NBA Picks: Bet the Jazz as Big Favorites Against the Pistons?

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NBA Picks: Bet the Jazz as Big Favorites Against the Pistons?
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To help with your NBA betting, here are our picks for tonight's games. We'll start with our prop bet picks, then to our game picks.

Prop Bets to Consider Today

Book Odds Bet Description
UniBet -108 Cavaliers Donovan Mitchell Over 36.5 points, rebounds, and assists
FanDuel -105 Hornets Gordon Hayward Over 16.5 points
FanDuel +1100 Mavericks Dwight Powell scores first field goal
FanDuel +100 Nets Kyrie Irving Over 2.5 3-pointers made
BetRivers -104 Warriors Andrew Wiggins Over 19.5 points

The player prop bets are 49-43 making $585.50 for the season wagering $50 per prop. 

Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz 

9:00 EDT Tip-Off 

Line: Jazz –11.5   Total: 229 points 

I am betting on the Utah Jazz minus 11.5-points at DraftKings Sportsbook and is a valid bet up to and including –12.5 points tonight 

Betting on the Jazz minus points is the preferred best-bet opportunity for this matchup 

The Utah Jazz front office traded All-Stars and Defensive Player of the Year award winner Rudy Gobert and scoring machine Donovan Mitchell in exchange for a boatload of valuable draft picks that nearly disrupted the face of the franchise last season. Few Jazz fans in the Beehive state were pleased with the news or the results. Then the front office went even further and traded fan favorite, Bojan Bogdanovic to the Detroit Pistons.  

The good news is that despite tearing down the team to rebuild the Jazz, they are off to a solid 12-7 SU and against the spread start to the season and sit with the second-best record in the Western Conference. The Jazz fans will also be able to give a warm welcome to Bogdanovic on his first return to the Vivent Arena.  

The Pistons are playing their fifth game of a five-game road trip and playing this game on back-to-back nights. So, I expect the road travel to be a problem that they just cannot overcome against a solid NBA team like the Jazz. The following situational trends and angles from my predictive model support a best bet on the Jazz minus the points 

  • The Jazz are 97-10 SU (91%), 86-20-1 ATS (81%) when shooting 48% or better from the field and scoring 115 or more points in games played over the past five seasons.
  • The Pistons are 10-84 SU (11%), 26-65-3 ATS (29%) when allowing 115 or more points and allowing 48% shooting from the field in games played over the past five seasons.

Other Games on My Radar 

Philadelphia +4 vs Charlotte 

  • The 76ers head coach Doc Rivers is 28-12-1 ATS when his team is playing their fourth game over the past 10 days.

Dallas +7 vs Boston 

  • The Celtics are 3-16 ATS (16%) when facing teams that are getting outrebounded by three or more rebounds per game
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