MLS Picks: Betting Advice for Week 29

MLS Picks: Betting Advice for Week 29
© USA Today

After some more midweek action that saw a dramatic change in the Power Rankings, the MLS returns for week 29 in what could be the most monumental set of fixtures for the race towards the playoffs.

Eastern Conference leaders Philadelphia Union faces its toughest test in weeks against New York Red Bulls and two rivals meet in the Western Conference. Here’s our MLS betting advice for this week’s games.

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Game of the Week

Montreal +190 at Toronto +115

It’s a Canadian derby this weekend as Toronto looks to finally leap into the playoffs with an important game against Montreal at BMO Field. 

No side has been on the rise like Toronto in the past two months, as it has now seen the additions of Italian legends, Lorenzo Insigne and Federico Bernardeschi, who have been involved in a combined six goals after just a handful of MLS games. Bernardeschi scored again in the 2-2 tie with L.A. Galaxy on Wednesday, and that result now means Toronto has lost just one of their past eight games since losing to Montreal back in July.

Montreal defeated Toronto 1-0 that day thanks to an own goal. Montreal is still sitting second in the Eastern Conference too, but a win for Insigne and co. could rocket Toronto right into the playoffs this weekend. It’s set to be a mouthwatering encounter and one in which the home team should win.

Federico Bernardeschi to score anytime is +200 with DraftKings.

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Best Bet of the Week

Austin +280 at Nashville -125

Despite being heavy underdogs, it’s hard to look past Austin at +280. It currently sits second in the table in the Western Conference and nine points above its opposition, Nashville.

Austin is still also on a high after defeating Western Conference leaders, Los Angeles FC, two weeks ago. It beat LAFC 4-1 that day, and despite losing to Portland Timbers last time out, Austin is still one of the teams to beat in the MLS.

Nashville got a 4-1 victory during the week, as it destroyed Colorado Rapids thanks to a hat-trick from Hany Mukhtar. It makes this one an enticing match, but we do think Austin should get the job done.

Diego Fagundez to score and Austin to win the match is +850 with FanDuel.

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Team of Last Week

Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia can lay claim to being the best team in the MLS right now. In fact, after winning a third game in a row and scoring 16 goals in three games, it has now moved ahead of Los Angeles in the MLS Power Rankings.

After back-to-back 6-0 victories that saw the Union become the first-ever team to do so, it plays Atlanta United at Subaru Park. Philadelphia was clinical in the game from start to finish, as Julian Carranza scored yet again, while Daniel Gazdag made it four goals in two games for himself, before Mikael Uhre and Nathan Harriel scored a goal each.

Philadelphia is unstoppable right now, and we could be looking at the future MLS Cup winners.

Player of Last Week

Hany Mukhtar, Nashville

Another week down, another hat-trick in the bag for an MLS star. 

After two hat-tricks in three games from two Philadelphia players, it was Nashville's Hany Mukhtar’s turn to make headlines as he scored three goals in the 4-1 win against Colorado. His opening goal came from a penalty conversion, with his other two efforts from open play and both in the second half of the game.

Mukhtar ended up having five shots on target in the match until he was substituted, but his 80 minutes of action saw one of the performances of the season from an Eastern Conference player. 

Now, the Nashville star is going to need to be at his best once more if his team is to beat second-placed Austin this weekend.

Hany Mukhtar to score first against Austin is +380 with FanDuel

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Hardest Game to Call

Colorado Rapids +165 at D.C. United +130

It's 11th in the Western Conference meeting with last place in the Eastern Conference this weekend with D.C. United being seven points behind Colorado In the Supporters' Shield standings. The tiny gap between the two and how D.C. is at home in this game should make it confident in getting win number eight for the season.

Better yet, D.C. is also coming off a stunning win against MLS Cup champions, New York City, as Ola Kamara and Steve Birnbaum scored a goal each in Wayne Rooney's first win as head coach. Rooney must now hope that win was just the start of a positive run of form for his team, as D.C. has been terrible up until this point.

Colorado, however, has just one win more than D.C. this season, but it has not won a game since beating Minnesota United 4-3 five games ago. What's more, Colorado has conceded 10  goals in its two past games, as it lost to Philadelphia 6-0 and Nashville 4-1. 

The poor run from Colorado and the recent win for D.C. make this a tough one to call.

A tie in this game is +240 with DraftKings.

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Throw Ins

These are some other bets worth a look at on this week’s schedule:

  • New York City to beat New England 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 is +475 at BetMGM.
  • Austin to beat Nashville 2-0 is +2000 at PointsBet.
  • Over 3.5 goals between Portland and Atlanta is +138 at FanDuel.
  • Dallas to beat Minnesota 2-1 is +1200 at DraftKings.
  • A tie between Cincinnati and Charlotte is +280 at Caesars.

Power Rankings

  1. Philadelphia Union ↔
  2. LAFC ↔
  3. Austin ↔
  4. Montreal ↔
  5. Minnesota United

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This Week’s Schedule with Moneylines (All Times Eastern)

Saturday

  • Dallas (+260) at Minnesota (-115), 3:30 p.m.
  • Chicago Fire (+260) at Columbus Crew (-120), 5:30 p.m.
  • Philadelphia Union (+175) at New York Red Bulls (+130), 7 p.m.
  • Charlotte (+300) at Cincinnati (-135), 7:30 p.m.
  • Austin (+280) at Nashville (-125), 8:30 p.m.

Sunday

  • Atlanta United (+195) at Portland Timbers (+105), 5:30 p.m.
  • Montreal (+190) at Toronto (+115), 7:30 p.m.
  • Colorado Rapids (+165) at D.C. United (+130), 7:30 p.m.
  • Kansas City (+360) at LA Galaxy (-175), 8 p.m.
  • New York City (+180) at New England Revs (+115), 8 p.m.
  • Houston Dynamo (+380) at Seattle Sounders (-170), 9 p.m.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps (+260) at San Jose (-115), 9:30 p.m.
  • Real Salt Lake (+500) at Los Angeles FC (-250), 10:30 p.m.
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