Who Will Win Eurovision 2025? Sweden And Austria In Two-Horse Race, UK Steady

Betting sites have updated their Eurovision 2025 odds after the second semi-final took place in Basel on Thursday.

Australia surprisingly failed to qualify as Go-Jo's risque Milkshake Man proved a step too far for some, and Ireland were also eliminated. 

Austria joined favourites Sweden as one of the 26 countries competing in Saturday's Grand Final, while the United Kingdom's Remember Monday put in an accomplished vocal performance with their song 'What The Hell Just Happened?'

The United Kingdom are one of the Big Five countries and automatically qualify for Saturday's final, along with France, Germany, Italy and Spain.

Eurovision 2025 Winner Odds: 

In 2024, the UK finished well down the table with 46 points for Olly Alexander’s Dizzy and this year have taken the country-pop route with Remember Monday’s ‘What The Hell Just Happened?’

Their odds on a first UK success since Katrina and The Waves in 1997 are 125/1, but some bookmakers have them as low as 50/1.

Sweden are 11/10 favourites with BoyleSports to win the Eurovision Song Contest for a record eighth time, so which other artists are in the running to top the Grand Final leaderboard?

Gambling.com takes you through the top six in the Eurovision 2025 odds and the UK's entry for what should be another fun-packed night this weekend.

Sweden

Act: KAJ

Song: Bara Bada Bastu

Sweden have won Eurovision three times in the last 12 editions and seven overall, the joint-highest with Ireland.

With 11 top-10 finishes in the last 13 appearances, it’s no surprise the Scandinavians usually appear at the top of the betting market in the build-up, and 2025 is no exception from a musical-comedy group that are actually Finnish.

In true Abba fashion, this year’s entry took the initials from the first names of the three group members to come up with KAJ.

Surprisingly, their classic Euro pop song celebrating the niche Finnish sauna scene will be the first to be sung in Swedish by representatives of that country since 1998 – a risky strategy.

The gamble is that their jokes in Bara Bada Bastu will fall on deaf ears, but it’s catchy enough and a refreshing change from the typically serious fare we’ve seen from the Swedes in the past. 

Number one in both Sweden and Finland, it also broke the record for the most streamed Swedish-language song in one day on Spotify (almost 1.4 million).

Their semi-final performance went down well with the audience in Switzerland and it could be another vintage year for the Scandinavians. 

Chances: Never underestimate the Swedes – even when they’re Finns.

Austria

Act: JJ

Song: Wasted Love

JJ may have one letter fewer than KAJ, but the Austrian certainly packs a punch with Wasted Love which bears a passing resemblance to Switzerland’s 2021 pop-opera track Tout l’univers from Gijon’s Tears, although not as good.

It’s certainly a dramatic track and allows JJ to showcase his stunning soprano voice which seems to go higher in pitch with every note.

There’s a surprising shift towards techno at the end of the song, so those who liked The Code may find themselves voting for Wasted Love.

JJ sailed through the second semi-final for Austria which famously won Eurovision in 2014 with Conchita Wurst’s ‘Rise Like A Phoenix’.

Betting apps make this song a clear second favourite behind frontrunner Sweden.

Chances: Mixing pop and opera seems to be a popular genre for Eurovision these days and it wouldn’t be a shock if Wasted Love proved a big hit with the public.

France

Act: Louane

Song: Maman

Despite winning Eurovision five times, recent success has proved elusive for France.

That said, the French have gone close in the last few years, with the excellent ‘Voila’ sung by Barbara Pravi finishing runner-up to Roman rockers Maneskin.

Twelve months ago, Slimane was fourth with tear-jerker Mon Amour and this year’s entry Maman is in a similar vein.

Louane lost both of her parents during her teenage years and Maman is about her mother, who died in 2014 after a long illness.

Subject matter apart, it doesn’t seem to have the quirkiness that is needed to win Eurovision and may have to settle for a podium finish.

Chances: Top five at best, but the odds suggest a lot better.

Netherlands

Act: Claude

Song: C'est La Vie

The Netherlands won Eurovision with Duncan Laurence’s Arcade in 2019, but it’s been a toe-curling last couple of years for the Dutch.

First, Mia Nicolai and Dion Cooper failed to qualify for the Grand Final in 2023 and 12 months ago Joost Klein was kicked out of the competition for a “backstage incident”.

