Best US Prediction Market Apps & Sites for 2026
Prediction markets allow you to trade “Yes” or “No” shares directly with other users on the outcome of real-world events. As these apps become more and more popular, it’s important to know which ones are best for you and your trading habits.
Gambling.com's trading experts have compared the best prediction market apps and offer some alternatives.
Why You Can Trust Gambling.com's Prediction Market Reviews
✓ Safety: We ensure every recommended app complies with current legal guidelines designed to protect your identity and money.
✓ Experience: We consistently research the latest news and emerging trends in prediction markets to provide you with the most up-to-date data available.
✓ Insight: Our reviews are based on our hands-on testing and real user feedback, which allows us to create our own informed, impartial opinions about the sites we recommend.
✓ Integrity: We follow strict editorial guidelines to ensure that our prediction market reviews are accurate, clear, and independent.
✓ Responsibility: This guide includes extensive resources to support responsible trading practices. Each recommendation offers resources to manage prediction markets safely and responsibly.
Our Recommended Prediction Market Promos
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Top Prediction Market Apps
| Rank | Prediction App | Promo | Code | Best for |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polymarket | Deposit $10, Get $20 | GAMBLING | Politics & World-Events |
| 2 | OG Markets | Trade $10, Get $10 | No Code Required | Crypto |
| 3 | ProphetX | Trade $10, Get $20 | GDC | Sports |
1. Polymarket: Best for Politics & Culture
- CFTC-approved to operate in all US states as a Designated Contract Market
- Crypto-native platform with low or no fees on trades
- Official partner of the MLB, MLS, X (formerly Twitter), Yahoo Finance; also partnered with Google, Dow Jones, PrizePicks
Polymarket functions like a traditional stock brokerage and settles trades in the stablecoin USDC. You can trade on a wide range of topics, including sports, politics, world events, and pop culture.
Polymarket offers contracts on just about every event you can imagine. The platform also recently introduced perpetual futures, which are contracts without a fixed settlement date.
After returning to the US in late 2025, it’s still rolling out in phases across the country.
Polymarket features a customizable dashboard for monitoring multiple markets and verified leaderboards to follow other users' moves. Since you're only trading with other users and can sell your position anytime, this helps you know when to strike.
| Platforms | iOS (4.7★), Android (4.3★) |
| App Architecture | Order-book |
| Payout Speed | Instant |
| Availability | All states (except NV) |
| Customer Support | 24/7 live chat, Help Center |
| Min. Deposit | $10 |
| Deposit Methods | USDC Stablecoin – Apple Pay, online banking, debit card, wire transfer |
Why Choose Polymarket
Best For: Tech-savvy political and world-event market makers who are comfortable using cryptocurrencies, want near-zero fees with a maker's rebate, fast execution, and transparency.
What Users are Saying
App Store
- "Their app is great, interface very user friendly. Downside is they are still slow to respond to support inquiries can take a few days. Despoit/Withdrawals also need improvement on speed. Most other prediction markets, DFS sites, and sportsbooks payout near instantly. Taking 4 business days for a withdrawal is tough. Those aside, love the app and can't wait to see the improvement!"
- "This app is super simplistic and straight to the point. I really enjoy the 'Trend' page that showcases events happening LIVE that affect the election. ... widgets would be amazing. Most the 'Panels' in the app look like widgets anyaways by having a nice widget on my background would be amazing to quickly glance at how things are going."
Google Play Store
- "best app for prediction"
- "Well-designed app. Great for seeing the odds of the presidential election on the most liquid election betting market. Helps me keep track of what's happening."
- "Very good app!!! I like the breakdown of the individual categories and the graphs are a very nice touch !!!"
- "This is amazing to watch. I find myself checking it throughout the day or anytime a news story or event breaks"
2. OG Markets: Best for Crypto
- Federally regulated as Designated Contract Market
- Convert cryptocurrencies into USD to fund account; no deposit fees
- Available in nearly all 50 states
Crypto.com launched OG Markets as a designated peer-to-peer exchange for prediction markets, with emphasis on peer. OG includes a real-time community chat, verified Profit & Loss leaderboards, a sports-only parlay builder, and other social features.
