Halfway Point: NFL Awards, Odds, Most Profitable Teams

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Halfway Point: NFL Awards, Odds, Most Profitable Teams
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With half the NFL season finished, we’ve seen the favorites such as the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles establish themselves, while others such have the Green Bay Packers have floundered. 

Here’s a look at which teams have been the most profitable to back and where all the major award races currently stand with odds for the favorites. 

All odds are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Best Teams Against the Spread

  1. Dallas 6-2
  2. NY Giants 6-2
  3. Tennessee 6-2
  4. Atlanta 6-3
  5. Seattle 6-3

The Cowboys, Giants and Titans have been the most profitable teams to back through eight contests, going 6-2 against the spread. 

Dallas has been able to outperform its projection when Cooper Rush took over for an injured Dak Prescott, while Tennessee’s ground game with Derrick Henry kept the Titans in most games.

As for the Giants, Saquon Barkley’s resurgence and a stout defense have keyed New York’s effective start. All three of the top teams ATTS rank in the top 10 in defensive scoring.

Worst Teams ATS

  1. Tampa Bay 2-6-1
  2. LA Rams 2-5-1
  3. Carolina 3-6
  4. Green Bay 3-6
  5. Indianapolis 3-6

It’s been disappointing starts for preseason Super Bowl favorites such as the Buccanneers, Rams and Packers. They’ve also been some of the least profitable teams this year. 

NFL Most Valuable Player

  1. Patrick Mahomes +200
  2. Josh Allen +250
  3. Jalen Hurts +250
  4. Lamar Jackson +1400
  5. Tua Tagovailoa +2000

Both Allen and Mahomes were two of the favorites for MVP before the season began. Jalen Hurts has made his way to the top of the odds board after leading the Eagles to an 8-0 start. One QB who hasn’t garnered much MVP discussion during his team’s 7-1 start is Minnesota’s Kirk Cousins, who is currently +4000 for the award at FanDuel. 

AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year

  1. Tyreek Hill +350
  2. Jalen Hurts +350
  3. Justin Jefferson +1000
  4. Lamar Jackson +1000
  5. Stefon Diggs +1000

Since 2010, six players have won Offensive Player of the Year and MVP in the same season: Tom Brady (2010), Adrian Peterson (2012), Peyton Manning (2013), Cam Newton (2015), Matt Ryan (2016) and Mahomes (2018). Hurts could become the seventh if he continues his efficiency as a passer (2,042 yards, 12 touchdowns) and a runner (326 yards, six touchdowns). 

AP NFL Defensive Player of the Year

  1. Micah Parsons -250
  2. Nick Bosa +1000
  3. Myles Garrett +1200
  4. Matthew Judon +1400
  5. Aaron Donald +2500

This seems like one of those that are wrapped up unless Parsons gets injured. He’s fourth in the league in sacks with eight, sixth with nine tackles for loss and is fourth in forced fumbles with two. Parsons also recovered one of his forced fumbles and returned it for a touchdown against the Bears to give him a signature highlight to exemplify the year he’s having.

AP NFL Comeback Player of the Year 

  1. Geno Smith -125
  2. Saquon Barkley +150
  3. Christian McCaffery +1100
  4. Derrick Henry +1600
  5. Nick Gates +1600

QB 1: 134 for 228 (58.8%), 1,694 yards, six TDs, four interceptions, 83.5 rating

QB 2: 207 for 283 (71.9%), 2,199 yards, 15 TDs, four interceptions, 107.2 rating

Now, what if I told you a team traded QB 1 away for a team’s first and second-rounders in each of the next two drafts, in addition to a 2022 fifth-rounder, a backup QB, and a starter on defense and at tight end? That’s what Seattle did by trading away Russell Wilson and getting that type of return as Geno Smith (QB 2) has flourished and experienced a rejuvenation in his career. 

Meanwhile, Wilson has struggled in Denver as the trade continues to look increasingly lopsided in Seattle’s favor. 

AP NFL Coach of the Year

  1. Nick Sirianni -125
  2. Kevin O’Connell +700
  3. Pete Carroll +700
  4. Brian Daboll +800
  5. Robert Saleh +800

It would be hard not to give it to Sirianni if Philadelphia doesn’t lose a game this season, which doesn’t seem outside the realm of possibility. The Eagles should be favored in nearly every game the rest of the way.

AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year

  1. Kenneth Walker +100
  2. Dameon Pierce +200
  3. Chris Olave +600
  4. Garrett Wilson +2000
  5. Kenny Pickett +3000

You had to go far down the odds board to find Kenneth Walker’s name before the season began. But once Walker has been thrust into the lead-back role in Seattle, he has been effective. He has scored a touchdown in each of his last five games, scoring seven times in that stretch. He also has gained at least 88 yards in four of the last five games for 512 yards and is averaging 5.1 yards per attempt this year. 

AP NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year

  1. Ahmad Gardner +100
  2. Tariq Woolen +200
  3. Aidan Hutchinson +1400
  4. Jack Jones +1600
  5. Kayvon Thibodeaux +2000

Gardner hasn’t been just one of the top rookie corners, he’s been one of the best overall corners in the league. He leads the NFL with 13 pass breakups and is allowing just 4.3 yards per target. QBs have just a 52.5 rating when targeting Gardner in coverage, and he’s allowed just one touchdown this season. 

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