Claude seems to be a safe pair of hands for the Netherlands this year, combining English and French in his uplifting track C’est La Vie which is now 14/1 in the Eurovision winner odds.

A catchy, if corny, chorus went down well with the audience during the first semi-final, so could this be another win for the Dutch?

Chances: Top five a possibility.

Finland

Act: Erika Vikman

Song: Ich Komme

Momentum is shifting towards a big performance from Finland's Erika Vikman, who leaves very little to the imagination for her raunchy track 'Ich Komme' which translates as 'I Come' from German.

Vikman's leather outfit immediately informs discerning members of the public that a tear-jerking ballad is not on the cards.

It's a catchy enough song, though, which gets faster and faster as it reaches its climax, during which she shoots into the air on a huge gold microphone. Get the drift?

The jury on Wiwibloggs, an independent website devoted to all things Eurovision, voted Ich Komme their favourite song of this year's 37 entries, so it clearly has appeal.

It's perhaps too much of a one-trick pony to deserve winner status, but it will definitely go down well with the audience in Basel. 

Chances: The question is whether this track will capture the hearts of the wider public and we suspect it will fall short. 

Israel

Act: Yuval Raphael

Song: New Day Will Rise

Israel are the seventh most successful nation at Eurovision and they could be on to another winner with New Day Will Rise, according to bookmakers.

Yuval Raphael’s brooding number could not be more removed from Netta’s winning song Toy which dazzled the Lisbon audience seven years ago.

Last year’s entry from Eden Golan was originally called ‘October Rain’ but had to be renamed ‘Hurricane’ over concerns that it referred to the Hamas attack during that month in 2023.

The video for New Day Will Rise involves a group of young people having a picnic in the countryside, so read into that what you will. 

A shower of violins gives way to the piano and Yuval’s powerful voice during three unoriginal minutes aimed at tugging at your heart strings.

Chances: Third and fifth in the last two years, Israel seem to know what makes a successful Eurovision song, but this one falls pretty flat and its odds have drifted after a controversy-free semi-final.

United Kingdom

Act: Remember Monday

Song: What The Hell Just Happened?

The UK always seem to head to Eurovision looking to avoid the dreaded nil points, but Sam Ryder proved that the right song can capture the hearts of the continent and afar.

Remember Monday are a country-pop trio from Farnborough, of all places, and they were 150/1 at one point but as the final approaches, their odds are at double-figure prices with many bookmakers.

Most have them priced at either 66/1 or 80/1 for this likeable track which has had music writers thrashing out all their wackiest mash-up comparisons.

It’s fun, zany and lively, and should go down well with the Basel crowd, but will the wider public wonder what just happened?

Chances: It won’t win but its lack of earnestness may set it apart from some of the favourites. 

Eurovision 2025 Odds: Outsiders For Swiss Success

No country has ever enjoyed back-to-back Eurovision victories, but could Zoe Me bring it home for Switzerland with her sweet song Voyage?

It's in complete contrast to Nemo's genre-defying The Code which gave the Swiss their first victory since Celine Dion with ‘Ne Partez Pas Sans Moi’ in 1988.

Zoe Me is a best-priced 40/1 to make it a Swiss double, but most bookmakers have them priced at 25/1.

Estonia, like Sweden, have taken the comic route with Tommy Cash's Espresso Macchiato, which hasn't gone down too well with some Italians for its stereotyping of their lifestyle.

Spoken in broken English, it's pure kitsch, though, as he stares lovingly at a cup of coffee in the opening line and later belts out “mi money numeroso, I work around the clocko. That’s why I’m sweating like a mafioso.” 

It's great fun, doesn't take itself seriously and its odds have been cut from 50/1 to 33/1 after a great performance in the first semi-final.

Malta was a dark horse in the build-up to Eurovision, but SpreadEx doesn't rate the chances of Miriana Conte's raunchy entry which it rates as a 175/1 shot.

Conte had to rework and rename her dance track 'Kant' - Maltese word for 'singing' - to 'Serving' presumably because the EBU, the Eurovision organisers, thought it sounded a bit rude.

It's got the vibe of Netta's Toy and ticks a lot of boxes, but it's heading in the wrong direction according to the odds.

One country on an upward curve, though, are Albania, whose track Zjerm, performed by Shkodra Elektronike, went down a storm in the first semi-final and is a best-priced 50/1.