OG Markets generally has strong liquidity, and its live features can help you make quick, yet informed decisions on your positions.
You can generally trade on sports, politics, economics, pop culture, weather, and cryptocurrency, though some states (including New Jersey, Nevada, and Ohio) restrict users from trading sports-related contracts. Users cannot access OG Markets at all in Arizona and New York.
| Platforms | iOS (4.1★), Android (4.1★), desktop |
| App Architecture | Order book |
| Payout Speed | Within 24 hours |
| Availability | All states (except AZ); market restrictions in IL, MA, MI, NV, NJ, OH |
| Customer Support | 24/7 live chat, Help Center |
| Min. Deposit | $10 |
| Deposit Methods | Bank transfer/wire, PayPal, debit cards, Apple Pay, Google Pay, Venmo, crypto |
Why Choose OG
Best For: Crypto & sports traders who want tight spreads, tiered fees, and seamless integration with the Crypto.com ecosystem.
What Users are Saying
App Store
- "Exactly what I was looking for. Could make the crypto or add stocks better, but thumbs up."
- "Great app for stock prediction. Really easy to use."
- "Good support"
Google Play Store
- "Been extremely fun"
- "Awesome"
- "I can't even stay long on it [says] I have to re-sign up"
3. ProphetX: Best for Sports
- First federally regulated sports-native prediction market in the US
- Charges 2% commission on net winnings
- Approved to operate as both Designated Contract Market & Derivatives Clearing Organization
ProphetX functions like a sports exchange market that overlaps with a prediction-market style. Rather than offering Yes/No event contracts priced by probability, ProphetX uses traditional sports-betting formats but matches users against each other rather than against the house. Every market has two sides: a back (you think the outcome will happen) and a lay (you think it won't). You can either accept an existing price or post your own and wait for a match.
Prices are expressed in standard American odds and move based on supply and demand.
The most significant difference between ProphetX and our other recommended prediction markets is that it offers only sports event contracts. There are no political or pop culture markets available at this time.
| Platforms | iOS (4.8★), Android (4.5★), desktop |
| App Architecture | Order book |
| Payout Speed | 1-5 days |
| Availability | All states |
| Customer Support | 24/7 live chat, phone, email, Help Center guides |
| Min. Deposit | $10 |
| Deposit Methods | Crypto, online banking |
Why Choose ProphetX
Best For: Sports parlayers in states where traditional sportsbooks aren't available who want sharper lines and hate getting limited.
What Users are Saying
App Store
- "I've enjoyed my experience since switching over in February. Mostly everything is available besides first round leader odds. Great value on most things."
- "This app is better than using DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM etc. There is no house booking bets. You are being matched with other bettors so you aren't paying the big like you do in those other apps. I recommend giv ing this a try and you will use it primarily."
- "One of the best sites available with the really good odds that compete with all the other prediction markets. User friendly as well!"
Google Play Store
- "I’ve been using ProphetX for a bit now and it’s probably the book I trust the most at this point. The lines are sharp and competitive, so I’m not constantly hunting for a better number. But what really keeps me on it is knowing I can actually win and not get limited for it—that alone puts it above most books for me. The paper trading feature is also really cool if you want to test stuff out or track ideas without risking real money, and deposits and withdrawals have been simple and smooth."
- "best prediction market app out there. deposit and redeems fast & easy!"
- "ProphetX is easy to use and has really good odds."
