and has posted a 1.93 ERA.

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Betting Angle for This Game

This betting algorithm has made the $100 bettor a $4,500 profit over the past five seasons. 

The requirements are to bet on NL road teams batting no better than .255 that have a bullpen with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower and facing a foe with a bullpen with an ERA of 4.50 or higher. 

That supports a bet on the Dodgers using the moneyline.

The total in this game is 11.5 runs and here are the supporting trends and angles for the Over Bet:

  • Anderson is 14-4 Over the total in road games facing a foe with a losing record over the past three seasons.
  • Rockies starter Chad Kuhl is 10-2 Over when facing a foe with a winning record over the past three seasons.
  • Kuhl is 11-0 Over when his team has been priced as a +175 or greater over the past two seasons.

Bet the LA Dodgers for a 2% best Bet and the Over for a 3% best bet.

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American League Best Bet

Boston Red Sox +160 at Toronto Blue Jays -180

7:07 p.m.

Don’t look now, but the Boston Red Sox are in second place in the AL East division and now have the third-best record in the American League. 

The Red Sox have won seven straight games after a sweep of the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians. 

They have also won 19 of their past 23 games. I am leaning to the Red Sox and will bet a small amount on them in-game if the Blue Jays score first over the first two innings. 

I like the Under and that is well-supported by the a situational betting angle that has produced a 40-20 record, for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. 

The requirements are:

  • Bet the Under when the total is between 8.5 and 10 runs.
  • The team has won 15 or more of their past 20 games.
  • Both teams in the matchup have a win percentage between 50 and 60%.

I will bet the Under 9.5 runs as offered at BetMGM Sportsbook.

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Quick Pitches

These are some other bets to consider.

  1. Take the Over for the Dodgers’ Trea Turner to have at two hits at +100 at FanDuel.
  2. Take Dodgers’ Chris Taylor to hit a home run at +320 at FanDuel.
  3. Take Orioles’ Tyler Wells Under 2.5 earned runs allowed at +100 at BetMGM.
     
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