FA Cup Final Betting Tips: Our 3 Best Bets For Man City Vs Man Utd
FA Cup Final Predictions:
- Man City & Under 3.5 Goals – 6/4 With Betway
- Bruno Fernandes Over 0.5 Shots On Target – 11/8 With Bet365
- Under 4.5 Cards – Evens With BetMGM
All roads from Manchester lead to Wembley this weekend for the FA Cup final, with UK betting sites making City heavy favourites to compound United’s miserable season.
Pep Guardiola’s side are a best-price 1/5 to lift the trophy at the expense of their rivals for the second campaign in a row having comfortably seen off United 2-1 in last term’s Wembley showpiece.
The Cityzens are chasing another double having wrapped up a fourth successive Premier League title last weekend and have already beaten their neighbours twice this season.
In fact, City have won six of the last seven meetings with the Red Devils, who are 5/1 outsiders to win the FA Cup for the 13th time in their history.
No side has lost more FA Cup finals (9) than United and it’s tough to imagine Erik ten Hag’s men not finishing as runners-up when examining the odds on UK bookmakers.
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City Too Slick For Desperate Red Devils
City may have fallen short of last season’s treble exploits, but they’ve once again come good when the pressure has been applied in the latter stages of the campaign.
They held off Arsenal in the title race, while in the FA Cup, they edged out Chelsea in the semi-finals when far from their best.
Seven wins in a row in all competitions put City on the brink of becoming the first team to complete back-to-back doubles and with so many match-winners in their squad, it’s tough to go against the bookies' favourites.
United finished the season with back-to-back wins to claim eighth place in the table but missed out on Europe and ended up 31 points adrift of City.
They rode their luck to reach the final, needing penalties to see off Coventry City in the semi-finals after squandering a 3-0 lead. In the previous round, they came out on the right side of a chaotic seven-goal extra-time thriller against Liverpool.
They’ve fallen well short of the standards expected and Saturday’s game could well be Ten Hag’s final match in charge.
The Dutchman does have a win over Guardiola’s goliaths to his name during his time in charge of United, but they were well beaten in both meetings this season and the gap between the two sides has arguably never been bigger.
The only hope for United is they have been slightly less open since the 4-0 loss to Crystal Palace and will have significant defensive reinforcements for this game with Raphael Varane and Victor Lindelof passed fit.
Those additions may only help to keep the score down in the FA Cup final, which is notoriously low scoring with under 2.5 goals landing in 13 finals this millennium.
Under 3.5 goals has cashed in all but three of the last 30 finals and for those looking to boost the value on a City win on football betting sites, it’s 6/4 for Guardiola’s men to win in 90 minutes and the game to feature fewer than four goals.
Tip: Man City & under 3.5 goals – 6/4 with Betway
Fernandes Can Offer United Resistance
There’s been plenty of speculation as to whether Bruno Fernandes will be joining Ten Hag in heading out the exit door, although the United skipper is adamant he’ll be at Old Trafford next season.
Either way, the Portugal international is enjoying a fine end to the season and has scored in six of his last 10 appearances for the Red Devils.
He got United back on level terms in last season’s final from the penalty spot and will be on spot-kick duty again should the chance arise.
However, part of the thinking for backing City and under 3.5 goals comes from Guardiola’s side keeping a clean sheet in five of their last seven games.
Rather than back Fernandes to score, which he’s 11/2 to do on betting apps, preference goes to him having at least one shot on target at 11/8.
Those seem more than fair odds on a player who’s hit the target at least once in each of his last 11 outings for United and has found his mark in four of his last five games against City.
Tip: Bruno Fernandes Over 0.5 Shots On Target – 11/8 with Bet365
Cards In Short Supply
We’ve had just one red card in the last 18 Manchester derbies and City’s success has seemingly taken a bit of the sting out of the fixture.
Just one of the last 10 meetings has produced five or more cards, and BetMGM offers Evens we’ll have under 4.5 cards on Saturday. There may be a bit of value in that price given this fixture’s history and when you look at who has been selected to officiate.
Andy Madley has been handed the honour of refereeing the cup final and he’s been one of the most lenient top-flight officials this season, averaging less than four bookings per game in 23 matches.
There’s a tendency for referees to keep their cards in their pockets in cup finals too with last season’s final between City and United producing four cards, the most we’d seen in a final in six years.
Tip: Under 4.5 Cards – Evens with BetMGM
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