Who’s Favourite To Win I’m A Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here?

Who’s Favourite To Win I’m A Celebrity Get Me Out Of Here?
© PA

Shane Richie will miss out on a final three spot in Thursday's episode of I’m a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here, according to the bookmakers.

With just four celebs now remaining, Ladbrokes make Jordan North 11/10 favourite to be crowned King of the Castle, with Giovanna Fletcher a 19/10 shot for the win.

Elsewhere in the betting, Shane is odds-on at 10/11 to be sent packing next, with Vernon Kay 13/8 to go, while the other two frontrunners should be safe for another night.

I’m A Celeb 2020 Winner Odds

NameOddsKnown For?Age
Jordan North11/10Radio 1 DJ30
Giovanna Fletcher19/10Author and Presenter35
Vernon Kay5/1TV and Radio Presenter46
Shane Richie13/2Actor, Comedian, TV Presenter56

I'm A Celeb Form Pointers

2018 winner Harry Redknapp was immensely popular from the outset. In fact, he received the most votes from the public in each and every one of 10 public votes.

Incidentally, 2017 I’m a Celebrity winner Georgia Toffolo did likewise, as did Scarlett Moffatt who won the competition in 2016. Alas, 2019 voting figures outside of day 22 voting were never made public.



Consequently, if the history books are any kind of guide, predicting the winner of this show can be as simple as identifying the most popular contestant via public votes in the first few weeks.

The problem is – voting does not traditionally begin until day 13.

What The Stats Say

Finding the winner could be done via old fashioned statistical analysis. The list of previous winners clearly shows reality TV stars have fared well in recent times.

Previous I’m A Celebrity Winners

YearWinnerKnown ForWinning AgeFrom
2019Jacqueline JossaEastEnders27London
2018Harry RedknappFootball71London
2017Georgia ToffoloReality TV24London
2016Scarlett MoffattReality TV26Durham
2015Vicky PattisonReality TV28Newcastle
2014Carl FogartyMotorcycle Racer49Lancashire
2013Kian EganPop Star33Sligo, Ireland
2012Charlie BrooksEastenders31Hertfordshire
2011Dougie PoynterPop Star23Essex
2010Stacey SolomonPop Star21London
2009Gino D’AcampoTV Chef33Naples, Italy
2008Joe SwashEastEnders26London
2007Chris BigginsActor/Presenter58Southampton
2006Matt WillisPop Star23London
2005Carol ThatcherJournalist52London
2004Joe PasqualeComedian43Essex
2003Kerry KatonaPop Star23Cheshire
2002Phil TufnellCricket36London
2001Tony BlackburnDJ58Surrey

In shows of this ilk the history books are an invaluable guide to narrowing down the field. In I’m a Celeb the statistics suggest the size of ‘celebrity’ pre-event has little bearing on individual’s progress within the show.

It is notable ‘northerners’ have a desperate record in the show – anyone north of Milton Keynes may as well stay on their comfortable sofa – and Londoners out-perform their statistical numbers (number of previous entrants) by some considerable way.

Soap On A Rope

Although three former winners were in EastEnders, soap stars have a poor record in this contest overall. A total of 12 EastEnders actors have taken part in the show, but none of the six candidates representing Coronation Street have been successful.

It’s zero from five in regards to Emmerdale and another fat zero from the five contenders who once appeared in Hollyoaks. But the biggest standout stat of all comes in the age brackets where those aged 21-33 have produced 12 of the past 19 winners.

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