Bengals vs. Jaguars NFL Player Props, Week 13 Odds & Monday Night Football Picks
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Bengals vs. Jaguars NFL Player Props & NFL Prediction for Week 13:
- ⭐ Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5 (-110) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Under 39.5 points (-105) at bet365
- ⭐ Ja'Marr Chase OVER 5.5 Receptions (-108) at FanDuel
- ⭐Lawrence under 1.5 pass TDs (-130) at DraftKings
The Cincinnati Bengals are set to face the Jacksonville Jaguars in a Monday Night Football showdown at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida. The Bengals are currently on a three-game losing streak, while the Jaguars have been on a roll, winning seven of their last eight games. This sets the stage for an intriguing Bengals vs Jaguars prediction.
The Jaguars are making a notable return to Monday Night Football, their first appearance in this prime-time slot since 2011. For the Bengals, the absence of Joe Burrow is significant, as head coach Zac Taylor has a 4-20 straight-up record without him. This statistic underscores the challenge Cincinnati faces in the upcoming game, making this a perfect spot for your NFL Week 13 picks.
In their last game, the Bengals suffered a 16-10 home loss to the Steelers, failing to cover the spread as a two-point underdog. Conversely, Jacksonville secured a 24-21 road victory over Houston, covering as a one-point favorite. Historically, the Jaguars lead the all-time regular-season series 13-11, but the Bengals have won the last two encounters, including a 24-21 victory in their most recent matchup on September 30, 2021.
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Bengals vs. Jaguars Picks, Predictions & Player Props
How to Watch Bengals vs. Jaguars
- Date: Monday, December 4, 2023
- Kick Off: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
- Where to Watch: ESPN or ABC
The Cincinnati Bengals, reeling from the loss of Joe Burrow to a season-ending wrist injury, are in a precarious position. Their three consecutive losses have brought their season record to 5-6, significantly dampening their postseason prospects, particularly given their 0-4 record in division play. The team, under the leadership of Browning, is struggling to maintain cohesion, evident in their recent performances.
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On the other side, the Jacksonville Jaguars have been on a strong run, especially in terms of betting performance. They have successfully covered the spread in their last five games as favorites and boast an impressive 8-3-0 record against the spread this year. The Bengals' recent defensive lapse, allowing over 400 yards of offense to Pittsburgh, raises concerns about their ability to contain Jacksonville's offense, which is why our focus turns to the Jaguars covering the -9.5 spread (-110) at BetMGM.
Playing at home with their former #1 overall pick quarterback at the helm, the Jaguars have a distinct advantage. Their recent form, combined with Cincinnati's struggles, points towards a likely victory for Jacksonville, potentially by a double-digit margin. Given the current dynamics, the Jaguars are a favorable pick for bettors, suggesting a fourth consecutive defeat for the Bengals.
⭐ NFL ATS Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5 (-110) at BetMGM
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Prop Bets & NFL Picks
⭐ NFL Prop Bet #1: Under 39.5 points (-105) at bet365
The Jacksonville Jaguars, allowing just over 20 points per game, are well-positioned to continue their defensive success against a Cincinnati Bengals team missing key players like Joe Burrow and injured WR Tee Higgins. This scenario allows the Jaguars to concentrate their defensive efforts on WR Ja’Marr Chase and RB Joe Mixon, potentially complicating the task for Bengals' backup QB Jake Browning. The Bengals' offense, averaging 19.3 points per game including games with Burrow, might struggle to maintain this average.
The Pittsburgh Steelers' recent game against Cincinnati, where they limited the Bengals to just 10 points, provides a defensive blueprint that the Jaguars could emulate. Despite the Bengals' defense holding Pittsburgh to 16 points, they allowed 421 yards of offense. This defensive performance, coupled with Cincinnati's ranking of 26th in EPA per play, could be exploited by Jacksonville's high-powered offense.
The Over/Under total for this matchup has seen fluctuations, opening around 41 points, dropping to 37.5, and then rising to the current 39.5. Given the Bengals' offensive challenges without Burrow and the Jaguars' solid defense, the best Bengals vs. Jaguars prediction is under 39.5 points. This prediction takes into account the current dynamics of both teams, especially Cincinnati's diminished offensive capabilities in Burrow's absence.
⭐ NFL Player Prop #1: Ja'Marr Chase OVER 5.5 Receptions (-108) at FanDuel
In the upcoming game for the Cincinnati Bengals, Ja'Marr Chase is poised to be a key player, especially with Joe Burrow not playing. In Jake Browning's first start for Cincinnati last week, Chase had four catches from six targets, a number that could have been limited due to Tee Higgins' absence, allowing the Pittsburgh Steelers to focus more on Chase. With Higgins expected to return, the Jaguars' secondary, which is not particularly strong, will have to divide their focus among multiple Bengals' offensive threats. This scenario should create more opportunities for Chase, resulting in Chase to record Over 5.5 receptions (-108) at FanDuel.
Despite the overall expected decrease in the Bengals' offensive potency without Burrow, Chase is likely to remain a central figure in the game plan, particularly if the team finds itself playing from behind.
Given Chase's consistent target rate this season, averaging more than 10 targets per game, and the critical nature of the game for the Bengals' season, it's expected that he will be heavily involved in Monday night's game plan. Trusting the Bengals' offensive staff to create high-percentage throws for Browning, it's likely that Chase will see a significant number of passes directed his way.
⭐ NFL Player Prop #2: Lawrence under 1.5 pass TDs (-130) at DraftKings
Fading Trevor Lawrence in the upcoming game against the Cincinnati Bengals, despite the Jaguars being favored by more than a touchdown, seems a logical choice based on his performance this season. Lawrence has only managed 12 passing touchdowns in 11 games, falling under 1.5 passing touchdowns in eight of those matchups.
The Bengals' defense, while allowing the second-most yards in the NFL at 389.3 yards per game, has been more effective against the pass. They've only allowed an average of 1.09 passing touchdowns per game this year (13 pass TDs total), ranking as the sixth-fewest in the league. This suggests that Cincinnati's pass defense could limit Lawrence's touchdown production, resulting in Under 1.5 passing TDs (-130) at DraftKings.
Conversely, the Bengals have been vulnerable against the run, allowing 5.0 yards per rush (31st in the NFL) and 12 rushing touchdowns. With Lawrence having three rushing touchdowns in his last two games and Travis Etienne averaging 17.6 carries per game, the Jaguars might focus more on their ground game. This strategy could reduce the need for Lawrence to have a significant passing day, making it less likely for him to exceed the over on passing touchdowns.
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As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 NFL season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. As of September 28, Kentucky has officially launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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Updated by
Admir Aljic
Last Updated:
