Democratic Nominee Odds: 5 Alternatives To Gavin Newsom For 2028 US Election

As discussed recently on these pages, a clear frontrunner has already emerged on betting sites in the race to be the Democratic candidate in 2028.
Gavin Newsom is the 7/4 favourite to challenge the Republican Party in two years' time.
Whilst the California Governor's claims are strong, don't assume this will be an easy race to win.
Plenty believe he would be a bad pick, hampered by his record in California and past associations, and there will be plenty of challengers.

When the race begins in earnest during 2027, several will have thrown their hats into the ring. Ten is a conservative estimate of the number of participants at the early TV debates. Successfully identify them now, and profits will very likely be available once those debates come around.
Furthermore, Newsom's shortened odds mean inflated odds elsewhere.
Also, the second favourite, Alexandria Ocasio Cortez, is far from a certain runner as she has a very winnable alternative target which matches her age and career trajectory - the US Senate race in New York.
Swerve these single figure options and focus on this quintet instead.
Democratic Nominee Odds: Josh Shapiro
The most important state in presidential elections nowadays is Pennsylvania. Without these 19 electoral college votes, both parties are reduced to very narrow paths to the presidency.
It would therefore be a very obvious move to pick popular Governor Josh Shapiro.
With that logic in mind, Shapiro was odds-on favourite to be VP candidate in 2024, but reportedly, he didn't gel with Kamala Harris.
Perhaps he was playing a long game, preferring not to risk being on a losing ticket with an eye on 2028 and beyond.

The 2026 midterms are likely to be positive for Democrats in Pennsylvania, where Shapiro is taking a keen interest in candidate selection.
Assuming he bids for a second term as Governor, a big win is expected. His star seems bound to shine ever brighter moving forward, and by all accounts from allies, he will run in 2028.
Well-publicised attacks on JD Vance, and the Trump economy, firmly point in that direction.
At 25/1 with BoyleSports and 33/1 for the presidential election, Shapiro represents a confident trade.
Democratic Nominee Odds: Mark Kelly
In these ultra-divided times, it is essential for candidates to publicly stand up to the man Democrats despise most.
Newsom's current position owes much to his internet trolling of Trump, but he is far from alone.
Arizona Senator Mark Kelly has been centre stage since Trump called for his execution, because the former astronaut said soldiers should honour their oath and refuse to follow illegal orders. He hasn't taken it lying down.
Mark Kelly: “In 1991, when Donald Trump was driving the Taj Mahal casino into backruptcy, I was getting shot at over Iraq and Kuwait. In 2001, after Donald Trump said the collapse of the Twin Towers meant he now owned the tallest skyscraper in Manhattan, I was carrying flags… pic.twitter.com/9BZu2KXxQU
— Marco Foster (@MarcoFoster_) December 1, 2025
By twice winning Arizona, another critical swing state, he demonstrated the ability to win a state which has only twice voted Democrat in presidential elections since 1948.
If he wants it, Kelly is definitely presidential candidate material.
Kelly is available at 33/1 on a couple of politics betting sites.
Democratic Nominee Betting: JB Pritzker
There has been no more visible example of America's division under Trump than Chicago - scene of violent ICE raids, counter-protests and a very public spat with the Illinois Governor.
JB Pritzker refused to send his National Guard forces in as Trump demanded, making several stirring speeches which will resonate with Democratic activists.
Gov. Pritzker: “There is no insurrection here…Without my permission and against my vigorous objections, the president has federalized 300 Illinois National Guard military troops and hundreds of National Guard troops from Texas…Trump is using our service members as political… pic.twitter.com/AplZlD6DIe
— The Bulwark (@BulwarkOnline) October 6, 2025
Pritzker has already been doing the chat show rounds - a signal that he is building a national profile - and has long been rumoured to have presidential ambitions.
As a billionaire, he can self-fund a campaign. Never underestimate that advantage.
He is generally available at 16/1 in the Democratic nominee betting odds.
Democratic Nominee Betting: Jon Ossoff
The midterms will be a great window for potential candidates like Jon Ossoff to start looking like contenders.
Ossoff isn't a national figure as yet but will make many headlines if he wins a second term as Senator for Georgia.
Win that 2026 race, as current betting indicates, and he is bound to enter the conversation.

Tall and telegenic, with a consistent and powerful anti-corruption message, Ossoff may be the perfect candidate for the moment.
Ossoff can be backed at 25/1 with a handful of betting apps.
Democratic Nominee Betting Odds: Chris Murphy
Similarly, this Senator from Connecticut is making waves among activists by attacking the Trump administration.
By constantly highlighting and condemning corruption from the Trump family, and speaking out on a range of issues from ICE abuses of power to Ukraine, Chris Murphy is rapidly raising his profile.
He's being urged to run, will probably be able to drum up enough early support to get an early foothold in the race, and is just the type who could break through at the TV debates.
Murphy can be backed at 50/1 with BoyleSports.
Who is likely to become the Democratic Party candidate for the 2028 US Election? Comment below or vote in our poll above!



