Astros vs. Twins ALDS Game 3 Prediction, Odds & MLB Player Props 10/10
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Astros vs Twins NLDS Game 3 Picks & Predictions
- ⭐ Pick 1: Twins -1.5 (+150) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Pick 2: Twins ML (-135) at Caesars
- ⭐ Pick 3: Max Kepler Over 0.5 RBI (+130) at DraftKings
The Minnesota Twins secured a crucial Game 2 victory on the road against the Houston Astros, leveling their ALDS series at one game each heading into tonight.
For Game 3 in Minnesota, the Twins are deploying Sonny Gray to pitch against Houston's Cristian Javier.
In the wild card round, Gray delivered five shutout innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, propelling the Twins to victory. Will he replicate that success on Tuesday evening?
He faces the challenge of outperforming a seasoned Houston squad eager to defend their previous year's World Series crown.
We've used the best online betting sites to find these bets, including BetMGM, Caesars, and DraftKings.
Below are our top three MLB predictions for today’s slate.
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Astros vs Twins Game 2 Recap: Twins won 6-2
Carlos Correa returned to Minute Maid Park, shining in the playoffs as he had on numerous occasions.
However, this time, he donned a new jersey.
Contributing three hits and three RBI, with Pablo López delivering seven scoreless innings, Correa assisted the Minnesota Twins in overcoming the Houston Astros with a 6-2 victory on Sunday night in Game 2 of their AL Division Series.
Kyle Farmer added to the Twins' triumph with a two-run homer, a commendable recovery after their 6-4 setback in the series' inaugural game the previous night.
Astros vs Twins: Pitching Matchup Game 3
The Twins seem to have the upper hand in pitching, as Sonny Gray faces off against Cristian Javier, who had a shaky second half the Astros hope he's moved past. Houston's challenge will be managing Correa, who consistently excels in crucial October games.
Cristian Javier (105, 4.56 ERA) vs. Sonny Gray (8-8, 2.79 ERA)
In his last regular-season appearance in Arizona on Oct. 1, Javier delivered six shutout innings, allowing only three hits and striking out four, leading the Astros to a victory against the D-backs.
The right-handed pitcher aims to replicate his notable postseason performance from the previous year, where he recorded a 0.71 ERA across three games, including two starts, totaling 12 2/3 innings for the World Series victors. Over his three postseason stints, Javier boasts a 2.20 ERA, with 8 earned runs in 32 2/3 innings.
Gray's passion for the game has been rekindled in recent weeks and has been evident in his five shutout innings against the Blue Jays during the AL Wild Card Series.
Including that game, he's posted a 1.88 ERA over 12 starts since August. His standout regular-season performance was at Target Field against the Astros on April 7, allowing a single run with 13 strikeouts in seven innings.
Astros vs Twins Betting Trends
- The Twins have hit 233 homers this season, which ranks third in the league.
- Minnesota is among the highest-scoring teams in the majors, ranking 10th with 778 total runs this season.
- The Astros have won in 28, or 65.1%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- The Astros are 82-82-0 against the spread in their 164 games that had a posted line this season.
Best Runline Bets Today: Astros vs Twins
Though Christian Javier is commendable, Sonny Gray's recent performance stands out. He's set to offer the Twins a significant pitching advantage.
Additionally, the Twins' bullpen had a 3.95 ERA this season, which progressively improved. With a well-rested bullpen, due in part to Kenta Maeda's recent relief stint, the Astros may find it challenging.
The forecast for the Astros-Twins Game 3? The Twins seizing an early advantage and maintaining it. I'll take the Twins to cover the spread in Game 3.
⭐ Best MLB Pick: Twins -1.5 (+150) at BetMGM
Best Moneyline Bets Today: Astros vs Twins
In Game 2, Houston's offense waned compared to Game 1. The key lies in evaluating pitching.
Gray, with an 8-8 record, maintained a strong 2.79 ERA and 2.83 FIP this season, rarely allowing more than three earned runs.
Conversely, Javier's strikeout rates dropped, and he allowed significant runs in many of his recent starts, resulting in a 5.00 ERA.
Despite Houston winning 21 of his starts, they'll need to back him up with runs. Given Gray's recent performances, I lean towards the home team's pitcher.
⭐ Best MLB Pick: Twins ML (-135) at Caesars
Best Player Prop Bets Today: Astros vs Twins
⭐ Max Kepler Over 0.5 RBI (+130) at DraftKings
With a batting average of .260, comprising 22 doubles, two triples, and 24 homers, Kepler's prowess at the plate is undeniable.
Currently on an eight-game hitting streak and a recent batting average of .294, his form suggests momentum.
Kepler has secured hits in over 60% of his games this season and has multiple hits in 25% of them.
Importantly, in 35.1% of his games, he's managed at least one RBI and I see him continuing that trend tonight.
⭐ Best MLB Pick: Max Kepler Over 0.5 RBI (+130 at DraftKings
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