Rhys Williams' Racing Tips: 4 Selections For Royal Ascot Day 3

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Rhys Williams' Racing Tips: 4 Selections For Royal Ascot Day 3

Horse racing expert Rhys Williams is sharing his best selections for Day 3 of Royal Ascot.

Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and most recently as a tipster for Betfair, where his tipping column had a 31% ROI over four and a half years.

He often focuses away from the front end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.

Rhys' tips have returned 335.12 points from 206.5 points staked, meaning his profit and loss record stands at a whopping +128.62pts overall - thanks to a sensational spell that included Lamar Canyon's win at 150/1 recently. 

Here are Rhys' tips for Day 3 of Royal Ascot, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.


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16:50 Royal Ascot Day 3: Capall Rasa - 0.5pt Win @ 66/1

Organise is at the head of the market for the Britannia, but there’s a horse who finished behind him at Sandown earlier in the season, who I think could run better than their big price suggests.

Capall Rasa finished fourth that day behind Organise and Laureate Crown, but he raced a bit too keenly on his first start of the season, and became unbalanced when asked for his effort with two furlongs to go so it was a fair run to finish three lengths behind the winner.

They stepped him up in trip for the typically strong London Gold Cup last time, and Capall Rasa once again raced too keenly over the longer trip.

He didn’t run too badly in the circumstances and the only runner to come out of the race since - Pearl River who finished one place ahead of him - won next time.

It may turn out that Capall Rasa is best on artificial surfaces, but if such a horse is to run well on turf that tends to happen at Ascot and I think the return to a mile will suit him. 

Being drawn near to the stands rail could also be beneficial for him and while this looks a typically deep renewal, I think he’s a little overpriced. 

Any 40/1 or bigger appeals.

Rhys' Selection 1: 16:50 Royal Ascot Day 3: Capall Rasa - 0.5pt Win


16:50 Royal Ascot Day 3: Lion Of Alba - 0.5pt Win @ 66/1

Another horse who makes some appeal at a huge price in the same race is Lion Of Alba, who makes his first start in a handicap.

He looked a slow burning type last season, gradually improving with each run and ending the season with an easy victory at Chester when drawing clear late on. 

He was a bit disappointing on his first start of this season in the Italian 2000 Guineas after getting into an early battle for the lead and dropping away late on. 

It might be that he wasn’t at his best after travelling or that while he made all at Chester, he will be better being able to relax and get a lead at this sort of level.

I think the market may have overreacted to one run and Lion Of Alba has a better chance of bouncing back than his price suggests.

 Any 40/1 or bigger appeals.

Rhys' Selection 2: 16:50 Royal Ascot Day 3: Lion Of Alba - 0.5pt Win


17:35 Royal Ascot Day 3: Maho Bay - 0.5pt Win @ 9/1

Maho Bay ran well below expectations when last seen in the Lingfield Derby Trial, but the yard was going through a quiet spell at the time and I think he can bounce back to a much better level.

He won in impressive fashion on seasonal debut at Newmarket, when setting a good pace and comfortably seeing off Amadeus Mozart in the closing stages.

That led to Maho Bay being sent off favourite at Lingfield, but he was beaten a long way out and could never get competitive. 

While that run can be excused due to the quiet spell of the yard, there is a slight concern that he didn’t enjoy the quick ground - so it might be that he will once again find this ground too firm for his liking.

However, I think the market has overreacted a bit too much to the Lingfield defeat, and Maho Bay can bounce back to produce a better performance. 

Any 15/2 or bigger appeals.

Rhys' Selection 3: 17:35 Royal Ascot Day 3: Maho Bay - 0.5pt Win

17:35 Royal Ascot Day 3: Glacius - 0.5pt Win @ 28/1

At a bigger price in the same race, I think Glacius has the potential to outrun market expectations on his seasonal debut.

He put up a very good performance on debut at Newmarket, when beating Del Maro despite showing obvious signs of inexperience at various stages of the race. 

Glacius was in strong company on his two subsequent starts, first coming up against Bow Echo at Haydock and then finishing third behind Hankelow in the Autumn Stakes.

In both of those runs, Glacius looked in need of further and he now gets the opportunity to race over 1m2f for the first time.

He was reported to be behind in his coat earlier in the season, so I like that Hugo Palmer has given him time to come to himself rather than rushing him into a race earlier in the season. 

There is a concern that he might not have the most physical progression to make from last season, but I think his price is a bit too big given the level he’s achieved and any 16/1 or bigger appeals.

Rhys' Selection 4: 17:35 Royal Ascot Day 3: Glacius - 0.5pt Win


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2 Comments
JR
Jim Richardson
1 day ago
Thank you and good luck
TG
Tom Goodfellow
1 month ago
seems pretty good to me
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