2023 Breeders' Cup Picks, Odds and Expert Predictions for Saturday 11/04

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2023 Breeders' Cup Picks, Odds and Expert Predictions for Saturday 11/04

2023 Breeders' Cup Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks 11/04

 

The main event, Championship Saturday caps a thrilling weekend of racing in California with nine marquee Breeders’ Cup events taking place at Santa Anita Park.

2023 Breeders’ Cup Saturday offers six hours of Grade 1 racing, on dirt and turf and we've picked out some of the horses we think will be in the winner's circle and taking a share of the huge prize money on offer.

So sign up todaywith some of the best online betting sites in the U.S., where you can claim generous offers in bonus bets from the likes of BetMGM. Fanduel, Draftkings and Bet365 for our 2023 Breeders' Cup Picks for Championship Saturday.

 

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Breeders' Cup Turf (5;50pm ET)

Auguste Rodin, aiming to mirror High Chaparral's 2002 feat, approaches this race after a mixed season—dominant in both Derbies, yet disappointing at Ascot. 

His latest win at Leopardstown, however, showcased his peak form, leaving us to question which Auguste Rodin will appear at Santa Anita.

My pick here is MOSTAHDAF who has shifted from consistent to champion this year, capturing the Prince of Wales’s Stakes G1 and Juddmonte International G1. His layoff since August is seen as no barrier, and he's rated the top contender by Timeform.

King Of Steel seeks redemption after a close 4th at Leopardstown, recently securing victory at Ascot's Champion Stakes G1 on heavy turf. A quick turnaround from that tough race will test his mettle here.

Also notable are Shahryar, who has undergone a wind operation following a close 2nd in the Japan Cup and a lackluster run in August, and the consistent War Like Goddess, a steadfast competitor with seven wins in nine attempts at this distance.

⭐ 2023 Breeders' Cup PicksMOSTAHDAF (+250) at BetMGM

Breeders' Cup Classic (6:40pm ET)

Arcangelo's withdrawal from the race took out one of the year's highlight stories from the mix.

The field spans across ages, but my money's on the oldest, six-year-old USHBA TESORO. He’s a transformed racer, switching from turf to dirt success, tallying six wins from his last seven starts after seasonal breaks, amassing $9m. His easy prep win in September suggests he's the one to beat here.

Arabian Knight heads the younger contingent, bouncing back from the Haskell Invitational G1 to claim victory in the Pacific Classic G1, impressively holding his own against older horses.

Saudi Crown consistently shines, narrowly missing out on perfecting his record, and steps up against varied ages fresh from a Pennsylvania Derby G1 win.

White Arbarrio flipped the script on Zandon at the Whitney G1, but after a three-month hiatus and distance concerns, his chances seem slimmer.

Bright Future squeaked a win in the Jockey Club Gold Cup G1, but the race's strength this year doesn’t convince me of his competitiveness in this event.

Despite varied talents, Ushba Tesoro's seasoned prowess and recent form hint he could lead the charge, with the younger Arabian Knight (12) and Saudi Crown (6) as notable challengers.

⭐ 2023 Breeders' Cup PicksUSHBA TESORO (+333) at Fanduel

Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (7:25pm ET)

Live In The Dream secured his spot with an impressive win at the Nunthorpe G1 but faded to fourth at Keeneland over five and a half furlongs. Returning to five furlongs, his endurance should improve.

Defending champion CARAVEL sought to bounce back from a Saratoga upset but narrowly lost at Kentucky. Yet, she’s poised to rebound here, where the shorter distance may play to her strengths.

Nobals has been consistently improving, claiming two of his last three starts, setting him up as a potential threat with his robust finish.

Despite a disappointing Nunthorpe, Aesop’s Fable surprised many with a strong third in the Abbaye G1, while Out West, Motorious is drawing attention, especially after a victorious return at Del Mar following a break.

Jasper Krone, though hit-and-miss, showed promise with a solid fourth in the Sprinters Stake G1, making him a worthwhile each-way consideration.

With Bradsell’s (2) withdrawal, Live In The Dream has fewer contenders inside, with Caravel potentially challenging but off-rail. This race could favor a strong finisher, but Caravel’s underestimated presence could see her clinching victory again.

⭐ 2023 Breeders' Cup PicksCARAVEL (+550) at Draftkings

Breeders' Cup Sprint (8pm ET)

Defending champion Elite Power returns with his signature late surge, already notching three wins this year including a head-to-head triumph over Gunite in the Alfred Vanderbilt G1. 

However, his nine-race winning streak was halted by Gunite at the Forego G1, suggesting Elite Power might struggle without a clear pace-setter to challenge him.

Meanwhile, DR. SCHIVEL is a noteworthy contender. After a narrow loss in 2021 and a sabbatical, he's back with a victory in an Allowance race and a recent head win, despite an early stumble, over Speed Boat Beach here.

Speed Boat Beach, recovering from a heavy defeat in last year’s Juvenile Turf Sprint G1, displayed resilience with a close second to Dr. Schivel in September.

Elite Power could repeat his success, but the odds are less in his favor without an ideal pace scenario. Early in the week, I leaned towards Gunite, but now, considering his strong local performance, Dr. Schivel edges out as my pick for the win.

⭐ 2023 Breeders' Cup PicksDR. SCHIVEL (+550) at Caesars

 

As we look forward to all the excitement of the 2023 Breeders' Cup, there's another exciting development for sports betting enthusiasts. Back in September, Kentucky launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new sports betting apps in Kentucky. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.

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Matthew Crist

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