Rhys Williams' Daily Horse Racing Tips: 1 Selection For Wednesday
Rhys Williams continues to share his racing expertise with The Panel.
Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and most recently as a tipster for Betfair where his tipping column had a 31% ROI over four and a half years.
He often focuses away from the front end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.
His profit and loss record for the year stands at -28.87 points from 36.5 points staked.
Here is Rhys' tip for Wednesday, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.
15:42 Lingfield: The Cola Brasil - 0.5pt Win @ 40/1
The Cola Brasil hasn’t beaten many horses in four starts for this yard, but I think he’s a little overpriced in this very weak contest.
He didn’t run too badly on his first start for Damien Wingrove at Southwell and the race wasn’t run to suit in a farcical contest at Kempton next time.
They’ve switched headgear in his last two starts and he’s gone backwards for that, although he did finish strongly after getting a long way behind at Wolverhampton last time.
The visor is back on today and, for the first time since joining Wingrove, The Cola Brasil doesn’t have a very inexperienced rider in the saddle.
I think Mount Mogan, Fitzmaurice and Miraflores are likely to combine to set at least a good pace.
If it’s ever going to happen again for The Cola Brasil in his veteran years, I think this scenario gives him the best chance to do it.
Of course it could be that he doesn’t want to know anymore, and the trainer is yet to have a winner.
However, there have been some more promising signs from his runners in the last couple of months and any 25/1 or bigger appeals about The Cola Brasil getting him off the mark.
Rhys' Selection 1: 15:42 Lingfield - The Cola Brasil - 0.5pt Win
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Early Cheltenham Selection:
Turners Novices' Hurdle: Glance At Midnight - 0.5pt Win @ 100/1 (NRMB)
Maybe there’s too little time between now and the second day of the Cheltenham Festival for a trainer switch to have any significant impact, but it was a bit surprising to see no market reaction to Glance At Midnight joining Dan Skelton after being bought for £245,000 in the GoffsGo February Sale last week.
Glance At Midnight has already looked a promising novice hurdler this season, gradually improving as the season has progressed and with a step up in trip last time in the Sidney Banks at Huntingdon.
Despite the ground looking to be softer than ideal for him and that he was away from what was likely the best ground on the outside, he ran very well to finish second to Act Of Innocence and, perhaps notably given the purchase, ahead of the Skelton-trained Sinnatra.
Given that he showed a tendency to go slightly to his left at some of the hurdles at Huntingdon, I think the return to a left-handed track at Cheltenham will help Glance At Midnight and the slightly stiffer test of stamina may help his cause too.
If this was a market on a run-of-the-mill contest I expect the market would factor in a good deal of improvement for a horse moving from Andrew Martin to Dan Skelton so that Glance At Midnight is still available at 100/1 with the NRMB concession in place is surprising to me.
Of course it may be that they will want to give him more time to settle in at the new yard so Aintree could end up being his spring target instead but the NRMB concession takes care of that concern and if he does turn up at Cheltenham I think he’s capable of running well at a big price.
Any 33/1 or bigger NRMB appeals.
Rhys' Cheltenham Festival Selection: Turners Novices' Hurdles - Glance At Midnight - 0.5pt Win
All odds correct at time of publish.
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