Rhys Williams' Racing Tips: 4 Selections For Tuesday
Horse racing expert Rhys Williams is sharing his best selections for today's racing.
Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and most recently as a tipster for Betfair where his tipping column had a 31% ROI over four and a half years.
He often focuses away from the front end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.
Rhys' tips have returned 157.33 points from 138.5 points staked, meaning his profit and loss record stands at +18.83pts overall.
Here are Rhys' tips for today, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.
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14:48 Ffos Las: Walk In The West - 1pt Each-Way @ 9/2
Walk In The West was well beaten at Wincanton last time, but he shaped better than the result suggests and I think he can bounce back on the return to a shorter trip.
He ran well on handicap debut at Taunton, where he was unlucky to have not at least finished closer to the winner.
Having been held up, he travelled strongly into contention at the end of the back straight, but when looking set to make his effort going to two out, he got tightened for room and had to be steadied.
That left Victory Shout to get the edge over him and Walk In The West could never quite get back to him.
Walk In The West stepped up to 2m4f at Wincanton last time and looked an obvious non stayer.
He was held up at the back of the field before making headway towards the end of the back straight. That progress continued and he moved into third place entering the home straight, but the effort flattened out and he faded to finish sixth.
He’s now back to a suitable trip and I think the switch to a left-handed track can help his cause too.
There is a slight concern over whether he will be too keen with the hood coming off, but I think there’s more to come from Walk In The West and any 4/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 1: 14:48 Ffos Las: Walk In The West - 1pt Each-Way
15:18 Ffos Las: Kind Intention - 0.5pt Win @ 14/1
Fairye Forth might be too good for these on the back of a good run over course and distance, but I think Kind Intention could be more of a danger than the market suggests on his hurdling debut.
He showed a good level of ability on all three starts in bumpers while looking like he would be suited by a stiffer test of stamina.
He ran very well on debut when finishing second to subsequent Grade 1 novice hurdle winner Storming George with some smart horses in behind.
Kind Intention then came up against Mydaddypaddy at Huntingdon and looked short of speed around that track.
His final run in bumpers came at this track and he ran well to finish fourth, with two of the three finishing ahead of him now rated in the 120s over hurdles.
It may be that whatever kept Kind Intention off the track last season will mean that he no longer has the level of ability that he showed in bumpers.
Or that he will need the run after the absence, but I think the market has too much between him and the front pair given the quality of those runs.
Any 8/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 2: 15:18 Ffos Las: Kind Intention - 0.5pt Win
17:37 Gowran Park: Western Bandit - 0.5pt Win @ 20/1
Western Bandit took a big step forward from his debut when finishing fifth at Limerick, and I think he has a better chance than the market suggests of building on that and making it third time lucky at Gowran this evening.
He finished tailed off at this track on debut, but showed far more last time when catching the eye running on late.
He was a bit further back than midfield turning the bend, but was still travelling well entering the straight in 11th.
Bumped along, his jockey had to wait for a clear run on several occasions before finally getting a clear path once switched to the inside late on and Western Bandit finished strongly to take fifth.
There is the obvious concern over such tactics around this track - given the usual significant bias towards racing prominently, but the quality of that performance suggests he can run well in a race of this level.
Any 12/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 3: 17:37 Gowran Park: Western Bandit - 0.5pt Win
17:37 Gowran Park: Captain Con - 0.5pt Win @ 66/1
At a huge price in the same race, I can’t let Captain Con go unbacked now that he’s back racing in more suitable conditions.
He showed a bit of promise when showing some signs of greenness on debut at the Curragh in a maiden, where six of the first seven home are now rated in the 90s or higher.
He was gelded after that and sent off at a single-figure price on his return to action at Navan in late March, but ran terribly and finished tailed off.
That was on heavy ground and it was a run that was too bad to be true, so I’m hoping that a combination of the ground and possibly another issue caused that.
He’s now back in more suitable conditions, and while there is the worry that this might be a confidence boosting run for his third start, his price is too big to ignore.
Any 33/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 4: 17:37 Gowran Park: Captain Con - 0.5pt Win
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