Winners and Losers, and Odds Updates from the MLB Trade Deadline
To determine the winners and losers from the results of a frenzy of MLB trades that took place yesterday afternoon may be futile, but there are obvious winners.
The San Diego Padres pulled off a significant deal with the Washington Nationals for 23-year-old Juan Soto. They paid a hefty price, also making the Nats a big winner.
San Diego's MLB betting odds went from +1800 to +1000 at BetMGM. The Nationals acquired a six-pack of elite MLB prospects that are on the verge of being MLB ready and with a few free agent signings in the offseason orchestrated by the new ownership and they just might be a .500 or better team next year.
The Padres are in "win now" mode. Teaming Soto with Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis, Jr. and Josh Bell, who came over in the Soto trade, gives them a dangerous lineup.
They also made the aggressive move to acquire dominant relief pitcher and closer Josh Hader from the Milwaukee Brewers. Clearly, the Padres are in a position to win their first-ever World Series.
Other Trade Deadline Winners
The Philadelphia Phillies made several astute moves with the last one coming within two minutes of the trade deadline. They traded some prospects to the L.A.Angels for starting pitcher Noah Syndergaard.
The best move they made was getting center fielder Brandon Marsh to fill a gaping hole defensively. The Phillies also picked up veteran pitcher David Robertson from the Cubs, and 26-year-old shortstop Edmundo Sosa from the Cardinals.
BetMGM has the Phillies priced at +5000 or 50:1 to win the World Series and +2200 or 22:1 odds to win the National League.
Given that the Braves have a 7.5-game wild card lead, the San Diego Padres with a 3.5-game wild card lead for the second berth, and the Phillies and Cardinals tied for the third wild card berth, there are realistically four teams competing for the second and third wild card berths. The Giants trail the Phillies and Cardinals by 4.5 games and the Marlins, trailing by 8.5 games, simply do not have the horses in place to make a run. So, the Phillies are at +2200 or 22:1 odds to win the National League.
Remember, at sportsbooks like BetMGM and Bet365, they will offer to buy back your futures bet on the Phillies, especially if they get on a hot win streak providing you with the opportunity to book the profit.
I am simply looking for the Phillies to outperform current expectations and if they do, the NLCS odds will approach +1000 or 10:1 odds to win the NLCS.
New York Yankees
The Yankees needed pitching depth and added Frankie Montas and Lou Trevino. They had other areas of need, like adding another bat to complement Aaron Judge, and added outfielder Andrew Benintendi. I feel the bullpen has been a trainwreck and they added Clayton Beeter and Scott Effross. New York is 14-16 since July 1 and I'm not sure any of these guys will be catalysts to turn that around. The Yankees are +390 to win the World Series at DraftKings.
The Braves went out and got what they needed. They got one of the best closers in the game today in Raisel Iglesias from the Angels. His flash stats were not that impressive, and he will be mainly in a set-up role behind Kenley Jansen. He should be the everyday closer next season if Jansen moves on in free agency. At +950 on DraftKings Sportsbook, the Braves will continue to trend lower, so if you like them to repeat as World Series Champions, you won’t get a better price than now.
New York Mets
The Mets traded 29-year-old J.D. Davis with his career +113 OPS+ for 35-year-old Darrin Ruf. What is that all about? Ruf has a good OPS against left-handers at .886, but other than that, this doesn't appear to be a good move. Stay away from the +650 to win the World Series.
Boston Red Sox
The Red Sox got a gift in acquiring 1B Eric Hosmer from the Padres for one of their top prospects in pitcher Jay Grome. The best part of this is that the Padres agreed to pay the bulk of Hosmer’s contract. Their World Series odds remain the same, but check out their odds +190 of making the playoffs at DraftKings.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers got one of the best strikeouts-to-walk ratio pitchers in the game in Chris Martin from the Cubs. Martin has struck out 10 times more batters than he has walked. The Dodgers' World Series odds are already low at +350 at BetMGM Sportsbook but could move lower.
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