At a Glance: Comparing Polymarket vs. OG Markets vs. ProphetX
| Category | Polymarket | OG | ProphetX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Markets | Sports, politics, economics, pop culture, weather, crypto | Sports, politics, economics, pop culture, weather, crypto | Sports |
| Availability | Most states | Most states – sports restricted in some | Most states |
| Fees | ~0.75-1.8%; no fees on geopolitical | Varies on sports & politics; $0.02/contract on crypto & commodities | 2% on straight trade net gains; 0% on parlays |
| Sports Parlays | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Order Types | Market & limit with up to 1.25% maker rebate | Market | Market & limit |
| Social Features | Global profit leaderboard & "Breaking News" tab | Real-time community chat & verified P&L leaderboards | ✕ |
| Payments | Debit, bank transfer, wire, crypto | Bank transfer, wire, debit, PayPal, Apple Pay, Google Pay, Venmo, crypto | Aeropay (online banking), Zerohash (crypto), wire transfer |
| Responsible Trading Tools | None in-app | Account closure | Deposit limits, trading breaks, self-exclusion, account closure & statements |
What are Prediction Markets?
Prediction markets are exchange-traded platforms where users buy and sell shares based on the outcomes of real-world future events. Apps provide contract trading, allowing users to buy and sell “Yes” or “No” shares on the outcome of those events.
Functioning like a stock exchange, they enable users to trade directly with one another in a peer-to-peer environment rather than wagering against a "house" that sets the odds.
Every contract is priced between $0.01 and $0.99. Most prediction markets employ a capped-risk structure. Because contracts are priced under $1 and a "winning" payout is $1 per share, you're prevented from losing more than you've deposited.
The price represents the market’s collective belief—or implied probability—that an event will occur. Unlike traditional bets that are fixed until the event concludes, users can buy and sell their positions at any time as prices fluctuate in response to breaking news or shifting public sentiment. Rather than being locked into a fixed wager, traders can respond to market shifts until the very last second.
Are they Legal?
Yes. These platforms are regulated as financial exchanges rather than sportsbooks. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission oversees these sites to ensure integrity and prevent fraud. Many apps allow users 18+ to participate.
These apps treat onboarding as opening a regulated financial account, so you should expect a thorough identification check before you can start trading. Prediction market apps (even crypto-native platforms) will verify your identity, including your address, birthdate, government ID, and Social Security Number. Secure apps should also use industry-standard 256-bit SSL encryption and two-factor authentication.
While these platforms generally operate legally under federal regulations, they face intensifying scrutiny from state regulators who view them as a "loophole" for unlicensed sports betting. Remember that laws change frequently; verify your state's status before signing up.
Types of Prediction Market Apps
Most prediction market apps are categorized into two primary types based on their architecture: order book apps and buy-and-sell interface apps.
Exchange-style apps, much like stock and other financial market apps, can feature a Central Limit Order Book, which allows users to place limit orders and create their own markets. For example, if you believe an event has a 60% chance of happening, you can bid $0.60 even if the current market price is lower.
Buy-and-sell apps look and feel much more like traditional sports betting apps; you pick a yes-or-no outcome.
| App Feature | Order Book | Buy-and-Sell Interface |
| How They Work | Place limit orders, set prices, seek bids | Pick yes or no outcome; confirm listed price |
| Pros | More control over contracts | Usually quicker to lead; easier to learn |
| Cons | Can be harder to learn to use | Less transparency & flexibility |
| Comparable Platform | Trading exchanges | Traditional betting app |
Types of Prediction Market Contracts
Within various app structures, prediction market sites offer a wide variety of contracts. While the most common format is a simple "Yes" or "No" question, platforms have evolved to include more complex types.
Binary (Yes/No)
How It Works: Predict whether or not a specific event will occur ("conditional" versions only become active if a prior condition is met). If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out $1
Multiple-Choice
How it Works: Pick from a set of possible outcomes within one event
0DTE (Zero Days to Expiration)
How It Works: For markets that settle the same day
Scalar (Index)
How It Works: Resolves based on a numerical range rather than a single outcome
Futures
How It Works: Tied to events that are weeks, months, or even years away, allowing you to take positions on long-term macro trends.
Spread Betting
How It Works: Invest in the direction of an outcome, with returns tied to how much a specific metric moves
Combos or Parlays
How It Works: Bundle multiple individual contracts into a single position. All legs of the combo must resolve correctly for the trade to pay out
Prediction Market Types
While sports remain a major draw, over 60% of total volume on leading platforms now comes from economic and policy contracts. Let's look at the other types of things you can trade on:
Sports
Markets cover pro and college sports, including the NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL, NCAA football and basketball. You can trade on outright winners, spreads, point totals, props, and futures, though some states have restricted these markets.
