Republican Ticket Betting Backs Trump/DeSantis But Haley, Owens & Noem in Running
UK betting sites expect Donald Trump and Ron DeSantis to put aside their differences and forge the Republican presidential ticket for the 2024 US election.
Trump is desperate to return to the White House after losing the 2020 election to Joe Biden by around seven million votes.
The businessman is currently facing a subpoena to testify in the January 6 riot hearing, and is being sued over alleged inflation of his property values in New York.
Still, that hasn’t stopped Trump from pushing ahead with his efforts to win the presidency back in two years’ time, and he has spent the last few months getting his endorsed GOP candidates on US midterm ballots across the country.
UK bookmakers currently suggest Trump is the favourite to win the next US election in 2024, largely because they all expect him to secure the Republican nomination.
But there are plenty of other candidates who would dearly love a shot at the White House, and who could seek to topple Trump between now and the primaries.
One of those is Ron DeSantis, the governor of Florida who is gaining plenty of right-wing support from voters who have had enough of Trump.
But the likes of Nikki Haley, Candace Owens and Kristi Noem could also throw their hat in the ring once the midterms hype has settled down.
And betting apps have drawn up their odds on the Republican ticket we’ll see go forward to the next election.
How Republican Primaries Work
The 2024 Republican primaries will begin in January of that year, where declared nominees will go head-to-head against each other in states across the country to secure votes. Whichever nominee lands the most votes becomes the GOP candidate for the 2024 election.
The primaries provide a rich ground for policy sharing and voter testing, but also act as a platform for presidential hopefuls to fine tune their public image. Trump eviscerated the field in 2016 with his hostile approach, and in 2020 there wasn’t much of a choice for Republicans to vote for anyone else but him.
This time it could be different. Yes, Trump is a horrendously formidable opponent – largely because his accusatory style drags debates away from policy and into the arena of political mudslinging. But he also has chinks in his armour that rivals can attack.
The GOP will name their presidential and vice presidential candidates at the 2024 Republican National Convention in Milwaukee that summer.
Republican Ticket Betting
So who will be on the Republican presidential ticket? Bookmakers Ladbrokes have already begun tweaking their odds in line with the perpetual changes within the GOP. And it certainly doesn’t look like a Trump/DeSantis ticket is guaranteed…
Ladbrokes have had Trump/DeSantis as the most obvious GOP 2024 ticket for months, and a current price of 11/2 hasn’t really moved much.
Everyone seems pretty certain that Trump will go again, and eventually get DeSantis to fall in behind him as VP candidate, rather than presidential. Still, there’s a long way to go in this fight and DeSantis has aspirations of the Oval Office.
Should Trump end up in legal trouble over the January 6 riots or his New York lawsuit, then there’s every reason to believe he won’t run for president again. And this opens the door for DeSantis to lead a ticket alongside Kristi Noem.
South Dakota governor Noem says she would support Trump if he runs, and has been coy on a DeSantis/Noem ticket. First she needs to win re-election in the midterms, and then the focus turns to 2024. At 21/2 this isn’t a bad shout.
Perhaps a better bet for those who think the Trump/DeSantis relationship could blow up at any moment is to look to Nikki Haley. At 14/1 this is the second-most likely possibility for a Trump-led ticket.
Haley is a former U.N. Ambassador who served under Trump, but has eyes on the Oval Office. She’s ended up at the other side of the GOP divide when it comes to promoting midterm candidates, much to Trump’s annoyance.
Could the pair come together to create a winning ticket? Perhaps.
Celebrity name Candace Owens looks unlikely to have the political muscle to run for president herself, but she could slip onto the DeSantis ticket.
She’s generally supportive of the Florida governor and could help DeSantis hoover up undecided voters. A pact with Trump is far less likely. Political betting sites are offering 33/2 right now.
Noem is keeping her cards close to her chest, but get through the midterms and she could be a highly sought-after presence for both the Trump and DeSantis camps.
At 20/1, evidently the bookies think she’s less likely to support the former president.
Is it time to get the old band back together? Probably not, if truth be told. Trump and Pence each hold major sway in the GOP but don’t exactly see eye-to-eye since Pence refused to go all-in with Trump on baseless allegations the 2020 US election was rigged.
Trump doesn’t take disloyalty well, even if it’s well-founded. And bookmakers are naturally setting a large price of 27/1 on these two joining forces again.
Could it really happen? During the height of Trump’s presidency there was talk of him bringing his daughter Ivanka in as his new VP and ousting Pence.
It didn’t happen largely because the GOP wanted to ensure Trump didn’t have absolute power of the party.
Ivanka has kept her distance since but seems to be supporting her father in a less hands-on capacity than what’s needed from a running mate. At 68/1 this seems unlikely.
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