Rhys Williams' Daily Horse Racing Tips: 2 Selections For Wednesday
The Panel are delighted to have Rhys Williams as part of our team of racing tipsters.
Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and most recently as a tipster for Betfair where his tipping column had a 31% ROI over four and a half years.
He often focuses away from the front end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.
His profit and loss record for the year stands at -25.62 points from 28.50 points staked.
Here are Rhys' tips for Wednesday, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.
15:45 Punchestown: Millie B - 0.5pt Win @ 40/1
Millie B is racing from 10lb out of the handicap on her handicap debut, but despite that, I think she could fare better than her big price suggests - if able to get back to her best.
She showed a fairly good level of ability in points during the 2023/24 season, winning four starts including a couple of Opens and showing that she can go well on deep ground.
Her form, when switched to hurdling last season, wasn’t so promising but she didn’t run too badly at Cork when last seen under rules.
In two points this season she hasn’t been up to the level that she showed previously in that sphere.
However, she’s had a relatively inexperienced rider in the saddle, and she didn’t shape too badly in a strong Open at Dromahane when last seen.
Millie B kept plugging on that day so I think this test of stamina and having a more experienced rider in the saddle could bring about a return to better form.
It may be that she’s had a problem, which means she’s not as good as she once was or that she will be one of those who is better suited by the test of points than racing under rules.
However, she was capable of running to better than a rating of 92 at her best so I think she’s a little overpriced. Any 14/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 1: 15:45 Punchestown - Millie B - 0.5pt Win
18:30 Kempton: Amakhala - 0.5pt Win @ 18/1
Amakhala is making his handicap debut in this seven-furlong contest and I think the step up in trip could bring about some improvement from him on his first start as a three-year-old.
All three of his starts last year were over five furlongs and he looked short of the necessary speed for that trip as well as looking green.
He shaped with some promise on his second start at Wolverhampton when he couldn’t go the early pace and dropped back into last turning into the home straight before finishing strongly.
He didn’t build on that on his final start of the year when once again looking short of speed over five furlongs in a seller at Goodwood.
The extra two furlongs looks likely to suit Amakhala and the ability he showed on his second start suggests that he could be better than an opening mark of 57.
It may be that he will need the run on his first start after 255 days off and this could be a decent race for the level.
However, I think the market is underestimating him due to his connections and any 14/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 2: 18:30 Kempton - Amakhala - 0.5pt Win
All odds correct at time of publish.
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