Politics & Elections
You can trade on federal and state elections, Supreme Court rulings, Congressional decisions, and geopolitical events, though these are the subject of some proposed federal bans.
Economics & Finance
These contracts can include predictions on inflation reports, GDP growth, unemployment rates, interest rate changes, stock markets, and currency and oil prices. Some of these may be presented as 0DTE contracts, which settle the same day.
Pop Culture
Trade on popular cultural events, including award shows (such as Oscar winners), reality TV outcomes and eliminations, box-office successes, and other celebrity news or trends.
Climate & Weather
Traders can take positions on measurable meteorological outcomes. Contracts in these markets can include monthly rainfall totals, temperatures, and hurricanes or other natural disaster activity.
Technology
Technology markets can include product launches, industry benchmarks, and the emerging AI landscape. Predict when new products will be released or which models will perform best.
How to Choose the Right Prediction Market App for You
Prediction apps blend the functionality of a stock exchange with the layout of traditional online sportsbooks. Some features may look similar to betting apps you’ve used before, but others will still be new.
Here’s a look at the criteria you should evaluate before signing up for a prediction market in the US:
Variety of Contract Types
There are many different contract types, though they all appear to function as futures. You should expect flexible contracts.
Transparent Limit Orders
The best apps will show market visibility, enable fast-paced trading, and charge a competitive house edge.
Low Fees
Prediction markets usually charge a fee on net profits, keeping a lower house edge than sportsbooks. Look for transparent, low fees.
Live Trading Tools
Real-time data that scans public sentiment, historical trends, and live price charts can help you make better trades.
Personalization
Prediction markets work best when they're set up for your preferences, including price displays and customized dashboards.
Banking Options
You should consider the payment types you want to use, including crypto or traditional methods, and compare payout speeds.
Safety & Security Measures
Only use apps that verify your identity, use SSL encryption, and offer 2FA. This helps protect your personal data and prevent fraud.
App Architecture
Between order-book and buy-and-sell apps, your choice depends on your experience level and how much pricing control you want.
Ongoing Offers
Look for referral programs, tournaments, and other daily rewards to maximize your trading.
Social Integrations
Consider features like verified P&L leaderboards, the ability to copy trades, and real-time community chats.
Latest News Affecting Prediction Markets in the US
July 2026
- July 27: The NFL and other major sports leagues, along with attorneys general from more than 40 states, press the CFTC to tighten or abandon its proposed prediction market rules, while former Senator Christopher Dodd, co-author of the Dodd-Frank Act, argues the proposal contradicts the law.
- July 27: A federal judge grants Kalshi, Polymarket, and the CFTC a preliminary injunction pausing Minnesota's prediction market ban, ruling the state law is likely preempted by the federal Commodity Exchange Act.
- July 16: Kalshi says Gabriel Perez, a teleprompter operator for President Donald Trump, used his position to win around $100k by trading on what the president would say in his speeches. The company froze his funds and referred the case to the CFTC.
June 2026
- June 24: Kalshi sues Illinois over SB 3019, which would classify exchange wagers as a form of sports betting, thus limiting prediction market contracts to operators that have sportsbook licenses.
- June 23: Kentucky becomes the ninth state sued by the CFTC over efforts to restrict prediction markets.
- June 10: The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission will propose new rules governing prediction markets, allowing sports-related trading and barring bets on war, terrorism, and assassinations.
- June 4: Polymarket has joined the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Kalshi in their federal court case against Minnesota, challenging the state's prediction market ban.
May 2026
- May 29: Judge Jason Woodbury grants an injunction to the Nevada Gaming Control Board, which blocks Polymarket from offering event contracts while litigation continues.
- May 27: The White House is reviewing a proposal to have the Commodity Futures Trading Commission regulate prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
- May 25: Sporttrade begins shutting down its sports betting operations, with signs pointing to a pivot to prediction markets.
