MLS Betting Advice: There are Value Bets to Make in Big Games

MLS Betting Advice: There are Value Bets to Make in Big Games
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After a bunch of state derbies in the last game week, the MLS tables changed drastically in a massive week in North America’s top soccer division. The action continues this weekend, with most clubs in action this Saturday, as top meets bottom in the Western Conference.

We’ve put together our betting advice for the MLS this weekend, including our bet of the week and game of the week.

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Game of the Week

New York Red Bulls +190 at Austin +120 

Despite eight points separating the New York Red Bulls and Austin FC, the two can barely be split in terms of analysis for this game. 

Austin is one point behind Los Angeles FC in the Western Conference title race, and it is the most in-form team in the league with 14 points from the past six games.

The Red Bulls have taken a tumble in recent weeks, which has meant they've lost their place in first in the Eastern Conference after losing to rivals New York City in the last game. On the other hand, they are +190 to win this game which is almost as low of a price as any side heading to the Q2 Stadium this season.

Austin is the favorite, but don’t count out New York just yet — we think there could be goals in this one.

Austin to beat New York Red Bulls 2-1 is +800 with DraftKings.

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Best Bet of the Week

Los Angeles +105 at Kansas City +220

Los Angeles got yet another win as it defeated Nashville 2-1 in Tennessee to further establish itself as the top team in the MLS right now and also move 12 points clear of Nashville in the process.

Los Angeles is now first in the Western Conference by a point while also having a game in hand over second-placed Austin. The Black and Gold beat LA Galaxy just a week before their victory in Tennessee as well, and to think they are +105 to beat the third-worst team in the MLS this season seems crazy to us.

Sporting Kansas City has 20 points after 22 games, while it has lost the most games this season with 12 on record. We’re picking a win for Los Angeles, as it does look as if it is unstoppable right now. 

LAFC is +1200 to beat Kansas 2-0 with FanDuel.

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Team of the Week Last Week

New York City

With a bunch of draws, some upsets, and many low-scoring games, it's tough to separate teams. But we’re going with New York City, which proved its worth as the top Eastern Conference side with a victory in the Hudson River Derby.

New York went to the Red Bull Arena for the game against the Red Bulls, and going in, it looked like the fixture could go either way. However, it was a tactical masterclass from Nick Cushing and his men.

New York City restricted the Red Bulls to four shots on target throughout the game, while the Pigeons had 65% of the possessions and dictated the game's tempo on enemy territory. 

New York City also had an 81% pass accuracy rate, while it never looked in danger of losing the game. Valentin Castellanos was the hero for NYCFC, as he scored with 22 minutes left to play in the 1-0 win.

New York to beat Inter Miami and see three or more goals in the match is -118 Caesars.

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Player of the Week Last Week

Emanuel Reynoso, Minnesota United

While there was no significant standout team performance, Reynoso stole the headlines with his brace against Wayne Rooney’s D.C. United and he was in excellent form throughout the game.

Reynoso scored the opening goal after 13 minutes and doubled his tally with another goal five minutes into the second half. 

He was the only player who scored more than one goal in the recent week, and with his efforts now pushing Minnesota United into fourth, Reynoso is an easy pick for the player of the last week.

Reynoso is +270 to score anytime against Houston Dynamo with FanDuel. 

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Hardest Game to Call

Philadelphia +175 at Orlando +135

Philadelphia Union will travel to Florida this weekend when it meets with Orlando City in a huge game in the Eastern Conference. Currently, the Union is at the top of the Eastern table with a point advantage over New York City and nine points ahead of Orlando. 

Philadelphia is still the underdog heading into this game. It is also on a stunning four-game unbeaten run which has seen it beat D.C. United 7-0, Inter Miami in Florida 2-1, and New England Revolution 2-1.

Orlando lost to Arsenal in midweek during a club friendly and it will be looking to bounce back after a draw with Atlanta United in the last MLS game. 

A tie in this game is +230 with DraftKings.

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Throw Ins

These are some other bets worth a look on this week’s schedule:

  • Over 3.5 goals between Real Salt Lake and Dallas +188 at BetMGM.
  • A draw at halftime and a win for Montreal in the second is +575 at PointsBet.
  • A 1-1 tie between Toronto and Charlotte is +600 at FanDuel.
  • Hany Mukhtar to score first is +350 at DraftKings.
  • Only two goals between Vancouver and Chicago is +250 at Caesars.

Power Rankings

  1. LAFC ↔
  2. Philadelphia Union ↔
  3. New York City FC ↑
  4. Austin ↓
  5. New York Red Bulls ↔

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This Week’s Schedule with Moneylines (All Times Eastern)

Saturday

  • Inter Miami (+700) at New York City (-320), 7 p.m.
  • Philadelphia (+175) at Orlando (+135), 7:30 p.m.
  • Nashville (+175) at Cincinnati (+140), 7:30 p.m.
  • Charlotte (+210) at Toronto (+110), 7:30 p.m.
  • New England (+220) at Columbus (+105), 7:30 p.m.
  • Montreal (+165) at D.C. United (+140), 8 p.m.
  • Los Angeles (+105) at Kansas City (+220), 8:30 p.m.
  • Minnesota (+195) at Houston (+115), 8:30 p.m.
  • Dallas (+240) at Real Salt Lake (+100), 10 p.m.
  • Chicago (+195) at Vancouver (+120), 10:30 p.m.
  • San Jose Earthquakes (+330) at Portland Timbers (-150), 10:30 p.m.

Sunday

  • New York Red Bulls (+190) at Austin (+120), 8 p.m.
  • Atlanta (+300) at LA Galaxy (-140), 9:30 p.m.
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