Rhys Williams' Racing Tips: 3 Selections For Saturday
Horse racing expert Rhys Williams is sharing his best selections for today's racing.
Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and most recently as a tipster for Betfair where his tipping column had a 31% ROI over four and a half years.
He often focuses away from the front end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.
Thanks to his 50/1 winner at the Cheltenham Festival (Apolon De Charnie) and 5/1 winners on Wednesday and Thursday, Rhys' tips have returned 107.93 points from 80.5 points staked, meaning his profit and loss record stands at 27.43pts overall.
Here are Rhys' tips for Saturday, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.
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15:17 Stratford: Daring To Dream - 0.5pt Win @ 17/2
Daring To Dream makes her handicap debut in this novices’ handicap hurdle and I think she has a better chance of breaking her duck than the market suggests.
She showed ability in a couple of bumpers before switching to hurdling.
A hood was put on at Ludlow for her hurdling debut and she was dropped out at the back of the field at the start.
She made headway towards the end of the back straight and that continued as she moved into contention for a place turning the final bend, before her effort flattened out and she faded into eighth.
She ran another encouraging race at Hereford next time behind Vol Royale, before a less promising run at Chepstow last time but I think that track wouldn’t have been ideal for her.
I think Stratford will be more to her liking and she now drops into weaker company for the first time.
There is a concern that she may continue to race keener than ideal, but I think she has more ability than her opening rating of 90.
Any 7/1 or bigger appeals in a moderate contest.
Rhys' Selection 1: 15:17 Stratford - Daring To Dream - 0.5pt Win
17:03 Kempton: Brian - 0.5pt Win @ 40/1
Brian returns to sprinting in the final race at Kempton and I think the market is overlooking the positive aspect of that.
He ran well in a Group 3 over six furlongs at Ascot on his first start of last season, but all bar one of his other runs since have been over further.
The only other run over that trip was at the same course on much softer ground and he ran respectably to finish fifth.
I think stepping up to a mile on his last two starts was very much against him so those runs can be easily excused, and the drop back to six furlongs in a race that is likely to be run at a decent pace is more suitable for him.
The draw isn’t ideal for Brian and I think a straight six furlongs would likely be ideal for him, but his price is too big to ignore given the quality of his best efforts over this trip.
Any 20/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 2: 17:03 Kempton - Brian - 0.5pt Win
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17:08 Stratford: Oakley - 0.5pt Win @ 18/1
For the level, Oakley was a very taking winner at Hereford earlier in the season, and while he’s failed to build on that in two runs since, I think the market is overlooking his chance.
At Hereford, he was given a patient ride and was still travelling well with plenty of ground to make up turning the final bend.
Once asked for some effort, he easily picked up the leaders and went away to win with far more in hand than the margin suggests.
I think the drop back in trip in a race - where all the hurdles in the home straight were taken out - didn’t suit him at Chepstow and he ran respectably last time at Hereford, considering the ground was far more testing than suitable for him.
Oakley is now back on more suitable ground and the likely good pace will suit his style of racing.
There is a slight concern that he might ideally want a little further to be seen at his best but he looks overpriced.
Any 12/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 3: 17:08 Stratford - Oakley - 0.5pt Win
All odds correct at time of publish.
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