- May 20: The Senate Commerce Subcommittee holds its first formal hearing on sports betting and prediction markets, focusing on advertising practices, insider trading risks, and regulation.
- May 18: Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz signs SF 4760, which bans event contracts on sports, politics, and pop culture. The CFTC has sued to block its enactment.
- May 12: The CFTC files in the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals, asserting exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets, arguing an Ohio federal court's March ruling—which found Kalshi constituted gambling under state law—took an "improperly narrow view" of CFTC authority.
- May 4: The Massachusetts Supreme Court hears oral arguments on online prediction markets, marking the first time that a state high court has addressed them.
- May 1: The Prediction Market Act of 2026, which would establish a regulatory framework and create safeguards, is introduced in the Senate.
Jan.-Apr. 2026
April 2026
- April 30: Senators vote to ban themselves from participating in prediction markets.
- April 23: The Wisconsin Department of Justice files three lawsuits against online prediction market companies for “working together to facilitate illegal sports betting throughout the state.”
- April 22: Kalshi announces it has suspended and fined three candidates—Mark Moran (VA independent), Matt Klein (MN Democrat), and Ezekiel Enriquez (TX Republican)—for trading on their own races.
- April 15: Kalshi petitions a federal court in Montana to block state officials from preventing the prediction market from offering event contracts.
- April 14: Kentucky lawmakers override Gov. Andy Beshear's veto of House Bill 904, which prohibits sportsbook operators and racetracks from partnering with platforms offering sports event contracts.
- April 10: The CFTC wins a restraining order blocking Arizona's criminal prosecution of Kalshi. An upcoming hearing will determine if CFTC registration provides immunity from state criminal prosecution.
- April 9: FIFA has agreed to a multi-year partnership with ADI Predictstreet as the organization's first official prediction market partner ahead of the 2026 World Cup.
- April 6: The Third U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rules that New Jersey cannot prevent Kalshi from offering sports-based trading contracts.
- April 2: The Commodity Futures Trading Commission sues Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois, accusing the states of overstepping by attempting to "outlaw, regulate and otherwise restrain" prediction markets. This marks the first time a federal agency has challenged states in court over prediction markets, and a Supreme Court ruling is likely the only viable outcome.
March 2026
- March 30: The NFL asks prediction market operators to keep specific event contracts that the league deems “objectionable bets” off of their platforms.
- March 27: Washington Attorney General Nick Brown files a lawsuit against Kalshi for allegedly violating state gambling laws.
- March 26: Senators introduce the PREDICT Act, which would prohibit government officials from trading on the outcomes of political events, policy decisions, and other government actions on prediction markets.
- March 25: SBC Summit Americas announces it will host a dedicated Prediction Markets Forum for 2026.
- March 17: Arizona files criminal charges against Kalshi for "operating an illegal gambling business in Arizona without a license" and election wagering.
- March 12: The CFTC issues a formal rulemaking process for prediction markets.
- March 9: A federal judge denied Kalshi's request to block enforcement by the Ohio Casino Control Commission, ruling that its sports prediction markets should fall under state gambling regulations.
- March 5: House members introduce the Event Contract Enforcement Act, which would require the CFTC to ban contracts on terrorism, assassination, war, sports, elections, and government activity.
February 2026
- Feb. 19: The U.S. District Court for the Middle District of Tennessee finds that Kalshi's sports event contracts are likely "swaps" under the Commodity Exchange Act.
- Feb. 6: A Massachusetts judge issues a preliminary injunction against Kalshi, prohibiting the prediction market from offering sports-related trades. Kalshi has 30 days to stop offering these markets in MA.
- Feb. 3: Crypto.com launches OG Markets.
January 2026
- Jan. 29: The CFTC withdraws previous guidance cautioning against prediction markets and proposing restrictions on sports and politics contracts.
- Jan. 14: The American Gaming Association and the Indian Gaming Association submit a joint letter to Congress requesting federal action against prediction market operators.
