2023 Tour de France Stage 7 Picks & Predictions: Cavendish Can Make History in Bordeaux

Date IconLast Updated: Jul 25th, 2023
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2023 Tour de France Stage 7 Picks & Predictions: Cavendish Can Make History in Bordeaux

2023 Tour de France 2023 Stage 7 Picks



Following two grueling days in the Pyrenees, the peloton of the 2023 Tour de France enjoys a relatively relaxed day of cycling as they embark on a 169.9km journey from Mont-de-Marsan to Bordeaux. This stage is anticipated to culminate in the third field sprint of the Tour, offering the riders a somewhat active rest.

Compared to the demanding stages encountered in the first week of the Tour, this particular route presents few challenges, save for the Category 4 Côte de Béguey. However, as this climb appears 38.9km before the finish line in Bordeaux, it serves primarily as a warm-up for the riders' legs, paving the way for an exciting finale.

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2023 Tour de France Stage 7 - Mont-de-Marsan to Bordeaux (169.9km)


Tour de France 2


This stage of the Tour is the flattest among all the stages this year and clocking in at a mere 170km, it's also relatively short in comparison.

While a minor Category 4 climb presents an opportunity to earn a few Mountains Classification points, situated 40km before the finish, the stage is expected to be controlled by the dominant sprint teams. They will likely allow a breakaway group to hover in the distance, only to reel them in during the final 10km.

The finish itself is level, and despite the appearance of a complex bridge crossing approximately 3km before the end, the approach seems uncomplicated.

In a hushed tone, it's worth mentioning that Mark Cavendish emerged victorious in the most recent sprint finish held in Bordeaux, the town where today's stage concludes.

This is a day for the General Classification riders to survive and recover ahead of Sunday's rendezvous with the Puy de Dome, so the attention turns to the Points Classification.

2023 Tour de France Stage 7: The Favorites

It is difficult to dispute that Jasper Philipsen (+100) is the clear favorite for this stage. His outstanding sprinting form prior to the Tour, coupled with his victories on Stage 3 and Stage 4, solidify his position as the rider to surpass. However, there is room for argument against these odds. In the chaotic whirlwind of a Tour sprint-stage finale, very few riders can genuinely claim a 45% chance of victory, as those odds suggest.

Caleb Ewan (+400) and Wout van Aert (+1600) have emerged as the closest contenders to challenging Philipsen thus far and their prospects cannot be disregarded. Nevertheless, it is challenging to envision what tactics Ewan can employ, aside from those that have already proven unsuccessful. As for van Aert, he may possess the ability to outshine Philipsen in this Tour, but he would require a more demanding finish than the one presented in this particular stage.

2023 Tour de France Stage 7: The Contenders

Given his battered appearance following the crash on Stage 4, it's probably best to steer clear of Fabio Jakobsen (+700)  for the time being. Dylan Groenewegen (+800) also appears to be lacking his usual form.

While Phil Bauhaus (+1200) is expected to come close once again, victory is unlikely to be within his grasp. This leaves us with Mark Cavendish (+1200), who has displayed remarkable consistency despite the absence of a supportive team. With a bit more fortune riding in the slipstream of his competitors, Cavendish represents good value for a surprising triumph, potentially repeating history in Bordeaux.

2023 Tour de France Stage 7 Picks & Predictions: Mark Cavendish to Win (+1200)

All eyes will be on Great Britain's Mark Cavendish as he embarks on his journey to establish a new record for the highest number of stage victories in the history of the Tour de France. 

Cavendish previously claimed a stage win in Bordeaux in 2010, and it would be a moment of great significance for him to achieve the same feat thirteen years later, thus etching his name in the annals of cycling history. Cavendish can be backed to take stage 7 of the 2023 Tour de France at +1200


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The 2023 Tour de France commences on Saturday, July 1 and runs until Sunday, July 23. There will be 21 stages, spanning a total of 3,404 kilometers (2,115 miles). The race gets underway this year in Bilbao, Spain and will finish up as usual in Paris. Jonas Vingegaard, a 26-year-old from Denmark, is the defending champion.