Betting Advice for Games on the June 27 MLB Schedule

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Betting Advice for Games on the June 27 MLB Schedule
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Throughout the season, we will give you betting advice for a National League and American League game each day and throw in a few quick pitches for player prop bets, Over-Under bets or moneyline bets on other games.

National League Best Bet

Los Angeles Dodgers -188 at Colorado Rockies +175 

8:40 p.m. ET

The Dodgers have started their nine-game road trip, having won five of six games. They swept the Cincinnati Reds in a three-game series and took two-of-three from the red-hot Atlanta Braves. 

Now, they begin a 3-game series against the reeling Colorado.

Los Angeles will start lefty Tyler Anderson, who is 8-0 this season. He is three years removed from being a member of the Rockies staff and was part of a promising starting rotation that made the playoffs in back-to-back seasons. 

But when he started the 2019 season 0-3, with an 11.76 ERA, he was sent to Triple-A and had knee surgery. He has worked his way back and found a home with the Dodgers and is pitching the best ball of his career. He has faced the Rockies three times since leaving the team and has posted a 1.93 ERA.

Betting Angle for This Game

This betting algorithm has made the $100 bettor a $4,500 profit over the past five seasons. 

The requirements are to bet on NL road teams batting no better than .255 that have a bullpen with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower and facing a foe with a bullpen with an ERA of 4.50 or higher. 

That supports a bet on the Dodgers using the moneyline.

The total in this game is 11.5 runs and here are the supporting trends and angles for the Over Bet:

  • Anderson is 14-4 Over the total in road games facing a foe with a losing record over the past three seasons.
  • Rockies starter Chad Kuhl is 10-2 Over when facing a foe with a winning record over the past three seasons.
  • Kuhl is 11-0 Over when his team has been priced as a +175 or greater over the past two seasons.

Bet the LA Dodgers for a 2% best Bet and the Over for a 3% best bet.

American League Best Bet

Boston Red Sox +160 at Toronto Blue Jays -180

7:07 p.m.

Don’t look now, but the Boston Red Sox are in second place in the AL East division and now have the third-best record in the American League. 

The Red Sox have won seven straight games after a sweep of the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians. 

They have also won 19 of their past 23 games. I am leaning to the Red Sox and will bet a small amount on them in-game if the Blue Jays score first over the first two innings. 

I like the Under and that is well-supported by the a situational betting angle that has produced a 40-20 record, for 67% winning bets over the past five seasons. 

The requirements are:

  • Bet the Under when the total is between 8.5 and 10 runs.
  • The team has won 15 or more of their past 20 games.
  • Both teams in the matchup have a win percentage between 50 and 60%.

I will bet the Under 9.5 runs as offered at BetMGM Sportsbook.

Quick Pitches

These are some other bets to consider.

  1. Take the Over for the Dodgers’ Trea Turner to have at two hits at +100 at FanDuel.
  2. Take Dodgers’ Chris Taylor to hit a home run at +320 at FanDuel.
  3. Take Orioles’ Tyler Wells Under 2.5 earned runs allowed at +100 at BetMGM.

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John Ryan

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