- Jan. 9: The Public Integrity Act, which would prohibit federal officials and their staff from trading on these platforms using nonpublic information, is introduced in the House.
2025
- Dec. 11, 2025: Industry leaders, including Kalshi, Crypto.com, Underdog, Coinbase, and Robinhood, form the Coalition for Prediction Markets.
- Nov. 25, 2025: Polymarket announces the CFTC has issued an Amended Order of Designation, allowing the company to operate a trading platform.
- October 2025: The NHL names Polymarket and Kalshi as official prediction market partners, granting them access to proprietary league data and logos.
- July 21, 2025: Polymarket acquires QCEX, a CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange and clearinghouse, paving the way for its legal return to the US.
- July 15, 2025: The Department of Justice closes its investigation into Polymarket.
- April 8, 2025: The US District Court for the District of Nevada allows Kalshi to continue offering sports event contracts in the state despite the Gaming Control Board's cease-and-desist.
- March 28, 2025: Kalshi sues Nevada and New Jersey in federal court, arguing that only the CFTC has jurisdiction over its contracts.
- March 4, 2025: The Nevada Gaming Control Board becomes the first state gambling regulator to order Kalshi to shut down its sports and election prediction markets, arguing they constitute illegal gaming.
2022-2024
- Dec. 23, 2024: Crypto.com becomes the first prediction market platform to offer CFTC-regulated sports event contracts.
- Nov. 14, 2024: The US Department of Justice launches an investigation into Polymarket and raids the New York home of founder Shayne Coplan.
- Sept. 6, 2024: US District Judge Jia Cobb rules that Kalshi has a right to offer political event contracts. A month later, the DC Court of Appeals denies the CFTC's emergency motion to stay this lower court decision.
- Nov. 1, 2023: Kalshi sues the CFTC in the US District Court for the District of Columbia, arguing the commission overreached its authority in trying to limit political event contracts.
- May 1, 2023: The US Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit orders the CFTC not to close PredictIt or prohibit trading of its contracts pending final judgment. This is later cited as one of the reasons the CFTC cannot prohibit Kalshi from offering political contracts.
- Aug. 4, 2022: The CFTC withdraws prior guidance that had allowed New Zealand-based PredictIt to operate in the US.
2021-2022
- March 2022: Crypto.com acquires the North American Derivatives Exchange, inheriting its CFTC-registered DCM status.
- Jan. 3, 2022: The CFTC orders Polymarket to pay a $1.4 million penalty and exit the US market after determining the platform was offering unregistered event contracts.
- July 2021: Kalshi launches federally regulated event contract trading in the US.
Responsible Trading
Even though it functions differently from traditional betting, trading still involves some risk. Prediction market sites have established independent surveillance committees and AI-powered monitoring tools to track trades and maintain integrity.
Some platforms offer tools such as voluntary deposit caps and self-exclusion.
Prediction Market FAQs
How old do you have to be to use prediction market apps?
Because prediction markets are regulated as financial exchanges rather than gambling platforms, the minimum legal age to participate is 18, lower than the 21+ age requirement enforced by most state-regulated sportsbooks. However, age requirements vary by platform and state, so verify your location's rules before signing up.
Are prediction markets legal in the US?
Yes, prediction markets are currently legal in the US. They are regulated as financial exchanges by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. However, specific platforms and market types have been restricted in various states, where these apps are considered in violation of state laws governing betting. Check the states available by platform before signing up.
How do prediction markets work?
Prediction markets let you buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares on real-world events, functioning like a stock exchange where users trade directly with each other. Every contract is priced between $0.01 and $0.99, representing the likelihood that an event will occur. Unlike traditional bets, you can buy and sell positions anytime as prices shift.
How are prediction markets different than sportsbooks?
Prediction markets operate as peer-to-peer exchanges where users trade directly with each other rather than against a "house." Positions can be bought and sold anytime, fees are charged only on net profits, and coverage extends beyond sports to politics, economics, and more.
Sportsbooks set fixed odds on sporting events and act as the house.
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