Hillary Clinton Latest Odds To Win 2024 US Election Already Shifting
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Hillary Clinton’s odds on winning the 2024 US election have shifted with some political betting sites as reports emerge that the veteran politician could again run for office.
Clinton has stayed out of the US political limelight over the past six years, since losing the 2016 US election to Donald Trump.
The former First Lady endured a notoriously bitter campaign against Trump and lost the election despite winning the majority vote in America. Since then she has kept away from entering into the mainstream political discourse.
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But a recent claim from Bill Clinton’s former adviser that Hillary could look to run again in 2024 has got the media hyped with the possibility of her taking on Joe Biden and Kamala Harris for the Democratic candidacy.
“There's a good chance,” said Dick Morris. “The worse he (Biden) does, the better she does because she's positioned herself as the Democratic alternative to Biden.”
And some UK bookmakers have been left dallying over their sky-high price on the 74-year-old ever becoming president.
Hillary Clinton 2024 Odds
The latest political betting data shows very little cohesion among the best betting sites as to whether or not the market thinks Clinton will run for office again.
Some bookies have priced the Democrat as low as 28/1 to win the election – still a long shot but by no means as unrealistic as the highest price in this market, which pitches Clinton at 100/1 to become president in 2024.
2024 US Presidential Election Odds
Saturday 3rd June 2023
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% Chance | ||||||||||
| Joe Biden | 38.10% |
-- | 13/8 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 6/4 | 11/8 |
-- | 6/4 |
| Donald Trump | 28.57% |
-- | 12/5 | 12/5 | 12/5 | 5/2 | 9/4 | 9/4 |
-- | 9/4 |
| Ron Desantis | 16.67% |
-- | 4/1 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 4/1 |
-- | 5/1 |
| Robert Kennedy Jr | 5.26% |
-- | 14/1 | 12/1 | 14/1 | 18/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 |
-- | 18/1 |
| Kamala Harris | 2.44% |
-- | 25/1 | 28/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 22/1 | 28/1 |
-- | 40/1 |
| Michelle Obama | 2.44% |
-- | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 |
-- | 40/1 |
| Marsha Blackburn | 2.44% |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- | 40/1 |
-- |
-- |
| Gavin Newsom | 1.96% |
-- | 33/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 |
-- | 50/1 |
| Nikki Haley | 1.49% |
-- | 33/1 | 40/1 | 33/1 | 40/1 | 66/1 | 28/1 |
-- | 50/1 |
| Tim Scott | 1.49% |
-- |
-- | 66/1 |
-- | 50/1 | 66/1 | 50/1 |
-- | 60/1 |
Team
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The discrepancy in the odds highlights the surprise in which bookmakers have been taken over the possibility of Clinton even running again.
Biden’s 2020 victory over Trump was meant to be the final chapter of ‘old guard’ politicians and business people running the show, with the likes of Harris and Ron DeSantis earmarked as viable candidates for the Dems and GOP respectively in 2024.
But Biden has since hinted that he, even at the age of 81 come the next election, could seek a second term, while Trump is the 3/1 favourite in the 2024 US election betting.
Will Betting On Hillary Narrow?
It appears as though dissatisfaction with Biden’s first 12 months in office has resulted in the Dems opening their minds as to who could genuinely challenge – and beat – a resurgent Trump in 2024.
Harris was meant to be that figure but the VP has supposedly been sidelined by the Biden administration. Figures such as Pete Buttigieg and Stacey Abrams would likely not challenge an incumbent president.
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But Clinton could – and may do well during the Democratic primaries as the alternative to Biden.
Further analysis of Biden and Harris’ poor poll numbers led to the Wall Street Journal recently outlining why Clinton could succeed.
“She is already in an advantageous position to become the 2024 Democratic nominee,” Democratic political consultant Doug Schoen and former New York City Council president Andrew Stein wrote.
“She is an experienced national figure who is younger than Mr. Biden and can offer a different approach from the disorganized and unpopular one the party is currently taking.”
And one bookmaker has already taken notice by dropping Clinton’s price on winning the primary from 45/1 to 11/1, while others are yet to follow.
However, Clinton would still face a monumental challenge to overcome both Biden and then Trump. Tackling the former in a feisty primaries showdown could do damage to the party’s reputation, and strengthen support for the latter heading into November 5, 2024.
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