Rhys Williams' Racing Tips: 2 Selections For Tuesday
Horse racing expert Rhys Williams is sharing his best selections for Tuesday's action.
Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and, most recently, as a tipster for Betfair, where his tipping column achieved a 31% ROI over 4.5 years.
He often focuses on the back end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.
Rhys' tips have returned 363.42 points from 232.0 points staked, meaning his profit and loss record stands at a whopping +131.42pts overall - thanks to a sensational spell that included Lamar Canyon's recent win at 150/1.
Here are Rhys' tips for Tuesday, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.
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14:50 Wexford: Solsbury Hill - 1pt Win @ 33/1
Solsbury Hill is returning from a break in this two-mile handicap chase and I think the market is underestimating his chance of making his return a successful one.
He made a winning chasing debut with ease at Roscommon and ran better than the margin beaten suggests on both handicap starts.
At Down Royal, he moved into contention after three out and he was still in a leading line of six turning the final bend towards the last before fading quickly to finish ninth.
Last time at Leopardstown, he made headway to be behind the leading group turning out of the back straight towards two out, but once asked for his effort turning into the home straight, he found nothing and finished well beaten.
Solsbury Hill now comes back with a tongue tie on for the first time, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if he’s had a wind op since his last run.
If that is accurate, the combination of those two factors could see him finish off the race much stronger than has been the case on his last two starts.
He’s now off an 8lb lower mark than when starting in handicaps, which seems a generous drop, and this is a weaker contest than he faced last time.
It may be that he will finish weakly again or that he will need the run after a break, but he’s won on two of the three occasions he’s returned from a break of over 50 days so I’m hopeful the latter won’t be an issue.
Any 14/1 or bigger appeals.
15:20 Wexford: Tumuch - 0.5pt Win @ 14/1
Tumuch was pulled up in a hunter chase when last seen under rules, but I think he could be capable of much better today on his first start in a handicap over fences.
He looked promising early in his career and ran well on hurdling debut behind Irancy and Will The Wise, but the wheels seemed to fall off after and he ended up back in the pointing field last season.
The terrible ground at Oldtown can excuse his poor run there, but it was worrying just how quickly he stopped on hunter chase debut at Downpatrick after jumping well.
He bounced back to a much better level when last seen on the point track at Fairyhouse with a wide margin success.
Given the manner in which he had previously stopped so quickly, I wonder if Tumuch had a wind op prior to that run and that he may have worn a tongue tie that day too which resulted in the much improved performance.
A tongue tie is on today and this ground is in his favour and the quality of his best recent performances suggest that Tumuch has more ability than a rating of 98.
There is the obvious worry that he might just be one of those horses who can’t replicate their point form under rules and this trip may be on the sharp side for him.
However, I think he’s a little overpriced given his potential to improve on what he’s shown so far over fences under rules and any double-figure prices appeal.
Rhys' Selection 2: 15:20 Wexford: Tumuch - 0.5pt Win
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