Rhys Williams' Daily Horse Racing Tips: 2 Selections For Monday
The Panel are delighted to have Rhys Williams as part of our team of racing tipsters.
Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and most recently as a tipster for Betfair where his tipping column had a 31% ROI over four and a half years.
He often focuses away from the front end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.
His profit and loss record for the year stands at -28.87 points from 35.5 points staked.
Here are Rhys' tips for Monday, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.
17:30 Wolverhampton: Regatta - 1pt Win @ 33/1
Regatta finished well beaten on her only start last year, but I thought she shaped with some promise and could run well at a big price after a break.
Her debut was at Newbury over seven furlongs and her inexperienced showed in the early stages.
She travelled in midfield and moved well into contention with two furlongs to go, but she looked clueless and ran all over the place when asked for her effort and came home in seventh.
I’m hopeful that Regatta will be far more professional today having gained that experience and I think the step up in trip will suit her too.
She also looked uncomfortable on the quick ground at Newbury so this surface could be more suitable for her.
I think she has the potential to take a considerable step forward from the level she achieved on debut.
The application of a tongue tie is a bit concerning and it might be that her full ability will come out over further and on soft ground, but this might not be a particularly strong maiden and any 14/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 1: 17:30 Wolverhampton - Regatta - 1pt Win
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Early Cheltenham Selection:
Turners Novices' Hurdle: Glance At Midnight - 0.5pt Win @ 100/1 (NRMB)
Maybe there’s too little time between now and the second day of the Cheltenham Festival for a trainer switch to have any significant impact, but it was a bit surprising to see no market reaction to Glance At Midnight joining Dan Skelton after being bought for £245,000 in the GoffsGo February Sale last week.
Glance At Midnight has already looked a promising novice hurdler this season, gradually improving as the season has progressed and with a step up in trip last time in the Sidney Banks at Huntingdon.
Despite the ground looking to be softer than ideal for him and that he was away from what was likely the best ground on the outside, he ran very well to finish second to Act Of Innocence and, perhaps notably given the purchase, ahead of the Skelton-trained Sinnatra.
Given that he showed a tendency to go slightly to his left at some of the hurdles at Huntingdon, I think the return to a left-handed track at Cheltenham will help Glance At Midnight and the slightly stiffer test of stamina may help his cause too.
If this was a market on a run-of-the-mill contest I expect the market would factor in a good deal of improvement for a horse moving from Andrew Martin to Dan Skelton so that Glance At Midnight is still available at 100/1 with the NRMB concession in place is surprising to me.
Of course it may be that they will want to give him more time to settle in at the new yard so Aintree could end up being his spring target instead but the NRMB concession takes care of that concern and if he does turn up at Cheltenham I think he’s capable of running well at a big price.
Any 33/1 or bigger NRMB appeals.
Rhys' Selection 1: Cheltenham Festival: Turners Novices' Hurdles - Glance At Midnight - 0.5pt Win
All odds correct at time of publish.
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