Rhys Williams' Racing Tips: 5 Selections For Saturday
Horse racing expert Rhys Williams is sharing his best selections for today's racing.
Rhys has been a racing analyst for over 10 years, working for At The Races and most recently as a tipster for Betfair where his tipping column had a 31% ROI over four and a half years.
He often focuses away from the front end of the market, finding angles that aren't evident to most.
Thanks to his 50/1 winner at the Cheltenham Festival (Apolon De Charnie) and 5/1 winners on Wednesday and Thursday, Rhys' tips have returned 107.93 points from 85 points staked, meaning his profit and loss record stands at 22.93pts overall.
Here are Rhys' tips for Saturday, using the most up-to-date odds from the best horse racing betting sites.
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14:35 Newton Abbot: Tractor Jack - 0.5pt Win @ 15/2
It’s no surprise there’s been early market support for Devilsrollthedice in this low grade handicap chase, but any value in his price is now gone whereas that isn’t the case for a chasing newcomer in the field.
Tractor Jack hasn’t been competitive at the finish in six starts over hurdles, but he didn’t run too badly in a novices’ hurdle at Exeter three starts ago.
He also ran better than the margin beaten suggests last time at Wincanton.
He led for a long way that day and was still travelling quite well turning into the home straight before fading quickly after two out.
He’s an obvious chasing type on looks so I’m hopeful the switch to fences will bring some improvement from Tractor Jack and the drop back in trip looks likely to suit him at this stage of his career.
It may be that he needs more time and any improvement will come next season but in a race of this quality I think he’s a little overpriced and any 13/2 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 1: 14:35 Newton Abbot - Tractor Jack - 0.5pt Win
14:46 Haydock: Secret Trix - 1pt Win @ 17/2
Secret Trix won this race two seasons ago and I think he has a better chance of regaining his title than the market suggests.
He ran respectably in a warm Pertemps qualifier at Market Rasen in November, before the usual cheekpieces were removed for his subsequent starts and an inexperienced rider took over in the saddle.
Secret Trix was quite eyecatching next time at Taunton considering the circumstances before showing little on his next two starts.
However, he bounced back last time at Market Rasen when finishing second when difference in jockey experience looked to tell between the first and second.
Secret Trix has since been given a wind op and the usual cheekpieces have been located for this valuable series final.
A more experienced conditional in Lewis Saunders is also taking over in the saddle, which is a positive for his chance, and I think the return to a left-handed track is no bad thing for him either.
This is a competitive race, but this seems to have been a clear plan with him and any 7/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 2: 14:46 Haydock - Secret Trix - 1pt Win
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15:47 Huntingdon: Katarcice - 1pt Win @ 11/2
Fergal O’Brien has the favourite for this race in Is This For Real, but I think his other runner can be more of a danger than the market suggests.
Katarcice started his career in the Irish pointing field and caught the eye as one who would be suited by racing over a shorter trip under rules.
Having moved to O’Brien, he made his rules debut in a bumper at this track and ran well under a patient ride to finish third in what was a strong contest.
I think he would ideally be suited by trips around 2m4f at this time, but Katarcice travelled well enough in that bumper to suggest he could cope with this trip.
This isn’t a particularly strong race for his hurdling debut and any 7/2 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 3: 15:47 Huntingdon - Katarcice - 1pt Win
15:47 Huntingdon: Moves Like Mason - 0.5pt Win @ 22/1
In the same race, I can’t let Moves Like Mason go unbacked at a big price, considering he looks capable of better than he’s shown so far over hurdles.
He was another to start his career in Irish points and he ran well on his third and final start in that sphere, when finishing second behind Kilbuny Supersonic - who is now rated 114 over hurdles in Ireland.
Moves Like Mason joined Ben Pauling after that and wasn’t competitive at the finish in two starts over hurdles in quick succession in May when ridden patiently.
Given the very quick turnaround between the first and second runs, I think the poor run at Newton Abbot when given a lot to do can be easily excused.
It may be that whatever has kept him off the track since then will mean he’s not as good as he was, or that he will need the run after a break.
However, if they decide to ride Moves Like Mason handier today, I think he could run better than his price suggests and any 14/1 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 4: 15:47 Huntingdon - Moves Like Mason - 0.5pt Win
18:00 Huntingdon: King Ulanda - 1pt Each-Way @ 15/2
This race is likely to be strongly run and that is likely to suit King Ulanda.
After having a wind op, he put a string of good performances together including at this track behind Mr McLoughlan despite the ground being softer than ideal for him.
He ran disappointingly at Haydock two starts ago but, with cheekpieces on for the first time, he was running far better and still going well when falling at two out at Sedgefield last time.
I’m not sure that track would have been ideal for King Ulanda so he was doing well to be in contention when falling.
I think this track and the likely strong pace will be ideal for him if that fall hasn’t had a negative impact on him. Any 11/2 or bigger appeals.
Rhys' Selection 5: 18:00 Huntingdon - King Ulanda - 1pt Each-Way
Odds correct at time of publishing
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